By M. Kapumpe
Patriotic Front (PF), as a party, is today weaker than 2008 and 2006 in terms of numbers, issue based debates, money, leadership and morale. What is PF doing that it didn’t do in the last two elections, and expect a different result?
To be fair am not saying it’s finished in terms of supporters but the Movement for Multi Party Democrary (MMD) presidential candidate Rupiah Banda has managed to gain supporters in Lusaka and Copperbelt PF strongholds. For example Lusaka Central and Ndola Central can’t be granted any more to PF.
While RB has gained support in PF strongholds, attempts by PF to gain in rural areas and provinces have proved futile. The reason is very simple for MMD supporters in rural areas, their needs are very simple things like roads, health, education and farming; of which RB has done excellently well.
I was once advised by a very high profile politician that: “Be careful, politics are like alcohol, you get drunk, so always think”. Today if you go to Choma they are so sure that United Part For National Development (UPND) presidentail candidate Hakainde Hichilema (HH) is winning the elections this year; the same for PF, if you go to some parts of the Copperbelt.
[pullquote]The elections were lost for PF the day the PF-UPND PACT broke down.[/pullquote]
The people in Choma or same parts of the Copperbelt are not crazy to think that think their candidate can win, they are drunk with politics and when both parties are sober they will remember the reasons for the PF-UPND PACT.
Some MMD members are also drunk thinking they will win by over 70% just because RB has done well. Lets be real RB will win but it must take effort from everyone who believes that RB is the right person than hiding in offices and bars. I agree with PF Secretary General and spokesperson Wynter Kabimba, who said UPND is a spoiler in this election and it will spoil all chances for PF in Southern province and so will Alliance for Democracy and Development (ADD) leader Charles Milupi in Western province.
The elections were lost for PF the day the PF-UPND PACT broke down.
We go to UPND, they won’t win. If there is one thing I like about UPND is that they are real with themselves; they know they can’t win the election. What they have decided is to burry PF by all means knowing that if Sata losses and retires they will become the largest opposition in the country. Unknowing the PF have complained about the long term plan for UPND to become the second biggest party by 2012. We hear questions like “Why is UPND attacking PF?”
RB won the election in first attempt with a very weak MMD and just three months of campaigning. It is folly to undermine him for something that he has been preparing for three years. The opposition has found itself in shock with the levels of material for campaigns that whatever material they have seem like a drop in the ocean. And now MMD is under RB’s control unlike three years ago
Mr kapumpe that is your opinnion ! Opinnions are like A …Holes everybody has one. Change is good for every body it just might lift the spirits of the suffering mass of people at the hands of a corrupt govt ! Kuya be be belle MMD.
Nonsense, PF cant win elections just as what Kapumpe has said. The problem with PF is that the’ve got high numbers of suppoters in Lusaka and copperbelt and not in other parts of the country.
Excellent analysis. It is shocking that pf cannot see what many people are seeing.
It’s true
MMD will win the polls!
Good analysis. I tend to agree with the author…. It’s a pity the opposition in Zambia never learn!!!
Heheheheheheheheehehehehehehehehehehehehehehehhehehehehehehehehehehehehe
This year will be full of surprises……believe me
“(MMD) presidential candidate Rupiah Banda has managed to gain supporters in Lusaka and Copperbelt PF strongholds. For example Lusaka Central and Ndola Central can’t be granted any more to PF.” end quote
It would be very interesting to know what kind of analysis the author used to come to this conclusion. Popularity is judged on results like by-elections or sample survey not just mere individual opinions of an author. come on now, we are not as stupid as you think
That should have read “GUARANTEED” which I agree they are not.
Mbuzi @ # 1 xsay, i know its a bitter pill to swallow but i have heard this opinion out of the mouths of a whole lot of people. Its not anything u can hide, its just fact. PF is leaving us and UPND is coming in as MMD’s sole Nemesis after 20th Sept.
the analysis is wrong and not reflecting on the ground! these Elections are 50-50, and they can swing any where
It can Only be 50-50 if there are only two Political Parties…..lol
and i assume you are on the ground ?
Mr kapumpe, just like you put it yourself you are drunk by thinking RB will win and PF has become weak. hahahahah Mr Kapumpe thinks he is sober when in fact he is drunk
Chusha i agree wit u. He must be drunk. its only that i can nt disclose some of the works i do PF will suprise you. Pipo are fadeup of one party rule, thats y we want change. If UPND was strong as PF i would stil look forward to puttin it into power, but unfortunately its nt. VIVA PF pabwato, mwamukolo, 21st Sept. 2011 M.Sata for Presidency.
21 days to go…..:((
Very correct observation. This is exactly what will happen come 20th sept.After 20th sept PF will go in oblivion/forgetfulness.The party will be no more.Believe it or not.Let start accepting the truth RB has support this time around conpared to 2008 elections.
Very unbalanced analysis. What you are forgetting is that PF has been improving steadily since its inception in 2001. PF has now the representation both at Parliamentary and local Government almost throughout the country. Believe me I am in the deep rural of Southern Zambia and PF has now become a house hold name. Sata and PF will double if not triple their performance in the rural Zambia. PF will get one or two seats from its non strongholds. It will perform far much better in their strong holds of CB, Luapula, Lusaka and Northern Provinces. The fair analysis will be that this elections will be any one game depending on will get favors in Western and North Western Provinces. PF is doing extremely well in MMD stronghold of Eastern Province and might pick up a seat from there.
WARNING: the truth has been stated. dispute at your own peril. MMD is winning 2011. however UPND shud start preparing for 2016 since the PF and its cobra will be buried by September 22, 2011. I know the truth pain but PF has just lost it. They think the votes are in the courts of law through obtaining injunction after injunction. Mr Kabimba is spending long hours in court and in his office drafting law suites instead of being in the field campaigning. he is a real cheat and has cost PF greatly. its too late
MMD propaganda, hot air and lies…
MMD supporters you are going to come back to earth. :-)
My prayer is may any peace loving candidate carry the day
Agreed, entirely.
#12 fide
I almost believed you as an objective voice of PF supporter until I read your last sentence
PF is doing extremely well in MMD stronghold of Eastern Province and might pick up a seat from there.
Easterners are the last to change and for you to conclude that they will be pioneers this time around, with their own in the driving seat is delusional. I must agree with the author that you are one of those drunk with politics.
Am afraid, painful as it is, I must agree with the author. PF lost the elections the moment the PACT died and MMD’s strategy was to kill the PACT and they succeded and hence wining this year’s elections.
I agree with you but I still believe its any one’s game. Its its not easy to dislodge the incumbency but looking at the way things are going the pendulum might tilt the other way round. Much as I can be drunk with politics I have been following Zambian politics keenly since I was in Grade 10 way back in 1988. I have monitored about three elections so far and I know the voting pattern of most Zambian electorate. I monitored 1 up North in 2001 and 2 down South in 2006 and 2008 respectively. I am not disputing the fact that MMD stands a better chance because of the fragmented opposition but PF will put up a strong challenge to MMD.
MMD definitely will do everything in their power to win and honestly winning they might….but Zambians for the first time will realise later that they made a mistake and my hope is it won’t be too late…..Are Zambians that blind to note that MMD has already given us 20 years, we have always called ourselves intellectuals yet we ignoring the fact that uprisings in Africa today is all due to parties and leaders over staying in governments…. we are planting something we will regret tomorrow all because of hatred…Its simple MMD has had 20 years please change is inevitable for progress sake. Am not against Banda it’s the whole MMD still in power come on people
Zero boyz, change doesnt make sense if we’re replacing one version of MMD for another version of MMD. Sata, Mangani, Mulonogoti, Masebo, Luo , Scott, Kapijimpanga etc. can u truly call this bunch change? Real change will only come about if we vote in any of the following: HH, Chipimo or Milupi and thats the truth. Intellectuals as we call ourselves cannot go against all we’ve learnt and have a person who does not fit in with the modern economic environment as our head of state. A person whose academic prowess is highly questionable. Why willingly take such a huge step back when we have educated young alternatives?
