The ruling PF has described as bogus reports of a recent Muvi TV opinion poll which saw UPND’s Hakainde Hichilema emerging winner beating PF candidate Edgar Lungu as the candidate likely to win the January 20 election.
Mr Hichilema amassed over 80 percent of the votes cast with Mr Lungu trailing in distant second with a paltry six point of the vote.
Other candidates shared the remainder of the poll results.
PF Lusaka Province Information and Publicity Secretary Stanley Chumya said in a statement that Muvi TV is running bogus opinion polls to make the UPND popular.
‘PF is a ruling party and there is no way it could have 6 percent in any opinion poll, compared to the UPND which has never ruled this country and only has less than 30 MPs. It is absurd and abnormal,’ Mr Chumya said.
He added, ‘Muvi TV should go out and conduct genuine opinion polls because we know they have been bought and by so doing they are putting this country on fire and misleading the masses so that they put the voting pattern in favour of the UPND.’
Mr Chumya said, ‘We know these people are being paid and we are not going to allow this type of behaviour to continue. As PF we are urging Muvi TV Costa Mwansa specifically to be weary because after January 20 we are winning the election and Muvi TV cannot be pushed around but for Mr Mwansa, he should expect the worst.
But in an interview, Muvi TV General Manager Costa Mwansa dismissed the claims that the opinion polls are bogus.
‘If they are claiming that the opinion polls are bogus, rather than just coming to the media to say they are bogus, let them come up with valid proof that these polls are bogus. These opinion poll have not started now, they started way back. You remember when we did the opinion poll on the PF candidate, didn’t they advertise in the papers that this opinion poll was credible? The PF themselves, let them come to us officially and prove to us that we are running a bogus poll,’ Mr Mwansa said.
He added, ‘Let the PF engaged and we will explain to them. We notified the Electoral Commission before conducting these polls and they gave us a go ahead to run this poll and they checked to see that the poll is verifiable.’
our presidetial candidates are behaving like toddlers….
Who is paying for SMS? why that big margin. I recall during super K when he could stand against a FROG still he could not get such a vote. in fact he had to rig against a frog for him to win in 1988
When Costa Mwansa is talking, just look at his mouth and lips. Lies only. He thinks he will be the next George Chellah. He can’t see that his HH is losing again and again. Some people see using their mouths, mwee
The Post Newspapers polls is bogus too? Which media house can conduct an accurate poll then? All the 4 we have seeing are ranging HH between 60-85%.
My Heritage party has less than 0.1 %
My endorsed party The Poor People’s is noway on the polls.
indeed my brother…look@Rupiah banda so shame full.
I personally see nothing wrong with the poll.
This is an interaction within its customers. They have specifically announced that this is between registered Muvi TV Members and they recently announced that MTN & Airtel lines can be used, I remember and don’t see anything hidden as such are normally business deals.
Like the other week they even showed the statistics where the total number of voters was only around 1,800 people and I don’t see any reason why people should be worried of this.
I agree with you that these polls are opinions of the elites just like any poll in any part of the world.
Now you must understand that these polls are representative of a sample of people who are the helpers for the majority of their extended poor family members who keep asking for help from them. At this time each poor member of these elites who goes to ask for more help to buy food or money for school fees from the elite who takes part in these polls, is reminded of the need to vote for HH so that they will get empowered and stop the embarrassment of having to ask for money from them.
The point is these polls show how unhappy people are with PF. If an elite who can afford decent meals and good life can feel unhappy about PF , what more the poor person?
I’M SURE PF HAS ALSO COMMISSIONED THEIR OWN POLLS BUT THEY CAN’T PUBLISH THE RESULTS BECAUSE HH IS LEADING.
Muvi TV will be vindicated on the 21st.
Kunda, so called because you are just hiding behind the name, PF does not an opinion poll by MUVI to win this election. PF has already done this through the infrastructure it has delivered throughout the country. UPND has delivered zero and are the ones desperate and running to MUVI. Even children, non-voters and non-Zambian have participated in this MUVI poll. Stop deceiving yourselves.
To dismiss such polls is simply taking a distorted and simplistic view, because these represent the opinions of the people with means to support them selves without too much care about who is government or not.
The reality is these elites in the polling sample are in touch with their poor extended families busy encouraging them to vote HH to improve their situations.
I am in the UK but I am in touch with my family members at home busy encouraging them to vote HH so that things get better for them to stop asking for help from me every time.
One elite like me can reach at least 10 members of my family and friends in Zambia who in turn can also reach and convince at least 10 friends and other family members about the need to vote for HH to remove PF which has made them suffer so…
These polls being conducted by Muvi TV and other online publications are what are called “MOOD SAMPLERS”.
Any qualified researcher out there will understand that before any actual poll is conducted, mood samplers are carried out to give an indication of what biases to avoid in the actual poll.
If the PF were not a very hostile party,I am sure Muvi TV would have loved to conduct such an opinion poll by visiting all provinces the gauge the mood.
ZNBC wanted to do the same as well but they have been banned why? Because PF is afraid that the results would not differ that much from MuviTV’s results.
PF is just scared of its dark shadows. It knows that reality on the ground has changed. If not why are area MPs booed during PF rallies?
Ba PF how can you condemn something you are told has been conducted within their reach? In PF there are only dunderheads who cant even understand simple issues that are are straight forward. instead of condemning others conduct your own poll on PF wards strongholds.
