Political Scientist Neo Simutanyi has observed that the selection of Geoffrey Mwamba as Hakainde Hichilema’s running mate is death blow on the PF’s campaign efforts.
Dr Simutanyi who is also Executive Director of the Centre for Policy Dialogue says the spin to discredit Mr Mwamba mainly by PF officials will work to UPND’s advantage.
He said Mr Mwamba’s political and mobilizational skills are well known to the PF and he cannot be dismissed outright hence the spin is to discredit him and hope that the electorate will be convinced not to vote for the HH/GBM ticket.
“Why should PF’s leaders be concerned who Hakainde Hichilema chooses as his running mate? Will it not be to their advantage if HH’s choice for running mate is inappropriate? It is my view, that HH’s choice of running mate, is a coup de grace on the PF’s campaign efforts,” Dr Simutanyi said.
Below is Mr Simutanyi full statement
Campaign of the Underdogs
With two months to go before the general election and the completion of filing of nomination papers by nine presidential candidates, the election campaign, has entered its most decisive phase.
Political parties are using different strategies to market their manifestos and candidates.
These have ranged from exhortations on citizens to recognize past performance, campaign promises of policy changes, hate speech and personal attacks on leading candidates to violent confrontations with rival political opponents.
These strategies have been used before in our elections and are not new. However, considering that our multiparty system will be celebrating 25 years this year, we expect more maturity in how election campaigns are conducted by our leading politicians. It should not be forgotten that Zambians are suffering from electoral fatigue, having had four elections in the last ten years, an average of one election every two and half years.
Thus the August 11 general election will be the fifth since 2006. But the quality of debate and policy discourse remains very low and surprisingly mediocre to fire the imagination of the Zambian electorate.
Two themes have dominated the political discourse in the past week. These are the selection of United Party for National Development (UPND) vice president for administration Geoffrey Bwalya Mwamba (GBM) as Hakainde Hichilema’s running mate and a negative smear campaign on the UPND’s political future.
GBM’s selection as running mate was unexpected and has thus been a subject of discussion. Many commentators and politicians from rival parties have described it as ill-advised, would lead to a split in the party and affect UPND’s electoral prospects in the forthcoming elections. Surprisingly, these concerns are coming predominantly from non-UPND members.
Why should PF’s leaders be concerned who Hakainde Hichilema chooses as his running mate? Will it not be to their advantage if HH’s choice for running mate is inappropriate? It is my view, that HH’s choice of running mate, is a coup de grace on the PF’s campaign efforts.
GBM’s political and mobilizational skills are well known to the PF and he cannot be dismissed outright.
Thus the spin is to discredit him and hope that the electorate will be convinced not to vote for the HH/GBM ticket. But will that work? This smear campaign against GBM, in my view will work to UPND’s advantage.
The more the PF campaign against GBM, the more people will be drawn to him and his party. Was that not the case with the late Michael Chilufya Sata?
Michael Sata endured ten years of negative campaigns, at one time with almost all the media houses against his candidature.
He was called all kind of names; of having been a foreigner; of using vulgar language; of being a tribalist and leading a tribal party, among many other invectives.
A long-running documentary on ZNBC and columns in newspapers catalogued his shortcomings and denounced him as unworthy to lead this country. But despite all that, he was elected Zambia’s fifth president in September 2011.
If Geoffrey Mwamba was someone we did not know, it would be possible for people to be persuaded to consider him in a different light.
However, he played a pivotal role in PF’s election victory in 2011, he twice served as Kasama Member of Parliament, was Defence Minister in Michael Sata’s government, resigned from government on a question of principle (the non-recognition of Chanda Sosala as Chitimukulu of the Bemba-speaking people of Northern Province) and was expelled from the ruling PF as he was perceived to have presidential ambitions.
Paradoxically, those politicians who only joined the PF after Sata’s death and were at the centre of campaigning against him in 2006, 2008 and 2011 are today in the fore-front of attacking GBM. Is that not political hypocrisy?
There are merits and demerits in the selection of running mates. For example, Vice President Inonge Wina’s selection could not be said to have been based on attracting the support of Western Province, as it is improbable that such support will be forthcoming, going by recent voting trends in that region.
Further, age may act as another disadvantage to Edgar Lungu’s choice of running mate. But one hopes that the decision to retain her may have been informed by a desire to woo the female vote and to ride on her exposure as republican Vice President.
Thus it will be up to the voters to give their verdict on whether or not her choice was a correct one. Similarly, while there are merits and demerits in the selection of GBM as HH’s running mate, I would think that the decision was based on balancing the ticket to ensure that the UPND extends its electoral appeal beyond its traditional areas of support.