I agree with Dudelove, what kind of change is voting in Sata. Actually PF is the MMD of 2001. RB’s is a new party!!!
IT GOES WITHOUT SAYING
I think the analysis is true.I’ve always been anti – MMD but this year looking at the options out there I would rather vote MMD.If it aint broke don’t fix it!
PF Supporters are blinded with the lost glory.
GOOD ANALYSIS, PF is in denial life, the DONCHI KUBEBA syndrome does not seem to work well for them at a larger scale, they even boycott ZNBC – RACE to MANDA HILL a platform that could add value to their life. DONCHI KUBEBA is not only directed to MMD as they claim, it is a PF strategy to fool their carders not ASK trouble them to explain their FAST TRACK 90DAY MANIFESTO.
Do not judge a book by its cover Mr. Author, Just because MMD has more presence through posters and Fliers does not necessarily mean they are the most popular in the area. You need empirical evidence which can be obtained through an opinion poll or survey because as they say “not even the Devil Knoweth the thought of Man” , so i would suggest that you check your facts because they’re things that RB is doing which is pissing off people especially the educated.
Agreed entirely, PF paranoia is doomed
The author isn not only realistic but also very intelligent to correctly interpret the facts on the ground and apply them.
There is nothing ‘opion’ about the author but intellectual interpretation of facts to project a possible realistic outcome.
Anyone who doubts the author’s writing has to fight with his/her own inner conviction telling him/her that the author is writing but due to sturbon hope for the PF, they refuse to accept.
Such are behaving like a lady so in love with a man that even after observing some wrongs she will not want to focus on them but brush them aside for purpose of progress.
Now, the reality that catches up when they have already married does not come as strange but simply as a package of regret.
This is a very sober reflection. You will certainly hate it if you are anything other than MMD. This time RB is standing on a fame ground, he has projects to point to, he has the state machinery on his side and this is reality. UPND are indeed positioning themselves as the largest opposition party after these elections. PF is dead without Sata. Kabimba is delusional, and Scott is just as old and worn-out as Sata. Masebo is intelligent, but a political prostitute. Patel Lubinda is like mole, he has no proper direction and can’t stand on his accord. The rest are just a bunch of either, job seekers, pure *****s or chancers with little or no morals.
Now, the problem SATA has is that he is too wishfull.
He does not link what he says to reality.
Ineverything there is what we call ”my desire” and what we call “reality”.
These two dont always agree; and what man does is to create a way to bring them close.
Sometimes they refuse to get close.
Take the example of Obama in the last US election; the man had a good plan, good strategy, good policies, etc.
But where is he now?
Reality includes the obstacles you face, those within your control and those beyond your control.
Opposition can equally be an obstacle, civil service, civic authority, technocrats, the police etc including the public can be an obstacle that can make your plan fail.
obviously even international and global economy can fail you.
So dont promise too much.
# 18 Zero Boyz, you must be very confused, misguided and politically drunk for you to equate a functional democracy to the tyrant regimes that are in the Arab World. This is not 1991, with KK in power. Zambia is not Zim with Mugabe in power. Zambia has successfully witnessed peace transition of power from three seating presidents through the ballot box, something that can’t be said about the regimes you are comparing us to.
MMD is capable of even rulling this country for the next 50 yrs if the opposition does not get its act together. In MMD we have a system and other parties don’t
Remember A. Wina was never = to MMD. FTJ was never = MMD , LPM was never = MMD and even today RB is not = MMD.
Can the same be said of the others? That is why we shall rule for another 50 yrs. Get used to that fact and join the wining tean and be in a winners circle and ride success for the next 50 years.
As for me and my fellow patriotic Zambians too rational and sober to fall for utopia,we remain unflinchingly for Zambia with RB and his people’s National ruling Party-MMD. Again in Decision 2011, “We win and or we win”.
We confess there shall be no constituency, ward, branch or region where RB and ruling party will ever fall in 3rd position. RB/MMD will emerge in first and second slots only but in a winner takes it all system by aggregate, the outcome will be actually a renewal of MMD mandate. Take it or leave it PF kaponya with your utopia you are in a political cul-de-sac. Frivolous court injunctions doomed so are your self damaging calls for violence. Zambia is bigger than disoriented Sata with fragrance for Talibalism.
As for me and my fellow patriotic Zambians too rational and sober to fall for utopia,we remain unflinchingly for Zambia with RB and his people’s National ruling Party-MMD. Again in Decision 2011, “We win and or we win”.
We confess there shall be no constituency, ward, branch or region where RB and ruling party will ever fall in 3rd position. RB/MMD will emerge in first and second slots only but in a winner takes it all system by aggregate, the outcome will be actually a renewal of MMD mandate. Take it or leave it PF kaponya with your utopia you are in a political cul-de-sac. Frivolous court injunctions doomed so are your self damaging calls for violence. Zambia is bigger than disoriented Sata with fragrance for Talibalism.
SATA cannot win. Instead of increasing tax on companies, If I were Sata this is what I would be saying in my campaign:
1) Relax the cost of production by lowering tax to increase productivity.
2) Strengthen labour laws to do with minimum wage linked to profitability of individual companies to ensure all workers for good profit companies are above the minimum taxable threshold.
By ensuring (1) above I will make it easier for the companies to comply with (2).
By ensuring (2) I will be making the employees happy and motivated for productivity while at the same time increasing the BASE for PAYE; remember that PAYE is the most sure and reliable tax any govt can get.
By ensuring both (1) and (2) I will be making both the employer and the employee happy promoting industrial harmony.
Unfortunately, that sort of rational thinking is in short supply, if not non-existent. The employer is usually seen as the ‘enemy’.
if many more people in Zambia were are able to understand what you just said, the country would have been a much better place.
PF and its talibanism doomed its time for change of PF leadership and vision.
…I like this…’if it ain’t broken, then don’t fix it’
this is a good analysis which no one can dispute. I was in Ndola and had a chat with Kafulafuta senior citizen where Patrick Mwanawasa has stood. Patrick will loose despite carrying the big name of Mwanawasa in the Zambian politics. He has failed to win support and in the first place he thought it was going to be the walk over but has a rude shock. In the first place Patrick is using Mpombo as campaign manager and Mpombo did nothing to develop the same area. On the analysis of Mr. Kapumpe, MMD will carry the day.
Realistic
Now for you Mr SATA, by increasing TAX on the employer how do you hope to enhance better paying jobs??
Dont you know that an over-taxed employer makes less profit and is less willing to pay well??
What is the value of reducing PAYE (to leave more money in the worker’s pocket) when the employer does have the capacity to pay the worker good salary??
What is better about reducing PAYE on a worker getting K3M compared to taxing 30% a worker who gets K10M??
Please SATA, work out your maths, if you have any and tell us which one is beneficial??
Any clever grade 7 will tell you that you are better off taxing a worker 30% on his/her K10M, than have a worker get K3M and not tax them because in the former both the worker and GRZ have more money in their pockets. Lets be serious!!!