HH is demanding that the PF reduce price of fuel by at least 25% now that the price crude oil has come down by over 50% from $118 a barrel to $50 a barrel today.
This is what I call great leadership. When ever HH says anything the PF does it fast. He said nurses to reinstated, nurses where reinstated, Sosala to be enthroned, PF have approved the process.
Thats free advice from a person who knows better;a great leader.
PF and their staunch supporters need to understand that these are polls from intellectuals who understand what is missing in the governance of this country. Unfortunately, people will vote based on region. Africa is cursed!
PF minions are on record saying wina azalila.
Facts are that only two people like crying in public and these are RB and Lungu.
Please PF cadres prepare a lot of tissues for these two people because they will cry uncontrollably on 21/01/2014 when HH wins.
FOR SURE LUNGU AND RB BAZALILA LIKE ALWAYS.
PF FEELING THE HEAT,COSTA GO ON INTELLIGENT MAN YOU ARE A SUPERSTAR.
LOOK AT THIS PF WHEN MUVI WAS DOING OPINION POLLS ON WHO WILL BE PF CANDIDATE THEY WERE BUSY CELEBRATING NOW THAT THEY KNOW THAT HHHH IS UP THERE TRYING TO SCANDILIZE EVERYTHING ,PF THATS THE TRUTH BANE HHHH IS WINNING NO MATTER WHAT YOU SAY.
THE WORLD HAS CHANGED BANE DONT LIVE IN STONE AGE ERA THIS IS A NEW WORLD.
FEEL SORRY FOR YOU GUYS.
KAMBWILI ,WINA AND LUBINDA LUNGU HAS DRIBBLED YOU BIG TIME DONT EVEN TRY TO DEFEND THE RB ENDORSEMENT STILL IN DENIAL THAT THE TRIO MPEZENI,LUNGU AND BANDA TALK SECRETLY ,OPEN YOUR EYES BANE .
MUHABI ,DORA IN CONTROL AND MPEZENIZ PIPO
That is correct.. They are behaving like kids.. Dont they understand that its called “opinion polls”? They must just tell their supporters to phone in SMS or whatever the polls require. Why is PF panicking if they dont believe that the opinion polls are correct. These opinion polls might just be accurate. Just campaign instead of crying like a babies.
PF and threats, no wonder normal people wont vote for PF and its violence and record of harassment. PF wawa come 20 January.
This should not be an issue..this is not a scientific poll that has been seasoned or anything like that. Let people have fun.. it helps..
…..good for Mushota & Saulosi
********LATEST NEWS BULLETIN******
Katondo Boys commited suicide and now he is Tondolo Boys at chingwele. Next will be his cousin Big Loser. Saulosi is a former shadow of himself and Mushota jumped ship and she is in our kitchen like Mariah Carey cooking us curry. All defectors are welcome. Politics is not like football were you support one team till you die. Politics is about policies. Right now, UPND have better policies to uplift the lives of our people. They are a sober and organised party ready to form the next government. In the unlikely event that PF retained power, the old wounds will open up and government will be embroided in settling old scores hence distablising the peace and progress. Let’s vote out PF so that we see if they are strong enough to regroup.
KWENA MUVI TV NI STATION IISUMA ITS LIKE SKY NEWS OR ALJAZEERA REPORT ACCURATELY KWENA BANE MULI BANTU BA MUVI TV GO BANE GO ,ALA WE LOVE YOU,YOUR NEWS IS UP THERE MULANDA IFISHINKA BANE SO BANE TWATOTELA NAKABILI TULATOTELA ATI HHHHHH IN THE LEAD .
LEADING BANE GIVE YOU 2MILLION LIKES FOR THE PROPER INFO YOU DISSEMINATE NO WONDER CHIBAMBA KANYAMA DITCHED ZNBC HE KNEW ARMAGEDEON APPROACHING AND DIDNT WANT TO BE PART OF IT.
LUBINDA AND KAMBWILI ALL PF PIPO BEEN PLAYED TRIO OF MPEZENI.LUNGU AND RB WITH DORA AND MUHABI AT THE HELM.
KAMBWILI MR NO ERECTION
I feel like ejaculating…..
were are your brains my man.?post things with values.
The polls are done electronically and only by MV TV subscribers.So they are a true reflection and the Voting on 20th January will still show the same result HH is winning with not less than 50% .Remember its not only Muvi TV many other have indicated the same.So Brethren be prepared ,because the truth hates.
ARE YOU MASTURBATING?
First Disclaimer: As I said before, just like Fred Mmembe, I don’t have a Dog in this fight (the elections 2015). Am neutral and please UPND cadres stop throwing mud at me.
Being neutral make you look at these objectively and I must agree with PF that these opinion polls are indeed bogus and fake.
I think the most interesting thing after January 20, most of the so called experts and elite will just realise how big Zambia is and diverse and wonder how they all got their predictions wrong. Looks like these polls are being conducted among the so called elite, educated, informed and onlined connected.
[TBC]
Looks like these polls are being conducted among the so called elite, educated, informed and onlined connected. This is so shallow and just plain laziness among the people conducting them to either think or do the real work. It is like doing an Opinion poll in estern province a lone or Southern province a lone and claiming it is representative of Zambia.
This is so shallow and you wonder where are education system went wrong. Surely, any sensible editor of any media house should pick this up.
This so called elite group is very tiny and insignificant in terms of voting power.