In my opinion, political strategy will be an important factor in the forthcoming election than reliance on past electoral performance.
Thus it is imperative for the leading political parties to be more persuasive in their electoral messages and avoid personal attacks which may attract sympathy votes.
To the extent that the Electoral Commission of Zambia has validated the nomination of presidential candidates and their running mates, political parties should concentrate on the work at hand to convince the electorate why their parties and candidates are the best placed to move this country to the next level.
Let the conversation and policy discourse be on the alternative choices on offer and how different parties think they are better placed to bring the desired change that this country so badly desires.
The other issue that caught my attention is the tendency towards negative campaigns by some party leaders.
Some of these leaders, have argued that there is no difference between the PF and UPND in their policies and that they have embraced defectors from other parties such as the MMD.
For example, Rainbow Party leader and presidential candidate, Wynter Kabimba is quoted as saying: “PF and UPND do not care about the calibre of people joining them because they have an insatiable appetite for power…. The UPND has been losing election after election. They are now fighting for survival…if UPND loses this election… it will go into extinction, it will die.” Kabimba further states that, “PF is desperate to win this election and remain in power. On the other hand, the UPND are also desperate to get into power not for purposes of serving the country but their survival” (The Post, June 7, 2016). Why should a leader of a political party and presidential candidate use such bitter language?
As a student of politics I found the sentiments attributed to Wynter Kabimba most unfortunate and uninspiring.
First, it would appear to me that the Rainbow Party is going into this election as an underdog and acknowledges that the contest is between PF and UPND.
Second, a broad condemnation of UPND and PF puts Rainbow on a pedestal as a party of angels who have had no links to either MMD, UPND or PF.
Third, there is lack of seriousness for a presidential candidate to accuse other candidates of having an “insatiable appetite for power.”
If my good friend and brother, Wynter Kabimba, does not want political power, why is the Rainbow Party contesting the presidency?
It is my understanding, that all the nine political parties that filed their nomination papers to contest the presidential election, are serious and all want to win the election. If they really do not want to win power, why then spend their family resources contesting an election they know they will lose? How do they expect their supporters to believe in them, if they doubt their own victory?
As a democrat I believe in everyone’s right to form a political party and offer themselves for elections. However, I get concerned when the discourse tends to assume that we Zambians suffer from collective amnesia, not to remember where we have come from.
The PF that is today being vilified by some of the loudest political commentators in opposition, was the same PF they served, in senior capacities. Sata’s PF that won power in 2011 did not have identifiable members, but had supporters.
Most of its present membership only came on board after the party won power. Some of the people who were appointed to senior cabinet positions never at any time supported Sata publicly or addressed a PF rally.
I don’t remember there was any screening of members from MMD and UPND who defected to PF when Sata was still alive?
This is when Wynter Kabimba held the powerful position of secretary general of the PF. Surely, what is this talk about the calibre of people joining the party coming from?
Did it really matter, then or has it ever mattered what kind of people political parties attract? The point is all parties, including Rainbow, have benefitted from defections from other parties. The core membership of Rainbow today is derived from PF and can also claim to have UPND and MMD defectors in its ranks.
This is the case in all other parties, including FDD, UPND and PF. So to discredit other parties as having low calibre members is not only hypocritical, but goes against historical experience.
Lastly, I do not understand the relevance of the reference to UPND’s extinction after the election.
Why should participants in this election wish other parties disappeared from the political scene? Is it really fair to wish another opposition party to go into oblivion?
In my view, reference to UPND’s ‘extinction’ is rather ill-informed, considering the party’s history. Unlike, many other opposition parties, the UPND has been in existence since 1998, has contested five major elections and has maintained a political presence on the ground and in parliament.
Our multiparty system needs the Rainbow Party to maintain a political presence and offer checks and balances, even if it lost the forthcoming elections. Is it not encouraging that UNIP is still around, despite not having a single member of parliament?
I would want to see party leaders and presidential candidates raise issues that will excite our imagination and make us dream of a new future for our country.
Petty political jealousies will not help win an election. Zambians want a leadership that will articulate alternative policies that will lift the majority of our people from abject poverty.
We know a lot about the leading personalities that have offered themselves to lead us, what we want to hear is what distinguishes them from each other.
Neo Simutanyi
Centre for Policy Dialogue, Lusaka
Of course, that was as brilliant as an investment decsion
This is a more balanced, mature and more sober article unlike those coming from that PF cadre beggar called Chilufya Tayali, the confused chap without direction!!
GBM is like a canker sore, unsightly and a pain to get rid of!