THE CHAP IS POLITIVCALLY DRUNK AS HE PUT IT..HE IS FORGETTING THAT 1. PF TOOK MPOLOKOSO WHICH WAS FOR MMD,2. PF IS TAKING MPONGWE WHICH WAS 4 MMD, 3. PF IS TAKING CHIPATA CENTRAL WHICH WAS 4 MMD,4. PF IS TAKING KAFULAFUTA AND MOST LIKELY TO PERFORM WELL IN NDOLA RURAL AS A WHOLE. 5 MMD HAS LOST WESTERN PROVINCE BECAUSE OF KILLING PEOPLE LIKE RATS. 6. HIS ANALYSIS THAT RB HAS GAINED GROUND IN LSK AND CB ARE BASELESS/DREAMING/HULUCINATIONS LET HIM CARRY A SURVEY OF WHAT IS ON THE GROUND…….MMD HAS LOST…LET THESE SPONSORED CHAPS NOT BRING IN RIGGING TACTICS WE KNOW THIS..FOWARD WITH PF
PF in capital letters Again, Why this trend with PF supporters,
Its time for PF to make some serious introspection. Evidenced by his insulting tendencies of our traditional leaders, women and all leaders, Sata’s state of mental disorientation has exponentially been worsened by having a cursed Wynter Kabimba publicly declared by his own father that he disapprove his failed thinking and fragrance for violence.
The only danger the MMD ever faced was the so called ‘PACT’ but this could not stand as there are selfish motives in the two parties. We told you time and time again that the pact would not stick, but you boasted and talked as if the elections had already been conducted. The Pact crumbled, but you still cant tell us we were right all along. When we say RB is winning, you will still not accept until the inevitable happens….well, that is your true charecter, stubbon and really rough both physically and in thoughts.
#01. You are another MMD chap
Mr SATA, why not promote an environment where employers will be able to pay people more money so that every worker qualifies for PAYE and contributes to GRZ revenue while remaining with enough in their pockets?
Why squeeze the employer such that his profits cannot allow him to pay worker descent wages which can go above taxable figures and end up with a workforce that thinks is happy because they are not taxed yet with no disposable income?
Ending up in a scenario where both this worker and his employer are unmotivated.
THE CHAP IS POLITIVCALLY DRUNK AS HE PUT IT..HE IS FORGETTING THAT 1. PF TOOK MPOLOKOSO WHICH WAS FOR MMD,2. PF IS TAKING MPONGWE WHICH WAS 4 MMD, 3. PF IS TAKING CHIPATA CENTRAL WHICH WAS 4 MMD,4. PF IS TAKING KAFULAFUTA AND MOST LIKELY TO PERFORM WELL IN NDOLA RURAL AS A WHOLE. 5 MMD HAS LOST WESTERN PROVINCE BECAUSE OF KILLING PEOPLE LIKE RATS. 6. HIS ANALYSIS THAT RB HAS GAINED GROUND IN LSK AND CB ARE BASELESS/DREAMING/HULUCINATIONS LET HIM CARRY A SURVEY OF WHAT IS ON THE GROUND…….MMD HAS LOST…LET THESE SPONSORED CHAPS NOT BRING IN RIGGING TACTICS WE KNOW THIS..FOWARD WITH PF
All comments in CAPITAL LETTERS are from PF supporters why is this trend…. Writing with emotions. Sorry stop comforting yourselves. Come what may, PF is loosing these elections
i will be the first one to delete pf from the zambian politics on the 20th of next month.
#01 sorry. I ment kapumpe. VIVA PF
The author is reminding us of what we know will happen on September 20. We can’t wait to see off the Poor Finishers.
In a word; TRASH
#38…..you will be suprised with the game of numbers, probably shocked.
AT LEAST HE’S CLOSE TO BE BEMBA AND THIS BEMBA PARTY PF CADRES WILL LISTEN, WE HAVE BEEN TELLING THEM FOR A WHILE NOW …. SATA CAN’T RELATE TO ANY RURAL DWELLER APART FROM HIS RELATIVES AND TRIBESMEN, WHILST OTHER CANDIDATES RB AND HH ARE HOME IN THE RURAL.
PF CADRS FORGET THAT ZAMBIA HAS PEOPLE IN THE RURAL APART FROM LUAPULA AND NORTHERN PROVINCE. UPND IS THE PARTY OF THE FUTURE, PF AFTER SATA IS BLEAK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Hahahaha smiling :)))my smile will even be wider come 21olo22!iyi te fiction but gospel truth!were mmd will loose they will be second not 3rd or4th like other parties and if you maths that will be to our advantage!congrats mmd congrats Rb for winning again nafuti nafuti!Tu pf very silent eh donchi fimo fimo iyi ifyabupuba!
Good analysis. In 2008 I didnt know RB so I voted Sata, but after three years and seing what RB has done and capable of doing, my vote is definately RB’s.
Mwansa how much have u been given?
Truth some times will only be visible to sages,the wise.What the author has said is plane truth.During the 2006 elections I was in Lusaka. Soweto Market was a no go zone for the MMD. I remember late President Mwanawasa being diverted because of the hostility that was there at the market at the time. This time it appears MMD is having an upper hand,Tha same is the true in Kitwe at Chisokone Market. MMD campaign material stuck is intact very much unlike the previous scenarios. Even among students; the hostility has waned. But unlike the author I wish to differ with him. It’s not being intoxicated.It’s the question of naivety and gullibility [pardon me]. You know fanatism knows no objectivity…….that is the problem with die hards…….I rest.
Let them put more posters but DONCI KUBEBA….LETS WAIT AND SEE…UZADABWA 20 SEPT
Kwena wasata! Tatusambilila fwebantu. Is Representation in four provinces equal to representation in 9 provinces. Stop deceiving our leaders Kapumpe. Unomuku naikakana. I doubt if we shall sail through as MMD. I am concerned as a genuine MMD not you who are after cashing in and we know you are actually PF. My surveys in Lusaka alone shows that PF did its homework some time back and ‘the don’t kubeba’ thing is a dangerous saying. Remember almost 50+1% of voters are from Lusaka, Luapula, Copperbelt and Northern. We as MMD have mismanaged Ndola Rural, Chongwe and Kafue, Western Provice and Mangani Phiri. If we MMD where realistic enough and not telling our leaders lies, a better strategy would have been devised to win the elections. Sure this year is tougther than any other year.
Sadly with its culture of personality cult, PF has killed itself from the word go but increasingly with with adulteration of substituting its core membership with valueless outcasts already rejected by the masses for their dangerous incompetence. As a result, PF has become a political shell in a serious crisis. Its in a political “quagmire” impossible to redeem itself with utopia.
What do you expect from a legion of the following?
George Mpombo,
Mike Mulongoti
Kambwili
Ms. ICASA Nkandu Luo
Gay Scott
Wynter Kabimba
Silvia Masebo
Fred M’membe (Chasing for ZA scams)
Ackim Nkole (after a US $20, 000/Month tax payers money)
Lameck Mangani
Panji Kaunda (polistitute-certified Political Vagabond in every election)
Malimba Masheke
Bob Sichinga (Zambian AntiChrist-Mansonist daily at the Lodge
Kambwil, masebo, luo, mangani are winning their seats like it or not meaning the are loved by people in ttheir constituences only natural haters like you who are blind
Senior fimo fimo be true to your self. These are more credible leaders than yourself a blind follower and boot liker. We can bet that Silvia and Mangani will still emerge winners in their respective constituencies. They are principled and independent. Come September 20 you will pack your bags.
Well Mr srn citizen some of these politicians ll win the elections in their constituencies BUT just the combination of them all can HARSHLY spil the soup….. God forbide.
Ala ba Junior Citizen bakopo. durin our time at primary sch ebaleikala ku group 4. very senceless chap. changamuka PF is winin
there is nothing intelligent about the author’s analysis as it is simple common sense.MMD stand a higher chance of winning the elections simply because they are the incumbent with a president with too much power at his disposal.And also not forgeting that the ECZ Itself leaves much to be desired in terms of its objectivity.