The true powerbase lies with the so called illiterates, uneducated and unconnected. They may have a cell phone , but to them a cell phone is still a cell phone for talking on and not facebook or blogging.
This so called illieterate or uninformed group is actually smart and wise and can read through a lot of propanganda and have a certain disdain for the elite group. And please wisdom and discernment has nothing to do with education.
And bless his party, Wynter Kabimba was right when he used to say that none of this elite group voted PF. It was the so called Kaponyas, and guess what, they will do it again this year.
In short ALL online opinion polls are actually U S E L E S S and any sensible party should just ignore them. How many online polls did Gen Miyanda win? A lot. As MMD we know this for a fact and UPND will learn this hard fact come january 21. You heard it first here from MMD Chief Bootlicker.
@MMD Chief Bootlicker
I agree with you that these polls are opinions of the elites just like any poll in any part of the world.
Now you must understand that these polls are representative of a sample of people who are the helpers for the majority of their extended poor family members who keep asking for help from them. At this time each poor member of these elites who goes to ask for more help to buy food or money for school fees from the elite who takes part in these polls, is reminded of the need to vote for HH so that they will get empowered and stop the embarrassment of having to ask for money from them.
The point is these polls show how unhappy people are with PF. If an elite who can afford decent meals and good life can feel unhappy about PF , what more the poor person?
Bootlicker, the people voting in the Muvi TV polls are:
i. People already registered in the MUVI TV Database
ii. People with Airtel and Cellz Lines.
So am wondering where this ‘elite’ analysis thing is coming from because truth be told, the majority people who watch MUVI TV are hardly elite. I find your analysis a bit shallow.
@Bootleaker you are not neutral bamudala.you are hardcore tribalist ,who strongly believe only a bemba oy Nyanja should rule Zambia.All other tribes should be tails and should not even contaplate to stand as presidential candidates.You belong to the old School of 1964 UNIP cadre,transformed MMD.Its a new don boss ,were inter marriages and education has transformed Zedians to start thinking when voting .That’s HH is winning.
The polls are obviously bogus. How scientific is the methodology applied in these polls? How random is the sample of participants? How representative is the sample of the population of registered voters? For one thing asking people to phone in is hardly a scientific poll. When such a poll is carried out as done by Muvi and Mwebantu, there is usually a disclaimer to indicate that this was not a scientific poll. Which is devoid in the two polls. In addition, who on the Muvi payroll has the scientific or statistical background to be able to compute the data and analyze it to ensure that it is statistically significant? And no margin of error is provided. But even to a lay person it is laughable and imaginable to contend that there is a spread of over 70% between Lungu and Hakainde.
Wanzelu, you are plainly wrong. Anyone who has studied statistics at even the basic level will attest to the fact that you need some basic facts about the sample to be right. I will only address one aspect; the sampling method used. How representative of the population is the sample? Bootlicker is right in that Muvi TV is not viewed by a representative sample of Zambians, so the people who are moved to participate are equally NOT representative of the likely voting intentions. How has multiple voting been dealt with? You can see even on LT that some people make make multiple comments under different names to support their point. Finally because people pay to take part excludes some. You would be wrong to rely on the results from such a small biased sample.
You say you are neutral but agree with PF then don’t write anything to show why you agree with PF. You are a PF cadre, simple. Now I am neutral and I will tell you this Muvi Tv viewers evidently prefer HH. I have no idea how many people in this country watch Muvi Tv so I have no idea whether this will be reflected at the poll. Now that is being neutral.
Of these polls are just random polls and unscientific. Even Muvi TV makes it clear on that.
How ever, like it or not, they depict the current mood of most the Zambian people on the ground , more especially in the cities where the majority are un employed and struggling to cope with the ever rising cost of living. Just look at HH ‘s rallies in Lusaka, Massive
In villages these polls would be indicating 98% because the majority of the people there are sick and tired of the PF. Majority of them have not been paid their money up to now. Do really think these people will still vote PF because it has build roads when they can’t afford to send their kids to school because PF robbed them?
Why is it that most of polls conducted even by PF friendly publications still show that HH is…
And what about the QFM radio polls that put HH ahead? and the Mwebantu media polls that put HH ahead? What is your take on those bootlicker?
@chief MMD Bootlicker.
I have to say, I respect you for your analytical skills. However, my opinion is that you are no longer neutral or objective. I know you have potential to do better because you have done it in the past.
Let us wait for 20th Jan….kwasila!
Anyone was allowed to participate in these polls. Those outside the country and non Zambians. The poll was tainted and is not worth paying attention to. 80% implies hakainde would win the entire S, W, NW, L, E, N, CB… do you were the problem is? Just not credible. PF should not participate in the MUVI debate as this is a biased media. Lungu would be walking into a trap. To have a credible debate, they should draw seasoned journalist from a cross section of the Zambian Media and the question would have to be vetted to ensure they don’t favour one candidate over the other.
Breaking News:
HH Is a SATANIST, Insists Bishop Chomba
Bishop Chomba has told the Lusaka High court judge Mwila Chitabo that opposition UPND Leader Hakainde Hichilema is a satanist who joined the cult in April, 1999 and was initiated from Eagle Lodge Number 7232EC which is the grand Lodge in Zambia, and has been a congregant of the Masons Temple located in Cha Cha Cha road, Lusaka.
The law on defamation of character is very clear. If you convince the judge that what you said was true, then you have no case. So Bishop Chomba should prove that HH is a Mason and that masonists as satanists, then he will come out of the court smiling.
ah! they even have a temple here in zambia?
@Ka gelo he so called Bishop Chomba is a Satanist and he is not normal in his head. If it was a mr Mweemba or Hamududu who said those words Zedians would have listened.He is a hard core bemba tribalist ,mascarading as a man of God.This man will destroy himself and the PF as most Zambians are clever not to fall his hate speech.Amen.
Share more infor about these masons. Are they harmful or dangerous? and who else is a member in zambia
To accuse one of being a Satanist is similar to accusing one of being a witch or wizard. That on its own is a crime under the Zambian law. Now the burden of proof is on Bishop Chomba.
Simply saying because HH is Free mason therefore he is satanist is something that the Bishop has to prove. Citing authorities and books is simply not enough for the Bishop. Courts are very critical institutions to simply believe that a book by A or says Marsonist worship satan and that becomes a fact.
How many times have catholic Bishops and the Pope been accused of being satanists by conspiracy theorist? That the hat they wear represents this or that sign of satanism, that the ring they wear is linked to satan, that a staff they carry is satanic etc etc etc. Total hog wash and last kicks of a dying horse
As long its their opinion fwebo tatukwetepo ubwafya with it. . Keep your opinion polls we will compare results for the January 20 poll results.
we used to refuse those same opnion polls when they were in favour of pf in 2011 till the end sata won . its painful for pf to think of going out of power so soon. and especially with tag of being useless , liars and thieves . life will not be easy. well muvi tv continue telling the people the truth. its flight hh 2015 thank you.
No I remember the opinion polls were against PF/Sata and for RB. That’s why RB was so confident he was going to win the election such that he even started inviting his pals for inauguration ceremony even before votes were counted. One of those people he invited was Malawian president Bingu Wamutarika (I think that was his name) who arrived in the country before poll results were announced. Only to slip out of the country when his pal (RB) was humiliated. So don’t lie!
I know opinions may have shifted a little. But even you yourself know they can’t be by such a wide margin. Ubufi!!!!!
The participation in these opinion pall is very limited to a few people with cell phones, access to muvi TV and with knowledge to participate. This cannot be representative of the large voters, This is agreed.
However with this limitations its still valid for those who have participate they prefer HH and he is leading.
For me PF Lied to us in 2011, many promises are unfulfilled, they can not agreed and accept their mistakes and Zambians let us not allow PF to lie to us again.
Let us vote for HH now and see how he will perform. Change of leaders accerate development as each new leader/party want to leave a mark, just as PF has left a mark of good roads.
Vote HH for 2015.
MMD BOOTLICKER AND THE LIKES, IF YOU WERE OR ARE IN ZAMBIA ; YOU WOULD AGREE WITH MUVI TV. THE MESSAGE IS CLEAR “PF MUST GO” AND EDGAR IS CAN ONLY WIN THROUGH RIGGING. THE REASON IS SIMPLE: THE PF HAVE FAILED THE ZAMBIAN PEOPLE AND FOR HIM TO COME AND PROMISE THE THINGS THEY HAVE BEEN DOING. FURTHER, THEY HAVE BROUGHT VIOLENCE, DIVISION, AND CONFUSION. NEVER IN ZAMBIAN HISTORY DID YOU HEAR OF AN MP TELLING PEOPLE TO ASK HIM FOR PERMISSION BEFORE THEY CAN VISIT HIS AREA WHEN ZAMBIA INCLUDING HIS AREA IS FOR EVERYONE. HH HAS OVERWHELMING SUPPORTING COUNTRYWIDE ON THE GROUND AND IT IS VERY DIFFICULT FOR ONE TO DISPUTE THAT HIS VICTORY. THERE IS NO WAY EDGAR IS GOING THROUGH.
I am not sure you are reading the mood of the country right. There is no compelling reason for changing the government other than it is an opportunity for hakainde to try and get in office again. This is not the same wave that swept the country as in the last election or when KK was in office. There is no differentiation between the ideologies of the parties. Everyone is promising almost the same thing. In fact PF is more realistic compared to UPND. They will reduce taxes, yet find money to reduce cost of fuel, mealie meal, offer free education up to University…and balance the budget. Zambians are becoming more sophisticated. hakainde is gained some popularity but not enough to win the election. And Banda has just changed the complexion of the election by handing Lungu Eastern.
HMM MUVI TV PREDICTED THAT LUNGU WAS GOING TO WIN THE PF PRESIDENTIAL RACE ,IT CAME TO PASS .NOW MUVI TV IS SHOWING THAT HH IS WINNING AND YOU LIVING IN DENIAL ? HYPOCRITES.PF FAILING TO HOLD RALLIES EVEN YOUR PAL THE POST HAS DUMPED YOU.
For PF presidential oponion poll MUVI delt with a sample from an homogenous clusters . But for Presidential election the sample is heterogeneous therefore one has to travel around the country. the level of confidence and significant level not explained.
When they say 80 to 6 that is shear rural idio.cy
No need to lose sleep on Costa Mwansa’s opinion poll. Just concentrate on your campaigns. Just like I don’t voluntarily pay for ZNBC, I will never subscribe for a sub standard service provided by MUVI. I don’t even watch their free to air channel.
If you don’t like something stay away from it. Nobody is forced to watch a particular TV station, read a particular newspaper or website. Similarly no one is forced to vote for a particular candidate.