Can they win the hearts of rational voters and be change to RB/MMD?
On what grounds can they or are they a change to Zambia??????
Its a blessing to be a Zambian where you see intellectuals argue on opinion and claim, them being issue based. Whats, where and how do you do that and claim you’re intellectuals?
Lets read and comprehend article later comment whats appropriate to the article.
With a heading like that,no person either side will want to accept that as the truth about their party.It so because we all will swallow greedily any lie that flatters us but sip little by little truth we find bitter.That is why victory will always have a hundred fathers claiming it but no one will want to recognize defeat as his own.This Sept we’ll be waiting to see those who are magnanimous enough to accept these hard truths.
I love my old man RB, I wish I was that close to him to advise him on how best to deal with issues instead of these wicked people who have been hiting him behind but meanwhile they give him wonderful picture of things. RB these people are ‘dont kubeba’ people, they are after your money. Money may have some influence but there are lessons to be learnt ask Captain Austin Chewe and Mumbi Phiri. Who had more money between the two and who won? Lets tell our leaders the truth so that they plan properly.
Iwe kapumpe chikala, what material has RB prepared, its tax payers money, you must be VERY dull. Are you happy to see money being wasted in this manner by this careless government of the MMD. Come 20th september, you kapumpe, your RB and your MMD, KUYA BEBELEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE. VIVA PF
# 56,
There goes PF defeatists preparing their mind that the Tsunami they have been wishfully hallucinating about against ruling MMD and Zambians is actually a figment of self induced utopia.
it is unfortunately true! There is unfortunately no other party that can give us the change we need and want, so we would rather stay with the devil we know, than the devil we don’t…!
Ba #28 and you wonder why Zim is where it is now….I will not further ague with you…you have the muyaya syndrome hence pointless discussing further….Viva PF viva Sata…. we need change and quick…not 50 years Ba MMD are hoping for
#56 Alokomosho,
I dont agree with the reasons you have given; incumbent, too much power at their disposal, etc is not enough reason.
The issue is popularity not too much power, incumbency and stough like that.
If those reasons were holding all the time, then Kaunda would not have lost in 1991 because he was ‘incumbent’; he had power at his disposal, etc.
What I know about elections is ‘popularity’ and not not what you have stated in your submission.
If SATA had the view you have, he would not even campaign, let alone stand as a candidate to compete in the elections.
again poor analysis. though you might be supporting RB and MMD your analysis is very shallow. Donot bring up here personal opinions and make them general. It is not a general perception that your MMD and RB have done excellent work. Did you ready yesterday’s article by Dr. Ngoma how he analysed issues basing on general principles. If you are MMD supporter don’t waste our time giving us nonsense analysis here. i donot support any political party but i would rather be interested to read articles that point to facts with general principles. don’t vomit this rubbish again here.
PF will massively command Copperbelt,Luapula,Northern,Lusaka,Kabwe,Livingstone,and some parts of Western.He is likely to win this year with or without PACT.Remember Shiiii Donchi Kubeba is real and spreading more than wild fire.Thanx
exclude western province from your list my dear!
Please, exclude Livingstone as well, we just find that chap Sata here amusing and thats were it ends. The only parties in competition here are MMD and UPND.
What about the negative side of MMD? are you analyzing or you are just a mmd supporter???/
I couldn’t agree more, this is very true
DONT MISLEAD PIPO, PF ALSO HAVE GAINED IN CHONGWE/CHIPATA CENTRAL/MONGU CENTRAL/LWANGENI/MUFUBWE/LIVINGSTONE JUST TO MENTION A FEW I CAN ASSURE YOU MMD HAVE LOST MUCH OF THE SUPPORT SEEING FLAGS ALL OVER IS NOT A SIGN OF POPULARITY INDEED I AGREE THIS YEARS ELECTIONS WILL BE A SURPRISE….I ALREADY SAW IT SATA IS PRESIDENT…
Another PF supporter in CAPITAL LETTERS
Senior Citizen # 55 Do know that Kambwili, masebo, mangani are winning their seats like it or not? meaning they are loved by people in ttheir constituences only natural haters like you who are blind. These people have performed well in their constituences and they have no match. Ask your fellow MWADYA MWEKA DADY(MMD).. They will tel u the truth..Its just a walk over for them whether MMD PUMPS IN BILLIONS
PF will massively command Copperbelt,Luapula,Northern,Lusaka,Kabwe,Livingstone,Chipata and some parts of Western.It is likely to win this year with or without a PACT.Remember Shiiii Donchi Kubeba is real and spreading more than wild fire. VIVA PF OOOO SHIIII
dont mislead pipo Chuck b..PF is now NOWHERE
The Pact was the real hope. This year, even town centre has MMD supporters unlike last time.
Fake analysis am CB residence the authour is just lying, he was given Rubbish Bamba (RB) sh.it to write this diarhorea article.
Viva PF the ever growing party since it was formed.
Your assesment seem to be biased. I live in the UK but very much intune with what is happening back home. The best way to write your article is to be balanced and clearly state that you are giving your own opinion. You may have not even toured the whole country, but basing your assesment on assuptions. Lets be positive, pro-active and pray for peaceful elections for Zambia. Don’t win before people vote.
Very good piece indeed.The only problem is that the truth hurts!MMD nafuti.
#: The are busy preparing you for a result that has been determined. If Mubarak can be brought down; what about a mere farmer? Keep dreaming because even if you “WIN”; we know people have never wanted MMD since 2001. The anger has been boiling; prepare enough money for asylum bane; life is tough out here.
I forgot about the PACT. PF & UPND knew that they stood a better chance together than apart. If not, why waste valuable campaign resources and time pursuing the PACT. PF & UPND going it alone at this late hour is not ideal.
@ MMD Bootlicker, i may not agree with your comments all the time but you have made a valid point here. Very few political parties can avoid the strongman (party = president) syndrome, for that we have to commend the MMD.
Iwe FINE! you dont know what you talking about. The mines, that normal tax they re suppose to pay to the gvmnt its the one they steal from us. The are supposed to be taxed by 36%, in that 36% the money wich they re supposed to pay to gvmnt they again steal like quarter of that 36%. We individuals pay more tax than the mines, they make alot of money salary increment is also a problem with these pipo they dont want to increase salaries of workers & your Rubbish Bamba supports that but they failed to be registerd in London Stock exchange saying there salaries are not the standard of the London Stock Exchange they re too little.
Both needs to be revised salaries & tax on these mines, again we employess been taxed too much our money jst been wasted by gvmnt.
In 2008,within three months, RB won with a small margin, now three years of preparation will lead to RB winning with a massive margin. PF just accept this truth……….if you are normal and sober
no factual trends in analysis and just full of fear, speculations to warrant such headings. … not worth taking seroiusly.
RBish article, we need to know why they should win!
PF is dead:((
Latest provincial opinion polls by African Political Research: Lusaka Province: HH 10%, SATA 68%, RB 18% and 4% undecided.Central Province: SATA 48%, RB 26%,HH 24%. Eastern Province: RB 58%, SATA 28%, HH 12%. Southern Province: HH 60%, RB 20%, SATA 15%. Copperbelt Province: SATA 69%, RB 18%, HH 13%. Luapula Province: SATA 51%, RB 30% HH 15%. North Western Province: HH 39%, RB 36%, SATA 24%. Western Province: RB 28%, HH 30%, SATA 42%. Northern Province: SATA 60%, RB 30%, HH 10%. 1% error margin RT:..Source: UNZA OPEN
PF APPROSCING STATE HOUSE..VIVA MWAMUKOLO
Hey, i have heard of this ‘African Political Research’ tell me, have they found an office now or they still operating from your kitchen?