LOL – Reminds me of PF’s “scientific” poll in 2011 done by some made-up Canadian University. Muvi-TV’s methodology may be flawed, but at least they are real.
There is a science to conducting opinion polls brother. And not every Jim and Jack can do it on a shoestring budget and call the polls REAL.
Please stop lying to yourselves, it is dangerous to your mental health!
Muvi television i have stoped watched they are not reporting according that is why we dont need them at pf rallies
People why bothered by this unscientific polls which can only be conducted by a person of low IQ.The poll is only fit for Ready for Marriage where majority of participants are under age.The fact is that this election is not revolution.
The fact is HH is not liked by majority voters in Lusaka!out 100 people asked more than 90 shall be PF supporters!SO ONLY A DULL PERSON CAN BELIEVE THOSE LIES FROM MUVI TV!THEIR AIM IS CHEAT HH SO THAT HE BELIEVES THAT HE IS WINNING.WAIT FOR PF’S RESULTS FROM LUSAKA ON 20/01/2015 AND ALL INCLUDING MUVI TV WILL BE ASHAMED!GO EDGAR LUNGU GO!!!!!
You are very right my brother.
@eddy go and ask people in Kanyama,Chawama,john harwod ,Makeni,Chlinga,kafue,Chongwe,katuba and Chinyunyu if they don’t like HH.You will be shocked my dear.In Lusaka west they eat and sleep in HH style.Wina a zanya oil.wait for 20th Janaury,2015.
You Eddy!! if I say I want HH I will be hit with a Panga, you think I want to die now? I will say I am PF the whole day. But I am not in case you are wondering Eddy. These people are violent, you tell them you support HH at your own risk.
Take time to listen to Millennium talk Radio in order for you to gauge the Lusaka political temperature. My Bros, don’t lie to yourselves. (NB: Millennium has had core PF callers by the way)
NEVER WORRY about the results of those polls, they reflect the wishes of the minority who are voting one person ten (10) times online. Let the actual polls come (1 man 1 vote), benangu bazalira. VIVA EDGAR LUNGU VIVA PF VIVA ZAMBIAAAA! EL for Zambia, EL for plot one come January 23rd 2015 when he will be sworn in.
HH is now running to MUVI instead of asking us voters. We will see if MUVI will make him win against those millions of real voters. PF voters. HH, it will not work. Forget the MUVI circus, the real election will tell that Zambians have said NOOOOO to HH and his MUVI. Your money will go into MUVI pockets and they have nothing to lose. They will go home whistling “more money in our pockets” when you and your supporters will be scratching your heads wondering the next way FORWARD.
How has HH run to Muvi TV naimwe? Has he been holding rallies at the MUVI Station or around the country? Dullness ba PF yalichila please!
For PF presidential oponion poll MUVI delt with a sample from an homogenous clusters . But for Presidential election the sample is heterogeneous therefore one has to travel around the country. the level of confidence and significant level not explained.
True, Stop using big words your friends won’t understand. If you don’t agree with something just say so.
@Czar
True that, why lose sleep over some opinion poll! Just go out there and campaign after all my mother does not even watch Mow Vee TV back in the village! Vintu ni pa ground, wina azalila!
who did u ask in Lusaka? if you go to city market near pf flag and ask who you want between el and hh everyone will say el even when one does not like him for fear of being pangaed.
the point is straight pf is for violent, dull, crocked, ***** people even the mps apart from gbm and sm are all useless. look at kalaba, katema, kampyongo one would wander what sata saw in them to appoint them ministers. anyway even sata was useless.
You realize that we are all Zambian right? Why call people names just because they differ with you? It says more about you.
@Analyst, please go analyse your head first. You are not ready for PRIME TIME yet!
The numbers can only be described as fantastic. The conditions currently prevailing in the country do not support an opposition candidate winning with such a wide margin. The last time a landslide victory by the opposition was recorded was in the 1991 revolution. At that time all the pointers to a revolution were there: hyper inflation, worthless kwacha, shortages of food and other essential commodities (even our kids were in riotous mood as there was not even chocolate for their budding sweet tooth), food riots etc etc. And an opposition united for one and only one purpose: a revolution. In this by election such a margin can only be attained in favour of the incumbent party. A 10-15% winning margin for an opposition candidate would be more realistic.
ITS LIKE CONDUCTING AN OPINION POLL IN SOUTHERN PROVINCE. WHO WILL WIN? SUBSCRIBERS TO MUVI TV ARE NOT A REPRESENTATIVE SAMPLE OF ALL VOTERS IN ZAMBIA. REPRESENTATION IS NOT JUST AS SIMPLE AS TELLING A FEW MUVI TV SUBSCRIBERS TO EXPRESS THEIR OPINION. SOME PEOPLE DO NOT SUBSCRIBE TO MUVI TV BECAUSE THEY THINK THAT THE STATION IS FOR UPND OR SO. BUT YOU ALSO NEED TO CAPTURE SUCH PERSONS VIEWS BECAUSE THEY TOO ARE VOTERS. YOU NEED REPRESENTATION FROM EACH PROVINCE IN AN EQUITABLE PATTERN. FOR EXAMPLE CB WITH MORE THAN 845,000 REGISTERED VOTERS CANNOT BE REPRESENTED BY THE SAME SAMPLE SIZE AS NWP WHICH HAS LESS THAN 320,000 REGISTERED VOTERS. 80% IN CB IS NOT EQUAL TO 80% IN NWP. SO TO ME THE IPINION POLL BY MUVI TV IS NOT BOGUS BUT IT IS SIMLY NOT SCIENTIFIC AND TOO SIMPLISTIC.
I am a UPND sympathiser but I think a ZNBC opinion poll would be more credible than one conducted by MUVI TV. This is because Muvi TV subscribers are very few and cannot be deemed representative of the cross-section of Zambians.
Even Costa Mwansa, HH, entire UPND gang, and UPND-yappers online know the opinion poll is BOGUS!
But if people want to throw Mr. OBJECTIVITY out the window for the sake of entertaining Mr. RIDICULOUS you will soon start looking like Mr. !D!OT.
Even you Costa Mwansa should have asked yourself a few simple questions before releasing such a useless poll:
1) What factors have changed to necessitate such a swing in the polls?
2) Possibly only in a revolution, do such a poll make sense?
3) What has HH done to all over a sudden become such a darling politician to majority Zambians?
4) What would make people hate PF so much despite their efforts in three years for such a flip in opinion to occur?
5) How scientific and impartial were the polls?
6) Stop kissing HH’s @ss!
One factor that has become very, very clear, as seen from the fights with Guy Scott, is that PF have no respect for the law and their own rules, it is: get the power by whatever means, with whoever will support you! Not the slightest compunction, as long you get what you want. What a shame!
The major factor is that EL is not SATA and is hardly known. Others are too high cost of living, low confidence in PF government from time SATA ruled for 3 years without addressing the nation through press conference, lied their way to power,poor agricultura policy, civil service wage freeze, and failure to give constitution in 90 days and finally the no vision mantra by EL.
Im sure you get it now
Opinion polls are a very good indicator of the political situation, but this doesnt entail the end result. Verily, HH seems to be a better presidential candidate, as seen by the opinions of the people who took part in the poll. We have seen on more occassions than one, that not all candidates who lead in opinion polls, get to state house (especiaaly in Africa).
Let no one get carried away, HH and EL both have a lot of campaigning to do. But am still calling it for EL & PF by a margin of about 11%.
Costa wants to draw attention to the nonentity tv station.
All well meaning Zambians should carefully listen to Muvi Tv news, they will notice that all their positive news is about HH while the negative is for PF. I’m not surprised now on that incident that happened in Mongu where a journalist from Muvi TV was roughed up by PF Cadres for capturing a clip of UPND cadres displaying Edgar’s potraits with bottles of beer on them, that was provocation of the highest kind as any cadre can react differently. Muvi TV news is extremely polarized , and abit more careless as most people have observed. In a democracy, you do or say anything but limits should be set as not to injure anybody. Whether they have been bought by UPND or not, the editors should be careful as this election came due to death and people’s emotions are still very unpredictable.
Keep dreaming and you will be in for a rude shock come January 20 when the Zambian people will decide as to who should become their sixth State President! What do you expect from a chap like Costa, a desperate job seeker who has sold his soul to the Devil?
Simple “what comes next exercise”
1. KaundA
2. ChilubA
3. MwanawasA
4. BandA
5. SatA
6. HichilemA or LungU?
In these opinion polls even foreigners including children below 18yrs can vote. indications in Lusaka and CB towns HH cant get anything above 20% from registered voters.
the upnd supporters( base) are just too energized and are following everything abt this election and they will come out and vote. Pf base is not energized and not so keen in participating in all these polls, especially after what the party has gone thru. the problem with UPND even if their base is energized is that they have limited expansion space and they can’t overtake the Pf who hav limitless space to expand their base. In short there is apathy in the massive Pf base as compared to the small excited upnd supporters. whether that will be the senerior on 20th jan is everyone’s guess
It is clear that muvi TV has been paid money and others promised Jobs if Up N Down wins the elections. My question is were is UPND going to win?, with a representation of 25 MPs the majority from one province. Muvi TV has been paid money if you can just see the way they are reporting these few days its all about UPND no other party is being covered. ZNBC is now a darling of the people, there reporting is fair and balanced than these make shift studios.
Most of Zambians wont be bothered with these silly opinion polls. Only those that are desparate to see their favourite candidate
look like he is the chosen one. Lets just wait for January 20th.
Ifintu na fi chinja bane .Kuno kukopala ni HH chabe.believe it or not its your problem.Akabwali na dula bakamba.we want HH for ojbs.for 3yrs no Job elyo nishi twali jobber pa CBU.No more donchi kubeba.
Crude oil prices dip below $50 a barrel
u guys who a suporting the opinion polls, do you know tt the majority of us zambians dont watch muvi t.v unless if u av no dstv and majority in rural areas hv no no access to t.vs. tho i not voting this time as i av bn relocated the analysis being given by mwamba and Hon.kalaba is making sense
I thought muvi tv has lost it. it was becaming the most trusted media because of its non politcal increnation, but as for now they are regarded in the same line like znbc, daily mail and times of zambia. I am afraid they are worse than these institutions because their lies can even be laughed off by my seven years old boy.how on earth can upnd beat pf by 80%? not even pf can win by this magin. its not even close or half to the 1991 wind of change. the problem i see is that in zambia we seem not to have principles were everything can be traded with pieces of silva. and for muv tv, politics is a place of making quick money and loose all the dignite.