Keep on dreaming!! Sata and PF are dead!!!
@ Zero Boys, u’re indeed a zero! What change is PF when it is actually the MMD of 2001 and RB’s MMD is a whole new party. Your kind of thinking makes me feel that that some Zambian think the mere changing of a name is change. PF is simply a splinter MMD, period. And the splitting is not and was not in good faith..
I did not even finish reading this biased article which is badly written to please the masters. if these are the lies you are feeding your bosses, you will kill them with heart attack on 21st sept my dear friend. be careful their blood may be required on your dirty hands false prophets of doom who have chosen to cast a blind eye on reality on the ground and instead feed on telling your masters what they want to hear. woe unto you.
Just a question. What is Pabwato in Tonga or Nyanja for that matter? I wonder whether or not in SP, for example, it would have been better to use the Tonga equivalent of Pabwato (in Bemba). Pabwato sounds a bit too Bemba for rural Zambia, I think. Talk of charm?
Why PF IS WINNING the 2011 elections (1) RB is corrupt (2) MMD using tax payers money for campigns and pipo are saying ‘Dont Kubeba’ (3) Dora ‘Parton’ Siliya insulted the catholics who are going to vote enmass to remove the insults from politics (4) RB panicking as seen in his last minutes development issue.. pipo are saying ‘Dont Kubeba’ (5) Teachers and civil servants are underpaid and will protest by voting out the MMD (6) PVT will be used and there will be no more rigging…. etc.
# 84 GOOD OPINION POLL…TRUE REFLECTION OF WHAT IS ON THE GROUND PF IS HEADED FOR VICTORY NO MATTER WHAT…..1 THING JOKES ASIDE CHI SATA CHAUME, LOOK AT HOW PF HAS GROWN FROM NOTHING….GIVE CREDIT WERE ITS DUE…
Another PF Cadre in Capital Letters
#18 Zero Boyz, you are so right and # 28 MMD Chief Bootlicker, you are mad
:d Pwwaaaa ! The man is drunk from MMD regalia and Tshirts. Infact i think he wrote the article with a hangover after a lot of MMD sponsored pints . Ba Mudala this article we cant even call it analysis, buko ubu . wabikapo neshina lyobe . Wanseksha. Ba Chelsea( MMD) mwawa !! Bola ni 90 minutes
PF cannot lose to win, read btwn the lines
It’s another day…the 20th of Sept. is around the corner. RB has my vote. No doubt about it.
Ubu Bukopo. Dullness in English. We’ll forgive the writer he is doing Sebana wikuta. A few things are correct but the resoning was over powered by his MMD bootlicking inner weakness. True that PF has lost support in Lusaka but so has MMD in western , N/W and central. MMD has also lost ground in parts of Eastern hence the presidents numerous trips there. The MMD stronholds in Northern ( Namwanga regions like Mpulungu have been invaded by Pf and MMD will not win with big gaps. Lastly UPND is not a spoiler, this strategy to belittle UPND has not yielded results as the party is gaining ground by the time the whistle is blown UPND will cross the line first with 34% of the vote. MMD will be second with 33 and PF with 32% its a tight race
Bapompwe ba MMD you know very well that Sata and PF have already won these elections come rain come sunshine. The best way to extrapolate an hypothesis is to sample and base your reaserch on the ground. PF has been winning the by-elections, it has deeply GAINED in areas where it was not even known. Just a glimpse of how bad it is for MMD, you saw yesterday that the ZNBC vuvuvellas could not show the rallies of RB in Luapula because the DONT KUBEBA is so strong so they ended up showing a clip in Chipata where he went to attend the Kulumba fimofimo! MMD is gone and for your own data, people are very annoyed to see their money wasted on cheap chitenges and T-shirts when they have no food in their homes. On 20th September, 2011 every Zambian knows what is needed. We decided on Sata and PF
i agree mmd is the only wining team in this years elections
Shallow minded chaps, Senior citizens belong to UNIP ONLY. If you go to Turvens and find Old Madalas drinking Chibuku beer, and then cause you are broak they turn to shappen you with lies in exchange to Chibuku beer that Partrick will loose in Kafulafuta BLARY BASCKET. If you go to Ndola central, Chisokone market even Lusak’s Soweto Market and find full of posters of Mr. Commisin or Mr. Development you think those are votes. You do not even have a VOTERS CARD, Alah Malabish. Mr. Bwaly, mwalyano chabe ba MMD. DON’T KUBEBA .
This author is very stupid.which instruments were u using to come up with this analysis.dont just wake up and say things that u think can make sense.Please dont analyse issues of this magnitude just becoz u heard people in a mini bus saying sata has lost popularity.be professional.Anyway,i no MMD has sponsored u to write such but tell Rupiah that pipo have already decided that Banda is going.
Is this the same Mumba Kapumpe the the white headed Lawyer? What he is saying about PF is actually the opposite because I feel PF is a much stronger force than it was in the previous elections for the following reasons:
PF have managed to compete for 99% of the seats in parliament this time around (148/150), Seats such as Chongwe, Kafulafuta, Mbala, Mpulungu, Nakonde, Kapiri, Chipata,Kabwe,Chilanga,Nchelenge,etc, which belonged to MMD are likely to fall in PF’s hands this time around.Sata’s performance in Eastern, Southern, North-Western and Central will greatly improve as compared to last perfomance.This years’ election is a 50/50 affair, Sata stand as much a better chance as RB and people should stop coming up with fake articles like this one-its a 50/50 affair baba,stop cheating RB!
No that one is kampumpu
UNEXPECTED, IT WILL NAVER HAPPEN,IT WONT HAPPEN,NAVERTHELESS IT WAS EXPECTED,IT WILL HAPPEN ON 20,SEPETEMBER 2011 SOMETHING NEW IN ZAMBIA
Ba Kapumpe. Tell us something we dont know. Every sane Zambian knows that MMD will carry the day. This site is becoming boring. nafuti nafuti.
It’s amaizing that we have people or workers who are content and happy in RD’s govt. It’s true when others are crying, others are rejoicing. I must belong to the crying majority. It will only be for another 5 yrs there is still hope after all.
Honestly which sane being can vote for someone who is not telling you anything?Posters of him gesturing his not telling you anything have been printed and stuck allover, and you go ahead and vote?Even a oneparty state ‘democracy’,a candidate says what he will do.PF is on a self implosion mode bane.Only uninformed f00ls will vote for PF.
THIS IS DREAMING, RB HAS LOST POPULARITY AS COMPARED TO PF….MIND U THE DIFFERENCE WAS 35000 VOTES, LOOK AT PF NEWS SUPPORT IN CHONGWE, KAFULAFUTA, CHIPATA, SOLWEZI, MONGU…..THIS CHAP IS JUST A DREAMER PAID TO WRITE STUPID ARTICLES…..RB IS GOING DONT BE MISLEAD BY THE CAMPAIGN MATERIAL. FOR YO INFOR, RB AS AT NOW HE HAS NO STRONG HOLD NO WONDER IS EVERY DAY GOING TO EASTERN IN THE HOPE THAT USING TRIBALISM HE CLAIM EASTERN BACK FROM PF……BUT THIS YR IS A YR FOR CHANGE AND HIS PACKING HIS KATUNDU TO THE FARM……DONCHI KUBEBA
@Shimaini
Its really difficult to understand were the PF get their confidence that they have increased support in areas where they were not popular. I think these propaganda statements need to be taken with a pinch of salt. In 2008 we heard these stories about Mwamukolo and it was the same type of results. For your own infor there was less support for Sata on this recent campaign trail in the western province. In N/W people are bitter about the old mans reaction after the death of those people that were being ferried in canters and the support their was not all that. We come to Kabwe were the PF gets most of their votes, the UPND had a bigger following than PF despite the fact that the rallies were only two days apart with the UPND one being on a working day.