ITS ONLY 12 DAYS TO GO
JUST WAIT
VIVA LUNGU
SMALL BODY
BIG ENGINE
Even as we comment let hear what others are saying ***
The poll is meant to create apathy in PF supporters by dampening the views of voters. Where do PF supporters from Northern, Luapula, Muchinga, Eastern, Copperbelt and Lusaka fall? Does it mean that Southern, Western and North Western constitute 80% of the voters in Zambia. Infact Western and Central provinces are “swing provinces”. Muvi TV should stop behaving like Post newspaper. I have since thrown away the Muvi decorder,VIVA PF!VIVA EDGAR LUNGU!
Ok, let me make a resolution on this impasse: UPND has won this Muvi tv one because most supporters have a little bit of cash to afford decoders. PF has won the opinion poll of RAISING HANDS because majority are poor and they want a poor leader to keep them in poverty perpetually!
this is an opinion poll for the elite, those with cell phones and talktime and offcourse suscribed to Muvi TV. So to me if I was PF i would not worry or lose sleep. the elite are a minority in this country above all those who watch Muvi TV. let 20Jan poll speak for it self and we hope those bragging with the 80% lead will not cry foul. the majority poor who vote on teh streets, marjkets and the villages dont even have access to TV, Social media etc where people waste time insulting each other. go door to door and campaign, use foot soldiers and rallies to reach the masses, not TV esp Muvi. may be ZNBC…? By the way anybody can buy cadres talktime and make them send sms’s and get few votes and thats a sham of it and cheating oneself.
Muvi TV is UPND propaganda tool. Let’s us analyse the 2011 presidential polls in which Sata won.
PF (approximately)-1,180,000
MMD 990,000
UPND 590000
This means the total number of voters in 2011 is 2,760,000.
Muvi TV told us that HH will win by 80%. This means 80/100 * 2,760,000= 2,208,000. This is what HH will have. PF will get 8/100 * 2,760,000 =220,800.
This my brothers cannot and will never happen. This means HH will win the whole Zambia and that EL will half of Luapula. What an opinion poll! It means HH will get 100% in CB, N, Muchinga, Lsk, Eastern, Central, NW, W, S(maybe yes) and half in Luapula. I am not a politician or favours anyone but actually the opposite will happen between EL and HH. Costa Mwansa be serious.
Congratulations HH. We shall now see if this opinion poll will take you to state house
These are the worst desperate maneuvers by desperate people to try and persuade the impossible.
We all know that the people participating in these opinion polls are all paid up UPND supporters and one person is sending as many SMSs as they Airtime will last.
Go on the ground and interview people, there it is very clear that Edgar is leading by huge margin. Even in research, the evidence of collected data need to be verifiable for one to be awarded the Masters or PhD degree.
PF should not even bother about this but continue campaigning vigorously based on facts as the reality will confirm that Mr. Lungu won these elections long ago by landslide.
You know HH is being defeated for the forth time and he is doing everything to try and appease himself unfortunately
Ifintu ni…
But of course – ‘bogus’ is what I expect them to say
UPND seem to rely so much on the opinion polls, in as much as you are winning online, TV and radio opinion polls take note of the following fact s
1 Us bemba are not rich compared to Tongas as a result many of us might not access internet facilities
2 We are not as educated as Tonga as a result many of us might not access internet facilities
3 because of the above reasons many of us can’t afford enough airtime for calling and texting radio station and TV stations to vote
But I can guarantee you come the voting day we will definitely win and you will continue languishing with your opinion polls VIVA EDDDDDDDEEEEGGGEER
Whether MUVI TV is there or not I am standing in 2016 replacing HH. Believe me guys, I know you have insulted me and called me all sorts of names. I may sound pessimistic but reality on the ground speaks for itself and I know well-meaning members of the UPND understand my point.
The loss on 20th January will be due to lack of coordination and HH’s dictatorship. We need convention in 2016. HH has been losing this is the 4th time is he loses. Our constitution does not allow any presidential candidate to stand for 4 consecutive presidential elections and nobody is questioning that.
Brian in kalomo.
@Virgin Angel
you are stupid wanvwa!you say ediger lungu will win Northen/Luapula and you expect Western province to be a swing province such level selfishness will take you nowhere,are you a typical PF cadre? straight from Shiwang’andu into streets of Lusaka then blogging no school,do a bit geography you will discover that your statement about Western and Central can’t be true unless you are not normal
These ‘Opnion Polls’ are dated 1st Nov 2014. The actual accurate polls will be done on 20th Jan.
Firstly, the question asked is not about who will win or who the people will vote for but who the best candidate is. its very possible for a best candidate anywhere in the world to lose based on other factors. So if they dd that on purpose to mislead the public they must prepare themselves for wat will start befalling them after 20th January 2015.
‘Bishop Chomba has told the Lusaka High court judge Mwila Chitabo that opposition UPND Leader Hakainde Hichilema is a satanist who joined the cult in April, 1999 and was initiated from Eagle Lodge Number 7232EC which is the grand Lodge in Zambia, and has been a congregant of the Masons Temple located in Cha Cha Cha road, Lusaka’. End Quote
MUVI TV are simply posturing. What kind of sample are they using? How many are involved in this sample? What is the spread by town, province and so on? If they are using sms what are the safeguards? If by interview is it MUVI TV calling or respondents calling the TV station? It does not make sense at all and come 20 January, MUVI TV must be ready to eat their own vomit?