When sata came to Lstone, two or three days ago the whole city was deserted and if he’s not making any gains then I don’t what that was.
This article is a psychological kind of a game by those in favor of MMD.They have been sponsoring fake opinions polls and articles of this nature in order to make people believe that the MMD will win.this is not correct and the article is misleading.What proof is there to show that MMD will win ndola central? remeber they lost a by election in chifubu,a constituency next to ndola central.what about the inroads that PF has made in kabwe,solwezi,mpulungu? mbala? western province and luapula?
Like in 2008 and 2006. PF will not perform well in Western, Central and Northwestern. Kafulafuta is too close to call as Patrick is a novice in politics whose PR is misguided at the moment. Chipata also another tricky one. we dont know whether mangani won because of MMD or because of himself. No Propaganda involved here but PF is no longer the threat they were in previous elections. Coupled by poor performance from PF MP’s. Its very very unlikley that PF will win by big margins in Lusaka. Even the donchi kubeba and pabwato vans in the streets dont get the atttention they used to get. Even on these blogs.If you were here in 2008 you will agree with me that it was Pabwato all over but that is history. Take it or leave it
Lets get things straight here. There are no PF inroads in Western , North Western or Central Province. The only in roads are in Mpulungu and Mporokoso it will be lost as PF have dropped Misapa for a person who is not a local.
Latest provincial opinion polls by African Political Research: Lusaka Province: HH 30%, SATA 28%, RB 32% and 4% undecided.Central Province: SATA 14%, RB 36%,HH 44%. Eastern Province: RB 58%, SATA 18%, HH 22%. Southern Province: HH 80%, RB 20%, SATA 0%. Copperbelt Province: SATA 49%, RB 38%, HH 13%. Luapula Province: SATA 41%, RB 40% HH 15%. North Western Province: HH 75%, RB 05%, SATA 11%. Western Province: RB 28%, HH 50%, SATA 22%. Northern Province: SATA 30%, RB 50%, HH 20%. PF Sorry, you have failed again
full time dreamer…u are not going anywere with your HH PROMOTION
RB will lose at least 3 seats in Eastern Province-he will be embarassed in Chipata where his farm is and he will also lose the seat in Malambo due to the Kaunda factor.He has also to fight for survivor in Mongu and Nalolo-the fact that he is been frequenting his province and not bothering to gain courage to face the people of western for the sins committed there is a huge mistake and he will be purnished for this-last minute make up to go and and solicity for votes will even make the people of Western more determined to punish him. Indeed the Indunas might have gotten away with fat brown envelopes to calm the situation, but what matters are the majolity populars.Whoever was advising RB on Western/Barostse blundered, RB should have visted Western immediately after the shooting & not now.
FACT = UPND and MMD have made inroads in Lusaka
. FICTION= PF has made in roads in western Province and North Western. FACT= MMD only has one stronghold Eastern Province left FICTION: PF has made in roads in Central province. FACT= UPND are favourites in Central , Southern , Western and N/Western. FICTION = PF has made in roads in Lenje land. FACT = UPND has more support in high Kabwe than the PF. FICTION: MMD will win these elections. FACT= Rigging will be very difficult this year. FICTION ( STUPIDITY) = The race is between MMD and PF
Accepting realitty is better than dreaming/hulucinations, your UPND is far from what u are saying…HH IS FAR FOM RB AND SATA…and by what is on the ground sata is WINNING
I feel sorry for UPND. They had a chance to ride on the PF ticket but because of the selfishness of their leader and tribalism of most supporters, they lost that chance. What UPND should have done was to support Michael Sata this time. Let Hakainde be Vice President for the next five or even ten years. that way he would have gained experience having worked with the Master SATA. Not only that, but after Sata, we would have all rallied behind him to takeover. But you see now, because of greed, you jumped off the boat and will soon be out of the picture. Meanwhile Sata is marching straight to State House. The fact is, PF did not need UPND to win the election coz it’s been winning the past three only to be stollen by the MMD. UPND on the other hand needed PF. TRUTH IS PF IS WINNING THIS ONE.
You are a Bemba Tribalist!!!
Just look at the caliber of PF supporters then you know what is at stake for them,SATA is going to chitulika village to become headman whether you like it or not.
Read todays Post and see what RB is doing to the resources of this Country. 20 GRZ vehicles stolen and replaced with private number plates?, And you call RB an Angel?. This is absolute madness. Read the post and see for yourself, also call the PS incharge of works & supply, he will confirm. Nonsense!
Ba #85 you are failing to see that chnge with PF will bring all your MMD corrupt guys to book and reinstatement of Task Force am sorry your uncle who gave you the job is equally going…. Come this coming month new President Michael Chilufya Sata…. then you will see what change is all about….its the same way Zimbabwe is not changing because of people like you…. 20 years now you want to claim Banda is working or MMD…Please twapapata…. Viva Sata Viva PF
RB will win,but i just wish this time he won’t be flying in and out of the country like we witnessed
in his 3year rule.Hope will concentrate on developing the country and lessen his trips abroad.
Its interestingly good. You know pipo an election is the most tricky activity because it is done secretly. Hence, I want to advise the author that this year’s election may go either way: UPND, MMD or PF. People are not predictable, they come for rallies but fail to vote for you. I want to give an example of the pictures the Post Newspapers gave us for Sata’s tour of Mwininlunga in 2008 by-election. The pictures showed that PF leader was welcomed with a thunderous welcome but when it came to votes Sata got 26 votes. It’s interesting really.
Yes you may say in 2008 he got 26 votes but in last years elections these were the results MMD=5005 and PF=4419. Which one has improved between the two. In Mporokoso, Kawambwa and Samya MMD lost the last by elections.
this is a very poor analysis! RB is not as popular as you think! firstly western province has been traditionally an MMD stronghold but since the Barotse shooting they have lost popularity. Even the emergence of Milupi has not done them any good! Remember that with the emerging of other political parties even MMD is losing supporters! you speak like the opposition vote is fixed, splittng of votes will also affect MMD. On HH, if he decided not to stand southern province would have gone to MMD and not PF so HH standing is actually to PFs advantage! MMD has lost influential people like Masebo, Mangani and Patrick Mwanawasa to the PF, so PF has grown in terms of leadership and influence. I expect PF to win Mongu, Chipata, Chongwe and kafulafuta which were all MMD. Please don`t lie to us!!!
When was Patrick Mwanawasa ever influential? He has never been tested
#116. Do u expect the past-newspaper to report anything favourable. You will always be on the losing side. U must be an arsenal supporter. shameeee.
FYA BOLA ##### MASEBO, MANGANI AND PATRICK MWANAWASA INFLUENCIAL, SINCE WHEN MY FRIEND. QUIET HONESTLY, I DIDNT EVEN KNOW MANGANI BEFORE HE DEFECTED TO PF. I WILL NOT TALK ABOUT PATRICK BECAUSE I DONT THINK I HAVE TIME. SYLVIA YES BUT SYLVIA WON THAT SEAT IN 2001 UNDER ZRP BUT THE VOTE WENT TO LEVY. HAVE I PUMPED SENCE NOW???????
NO SENSE I N YOUR ANALYSIS
meembeee……..i guess you didnt understand me! Even if you didnt know Mangani he is still a huge factor in eastern province and he has the capacity to frustrate the MMD in chipata Central. for patrick what i meant was that he has the name Mwanawasa and he is standing is his dads former constituency even you should agree that he is a factor in that area. and masebo has chongwe in her palms.
..God can never allow the devil to rule Zambia. God loves us and he will protect us from the evil ones. You and your friends should realise that Satan Chilucifer is not a good man. Remember, Satan will always make everything attractive to tempt you..Sata is doing the same. He sounds attractive to the common man, but the consequences will be dire.
Silly! why didnt he protect us from Chiluba? Dont take the lords name in vain! God has given us wisdom to make our choices so he doesnt play any part in this.
There will be change with PF in gvmnt, it simple give pipo what they want. Most imprtantly we pipo think dffferently, our current gvmnt has wrong priorities. We say we want employment, clean water, medical facilities, food, education etc only to be given geysers wich we the pipo dont want. One MC SATA says no how when pipo dont have running water from taps? RB gave us mobile hospitals which are very expnsive (fuel, tyres, maintance oil etc, allowance medicals prsonel etc) than building permanent hospitals & will not last more than 3 years coz of these bad dust roads recently rehabilitatd. Investers dont pay enough tax (tax evasion) the gvmnt knws but has never done anything. MC SATA says I will make sure the mines pays according to what they re supposed to pay & Zambians benefit. Viva PF
PF is muhc bigger today than previous years. So many people are on board and the People’s pact forum is helping a lot. PF IS WINNING.
#122 sata is a catholic but can you tell me which church your RB belongs to?
Sata is a Catholic but NOT a Christian. The point then is that both RB and Sata are unbelievers. Actually, the word Catholic is not even in The Bible.
#124..it is not just being a catholic by name. It must be by deed as well. We all know Sata’s behaviour over nurses, some he married and devorced. We also know that he prides in beeing called the ‘cobra’ the serpent which is bibblically cursed. Sata said from his mouth that he supports Gay behaviour, so what is it that you want to put accross?
sata will carry the day whether you like it or not. he has been gaining grounds inthe areas where he was not popular. Like serenje central, chitambo, kambwe, livingstone, chongwe, kafulafuta, parts of north western province and part of western province.Sata performed well even in the by-elections and he never lost any seat belonging pf through it. RB. won because he used the dead to win the elections who was gaining approval of many zambians including those who did not vote him. Mukonse Mr Kampupe, THIS YEAR WE WANT CHANGE. EITHER HH OR MCS.
Read #43. it is a stronger analysis in a few lines than the article. By elections are a much better indicator of what is bound to happen in these elections
PF will lose for sure,what we should know is that these guys know that they are losing but its DONCHI KUBEBA at work.Kabimba and Scout are very much aware that they are lossing but what they want is Sata to leave the party in their hands without distroying it so that come 2016 Kabimba can also say he is standing as president.If they told sata today that they know that he is not winning,the fear is that the party can die there and then so they want to go till 2016,they mislead sata by telling him that he can win without the UPND/PF pact.They were scared of position sharing once the pact formed government.After 20 sept 2011 PF will be another FDD which is only existing on paper.I hope the sick old man will not stand in 2016 thereby hindering Kabimba`s ambitions of standing as president.
why is the caliber of pf so shallow?
# 130 u dont know that your calibre is shallow???? coz
I wonder if this so-called analysis is based on any objective facts. It seems to leave out one determinant factor, namely the people themselves. How many did the author of this article interview?
Anyway, we’ll wait for the day, when the waters of the people’s choice will separate the grain from the dirt.
Pama Fyololo………………………………………………… 3months preparation, PF was flogged, 3 Years preparations, PF will be “scankadized”
Sata is winning in 21 days. His vision for Southern province is great. Choma to be the provincial capital. Monze Agric College turned into a University. Water water water to be drilled in southern. My advice to Sata is to appoint young independents winning MPs into his cabinet for balance of power. Appoint someone from MMD to Home Affairs or gender ministry. We are with you. Change of president is good. Let each bring their ideas for development.
What the author has forgotten is that it is DONCHI KUBEBA
MMD will los the following provinces; Luska, Copperbelt, Western, Southern, Luapula, Norhern and probably Central. They may only manage to share Eastern and North-Western leading narrowly.
PF will carry Lusaka, Copperbelt, Northern, Luapula, Western and take good percentages from Eastern, Central and some improvements from Southern, North QWestern and Eatern province.
Remember that PF lost narrowly by 35,000 votes despit the sympathy vote for the MMD and fake promises to continue with the legacy. Discount that and add the Mwanawasa name to the PF and you have victory for the PF. Only rigging can give the MMd any victory and it will not be acceptd thi tim around!!!!!
Now thats an objective analysis. I wasa telling these guys that Patrick Mwanawasa has influence in these elections and they thought otherwise
That’s correct.VIVA SATA VIVA PF PABWATOOOO!
sata will never rule..
KAPUMPE IS ONE OF MANY RBs OUTSIDE MARRIAGE CHILDREN. WHATEVER HES TRYING TO SAY IS EXACT OPPOSITE OF THE TRUTH. RB CANT WIN LUSAKA CENTRAL, NDOLA CENTRAL, HOW? THIS YEAR PF IS MUCH BETTER FOR PF IN ALL THE RURAL AREAS THAN EVER BEFORE. ITS ONLY KAPUMPE WHO SEES THE RB DEVELOPMENT THROUGH HIS TWIT EYES. JUST WAIT FOR THE DAY, YOU WILL DIE FROM Bp. RB WILL WISH HE HAD NEVER BEEN BORN. ON UPND-PF PACT, SOMETIMES 1 AND 1 DONT MAKE TWO, WHEN THERES MISTRUST. VERY FEW PEOPLE CAN WITHSTAND RBs IRRESPONSIBILTY IN ZAMABIA FOR ANOTHER FIVE YEARS, THATS WHERE YOUR DAD, KAPUMPE, FAILS!
Mwembushi mwe, who told you Sata can win elections ? Zambia comprises of 9 provinces and just Lsk and C/B. Mwenkumbamwe. Pasopo
Mr. Kapumpe your analysis is correct, come 20th Sept MMD is winning and UPND will be the next most popular opposition party. CHWE-CHWE-CHWE-CHWE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
WHY Kapumpa’s Daughter is not Sweet…. (Talowa)
……………The moment Kapumpa’s daughter was born was when she lost all the sweet genes. The fact that the father lacks the balls to come out and be a man but prefers boot and ass licking was what spoiled the fruit. Now if the daughter had be conceived of by the gardener or the wife’s cousin as advised by the elders things would have been different.
Well, you have said alot of things people. What really shocks me is that the supporters of UPND and PF have a big problem. It is very difficult to know exactly what they support. The truth is that, these elections will be very much regionalised than any other. All these so called 35000 votes or big support will not help your candidates. From what I am hearing, it will take a miracle for RB to win these elections. These provinces southern, central, north-western and western who ever wins in them their support will carry the day. Mark my words. In any case, HH stand at a very better platform to win now than any other. so for sata to have support in western is just self-delusion from PF part. If you know the voting pattern, then, you will know who is likely to win…!!
Continue dreaming wth your HH
The Problem I have with Rhupia Banda is that his a thief liar and corrupt Zambians are sharp you just won’t walk away with lies. So where and why would Zambians vote for Rhupia? He has stole too much and borrowed too much just to stage an election Mwanawasa made as reach hipic no shreck has taken us backwards senselessly. MMD supporters are in a fools paradise no way are you wining and how where don’t they know that the cosmetic development is senseless borrowing ask yourself if there was budget for pedicle road or any of the junk jobs his doing thieving
Sata is not a leader to be intrusted wit national affairs sorry he loses this election wit hy magn. The man’z ill, tyranical and ardent tribalist. The patern will be vote for pf mps presidential vote for HH in lusaka, cb dont wast yo vote on spent politicians the have had more than enough.