Is Muvi TV a “Katemba” TV?
Bufi TV they were just jokin’!
Ba Costa you want play on the minds of people,PF will carry the day
Ba pf tabakwata inshita nefyabupuba ati opinion polls. Abatonga baumfwana uko ati ‘badala ma opinion polls alabola sunu atuvote HH’ ati opinion polls. real opinion poll is:
interviewer: mukavotela banani?
kaponya: Teuyu wine uututuma ngatanwine?
Interviewer: ninshi mulemuvotela.
kaponya: Bonse fye eo bafwilefye ba votela bakamba!
Mukalwala polomya ba UPND pa 21. namwebene fye mufwile mwaumfwa insoni. are you sure HH kuti akwata 80% elo Edgar 6%? mwalipena. Not even ku southern province.
At one time this PF madness of borrowing to fund corrupt laced ‘infrastructure’ projects will come to an END. May that happen soon!!
Imagine what ‘donchi kubeba’ debt will be if left to rule to 2021!
Even in the West opinion polls get it wrong on the day.
It’s just an opinion that does not fluctuate after it is given, unlike the owner who may go on to change their opinion on another day of voting.
MUVI are a light weight entertaining company. They are not water tight standards of polls. Depends how many times HH calls in putting on different voices! I hear he does a good impression of female voices! His ZWD site tells you everything on his methods.
PF ON THE DAY. VOTE LUNGU!
VIVA HH
MY HOPE FOR A BETTER ZAMBIA IS WITH U.
I CAN ONLY VOTE FOR PF IF I CURSED MY FAMILY, RELATIVES AND MANY STRUGGLING ZAMBIANS.
MAY GOD SAVE US FROM THIS SPIRIT PYCHOLOGIST CALL STOCKHOLM SYNDROME”.
were many people embraces poverty as a normal phenomena in life.
Ba Bufi TV,not long ago you were our source of unbiased news,not anymore!You have lost it!You should be ashamed of your very unscientific polls with warped methodology if any.Even your HH I’m sure knows that even if he had a remote chance of winning the elections,he cannot win by 80%,bufi!Stop if ba BUFI TV for once!
BA MUVI TV. IN ANY RESEARH YOU HAVE TO PROVIDE THE METHODOLOGY USED. IN WHICH YOU TELL US THE SAMPLING TECHNIQUE AND WHY YOU CHOSE IT. WHAT IS YOUR NULL AND ALTERNATE HYPOTHESIS? THE SAMPLE SIZE AND HOW YOU ARRIVED AT IT IN VIEW OF THE OVER 5 MILLION REGISTERED VOTERS, YOU NEED TO TELL US THE SAMPLE SPREAD. YOU HAVE TO TELL US THE INCLUSION CRITERIA AND THE EXCLUSION CRITERIA AND PROVE THAT IT IS SCIENTIFIC. YOU NEED TO TELL US THE POSSIBLE BIASES AND HOW YOU SEEK TO PREVENT THEM. WHAT WERE THE DEMOGRAPHIC FEATURES OF YOUR PARTICIPANTS. TELL US THE LEVELS OF STATISTICAL SIGNIFICANCE (ALPA & BETA) THAT WILL BE ACCEPTABLE AND DEFEND THEM. HOW DO YOU EXPLAIN THE OUTLIERS. DID YOU INVOLVE SOME MATHEMATICIANS AND STATISTICIANS FROM UNZA OR CBU FOR YOUR CONCLUSIONS TO CARRY WEIGHT?
MUVI TV has eroded its credibility. The fools running this channel do not have money and they have gotten an upfront from HH. How do u run an opinion poll with participants as young as 10 years old. I interviewed a boy of 12 years who participated after using a parents phone. Wait we shall deal with you. Infact only a small fraction of Zambians watch ‘MAVI’, ‘AMAFI TV’ (FEACES). You will run out of the country with your opinion polls. UPND will be humiliated because PF Edgar will amasse 45% of total votes whilst HH will be 18 %. 23rd January, 2015 will be inauguration ceremony for the 6th President His Excellence Mr. Edgar C. Lungu.
Muvi polls are for the elite that are very much the minority. The majority of voters in Zambia are poor people that do not have talk time to waste on sending political SMSs. Many use their phones for receiving calls from others. If they call, they first page.
The truth of the matter is that PF is very safe, they have real support in Copperbelt, Luapula, Northern, Muchinga and Eastern province. They also will get a good share of votes in Lusaka, Central and North-Western provinces.
UPND will only clearly beat them in Southern and Western provinces.
FINAL OUTCOME IS THAT EDGAR IS WINNING. UNLESS OTHERWISE, HE SHALL ALSO WIN IN 2016.
Rigging only exist in heads of some UPND fellows who have never voted before and are not going to vote this year. To avoid unnecessary confusions, do…
With due respect, ba Mwansa please you should not be tempted to start practicing journalism of hate like the others. The so called opinion poll you designed is obviously aimed at influencing the minds of the Zambians to start dreaming of HH as president. Ba Mwanse sure, you want to fool Zambians, you think they are *****s? If you hate Edgar Lungu it doesn’t mean everyone else hates him. We love Edgar Lungu dearly. I and my entire family have agreed to vote for Edgar Lungu again for his humility and God fearing. A president who acknowledges God as Almighty and Jesus Christ as Lord is all we want as president.