@Zeb Mpinganjira
You are right about MMD but your analysis is getting clouded by your support for PF. PF is not going to carry Western Province. We saw this kind of propaganda in 06/08 but its even diminished this year. I dont see how PF will perform well in Western. They get some votes in Mongu and Nalolo and that will be it. In central also PF has not done any meaningful campaigns to guarantee success. On the contrary UPND has done a lot of work there and received councilors and an MP. If rallies are anything to go by then we can settle it here and now that UPND will do better than PF. We dont expect improvements in southern Province just because Sata was in Southern Province last week.
Statistics from ECZ show that at the Presidential election level the PF has continued to grow since 2001. In 2001 PF got a paltry 3.35%, in 2006 this increased to 29.37% and in 2008 to 38.13%. On the other hand MMD had 28.69% in 2001, 42.98% in 2006 and dropped to 40.09% in 2008.How does Mr Kapumpe explain his assertion that PF is declining in popularity ? To me, it is the opposite and most credible forecasts tell of a close shave on 20 September meaning it could go either way.
In 2008 it was a by election naimwe. The total turnout was lower than 50% so you cant say popularity increased. PF has won the least by elections from 2008 at council and MP level
WE ALL KNOW EITHER OF THE TWO SATA OR RB WILL WIN DESPITE THE FACT THAT HH IS THE BEST…EVEN IN 1964 WE HAD FALSE HOPES IN KK WHEN THERE WERE PEOPLE LIKE MWANAKATWE..
IN 1991 WE SHOULD HAVE TRIED MWANAWASA INSTEAD OF FTJ..
BUT AS USUALL ZAMBIANS HAVE A VERY BIG PROBLEM WHEN IT COMES TO CHOOSING LEADERSHIP…WE GO FOR FALSE HOPES!!! SEE YOU IN 2016
WE ALL KNOW EITHER OF THE TWO SATA OR RB WILL WIN DESPITE THE FACT THAT HH IS THE BEST…EVEN IN 1964 WE HAD FALSE HOPES IN KK WHEN THERE WERE PEOPLE LIKE MWANAKATWE..
IN 1991 WE SHOULD HAVE TRIED MWANAWASA INSTEAD OF FTJ..
BUT AS USUAL ZAMBIANS HAVE A VERY BIG PROBLEM WHEN IT COMES TO CHOOSING LEADERSHIP…WE GO FOR FALSE HOPES!!! SEE YOU IN 2016
ATI DEVELOPMENT?????? EVEN USING THE WORD UNPRECEDENTED DEVELOPMENT AS IF YOU ARE ADDRESSING CHILDREN!!! GO TO BOTSWANA OR RWANDA AND SEE PROPER LEADERS AT WORK…
Excellent analysis. It is shocking that pf members cannot see what many people are seeing.
That is Cairo road analysis based on wishful assumptions.PF never had structures before but now they have officials in every province and district.PF used to depend on Sata’s visitation but now they have establishments o carry out the message even without their presidents presence.PF is the only party that has been on a proggression rate while the other two have been losing ground.If politics and elections are about numbers then i do not know which cave or intoxicating liquid this Kapumpe guy took to come up with such warped analysis
Just watch how PF will sweep Western and North Western provinces and eventually win the elections……………………………………
#89 Thanks for your observation. Just think of it , PF had the courage to hang a big banner written: “DON’T KUBEBA” I THINK THAT WAS A GOOD WAY OF TELLING PEOPLE
OF MONZE THAT WE NEED YOUR VOTES YOU FOOLS. ONE ZAMBIA ONE NATION; why not coin a slogan that you can translate into many languages?
Every zambian now knows that PF is a bemba party. Just look at their slogan, Pabwato, don’t kubeba, and most of their campaign messages are done in bemba, what a shame, PF will be dead and burried after 20th sep. The article is very true, i salute the writer.
The analysis is 100% vividly correct. Douchi slogan will be in Bemba villages only, after 20th September SATA and His LEAVES and Branches will be ashamed of there Insults they are now manefasting on others. Dry spell is coming soon. VIVA HH.
Michael Sata’s PF will win this years elections by a narrow margin.CB,LSK,Luapula and Northern Province will give Sata the highest votes and he will come out first and second in western province and north western province whilst Central and Eastern provinces will also place Sata second best with a very narrow margin.In Southern province Sata will come out third but he will receive more votes than the last elections due to the candidates he has field in to campaign for both themselves and the Sata himself.
KAPUMPE,that’s your opinion,come 20 Sept,you will be very ashamed.Victory is for PF period!!RB is trying to manipulate people with his cosmetic developments.It will not work baba
we wont vote by internet. we will instead physically go to polling stations. the outcome we all know. so lets not have cheap propaganda. am sick of it. sata is our new president. viva PF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
DONT UKU
IBEPA!!!!!
#156. ITS YOU HAS A TRIBAL PROBLEM. EVERY ONE KNOWS THAT BEMBA IS THE MOST WIDELY SPOKEN LANGUAGE IN ZAMBIA BY A CROSS SECTION OF TRIBES. I CAN ONLY GUESS THAT YOU RE A TRIBAL PERSON AND HATE ANYONE WHO EXPRESSES THEMSELVES IN BEMBA. VIVA PF.
The truth hurts… PF is less populat now than in 2008. you just have to pull your socks and convince us that its not a Bemba party just like UPND has to convince us its not a Tonga party.hope the easterners are not supporting RB because he is from the East.
Gaining popularity is not about hanging a lot of chitenge material on the unlit street light poles and pasting so many of RB’s portraits using tax payers money. All this money shall be recovered from MMD carders and their minions and will be put to proper use like buying medicines,blankets,beds in hospitals etc.
EVEN IF U GAVE DOGS VOTERS CARDS,NON OF THOSE DOGS CAN VOTE FOR SATA.I WILL BE AT MAYELA CELEBRATING THE FOOLISHNESS OF SATA ABANDONING AN OBVIOUS WIN BY DITCHING THE PACT.THIS MAN IS A GRADE 7.
VIVA RB,VIVA MMD
RB did not win in 2008 because of skill, he won because people in Zambia at the moment don’t vote for individuals, they vote for political parties. MMD was made popular by Levy’s achievements, that’s the only reason why RB won and it’s the same reason he is going to win again this year.
Most Zambians are really drunk with politics. Kampupe is giving an educated analysis based on the needs of the people, particularly rural people and that RB has exceeded their needs, hence the support. It saddens me to read some of the comments, for they are really coming from politically drunk and frustrated individuals who think change will put money in their pockets. RB has put in place policies for entrepreneurship development and growth and I urge these frustrated individuals to get their asses up and improve their lives cos Sata will never put that money in your pockets. VIVA RB Nafuti, Nafuti
PF cannot do anything, they can’t change the corruption because this is politics. “IF SOMEONE IS GETTING THE CHANCE FOR GETTING HONEY FROM THE POT DEFENITLY HE WILL LICK HER HAND”
hello my dear friends, PF cannot make any changes in Zambia, 100% nothing is going to happen, Politicians are always politicians. My friends, “IF SOMEONE IS HAVING A CHANCE FOR DIPPING HIS HAND INTO A HONEY POT, HE WILL DEFENITLY LICK HIS HAND”, PROMISES WILL REMAIN AS PROMISES, THEY ONLY WANT TO GET THE VOTE THAT IS POLITICS, SO WHO EVER IS COMING IN TO POWER CORRUPTION WILL REMAIN THE SAME. JAI HIND
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