Dr Simutayi
This is the worst wrong analysis you have made on GBM. Perhaps it smacks of bias of your membership in upnd. GBM cannot make hh win an election. Unless Zambians have other objectives about governance. Or you are accepting the fact that an inferior tribe Tonga cannot win unless it is supported by a superior tribe Bemba.
It very strange indeed that a PHD student has not talked about whether GBM is suitable to assume office of president in case hh dies or gets mad. Maybe you are Tonga. A Tonga time has come stupid argument is what makes tongas not attractive. Dr. I assure you that hh will not win. After ECL mama Inonge will not contest on account of age. But another wakumawa or bemba will emerge. This you must know
SIMUTANYI A CADRE! YOUR CENTRE IS A UPND CENTRE!
@The Game.
I think you are the one who is stupid. You cannot argue your points without using insults.
You have lamentably failed to shoot down Simutanyi’s standpoints.
What a moron!
This is the same Simutanyi chap who always predicts the presidential elections wrongly. Nothing good can come out of this UPND cadre
Neo, there is nothing new in your analysis than trying to launder a Galu, a thief, a litole, a violent character, a shameless, pompous enemy of Zambia. He is a slave trader of modern times.
Neo’s analysis uninspiring. Neo’s analysis is long but amounts to Zero.
Whichever way, HH made a self-inflicting pain.
He has dribbled himself from continuing with his political career.
HH’s political career has been deeply challenged, because after losing in August 2016 he will be forced to retire from active politics by the ‘guys’ or is he going to accept to be a mere UPND member, or at least a member of the NEC?
Let us assume that in the unlikely even he won the election (forgive me for assuming the impossible), GBM would be a thorn in HH’s flesh – take it or leave it. GBM would have a constitutional mandate just like HH, and HH will have no powers to fire him. Those who know GBM will tell you, that HH’s would not be easy.
You may not like what I have said but that matters…
Those who know GBM will tell you, that HH’s would not be easy.
You may not like what I have said but that matters little the point is that, whichever way, HH’s career has taken a self-inflicted challenge because of greed – the hunger and thirsty for State House.
There we go, PF cadres can`t debate issues raised in the article. All they can do is to insult and tribal sentiments. So backward and lack of class.
@1.3 The Game. YOU ARE TRUE TO THE POINT, AREN’T YOU? EVEN ME I AM SHOCKED THAT A PhD HOLDER OR RESEARCHER WOULD NOT THROW SOME LIGHT ON THE EVENT THAT IF IN THE UNLIKELY CIRCUMSTANCE UPND WON AND SOMETHING HAPPENED TO HH- HOW THE PRESIDENCY WILL BE FOR ZAMBIA WITH GBM. REALLY, HOW CAN ZAMBIA HAVE GBM AS PRESIDENT OF ZAMBIA? IF HE IS TRULY A PhD HOLDER OR WHATEVER, HE KNOW THE INAPPROPRIATNESS/SUITABILITY OF GBM AS PRESIDENT OF ZAMBIA, BUT HAS JUST DECIDED TO EVADE THIS DISCUSSION IN FAVOUR OF UPND. OTHERWISE HE IS NOT A PhD HOLDER, OR JUST SOME USELESS PhD HOLDER. OR WILL ZAMBIANS BE OUT OF THEIR MINDS TO USHER-IN UPND KNOWING TOO WELL THAT GBM COULD BE THE NEXT ZAMBIA’S PRESIDENT? NI NSEKO?
The African integration article was more important LT. Why have you moved it within 2 minutes?
These sewage water dunderheads and Kaponya mafia elitist mercenary thugs you have in GBM, (HH) and their fargot arrss-licking Simutanyi are just tenderpreneurs without a vision for the nation. Abash tenderpreneurship
GBM looks like a survivor of Zika Virus
And you look like a non-survivor of the Zika virus! Obviously it is a PF disease.
Just let us know where you would like your well bleached bones buried after August 11.
Zambia will get a clean up then and stinking corrupted carcasses will be disposed of.
Neo, there is nothing new in your analysis than trying to launder a Galu, a thief, a litole, a violent character, a shameless, pompous enemy of Zambia. He is a slave trader of modern times.
Hey Kudos, it is Edgar Lungu who is looking like a Zika virus carrier. In fact the selecting of GBM as HH’s running mate has triggered Lungu to have chronic diarrhea. Did you see how he looked when he went to the ZNBC just to prove that he is not sick? Aclasia is eating him up.
PF is on its way to the intensive care unit. Your campaigns are in great disarray. Gogo Wina is failing to pull any crowds compared to what GBM is doing.
HH PHONE CALL
Caller: Badala, how are you?
HH: Can you talk quickly I’m outside the country and my minutes are being chewed because I’m roaming.
These proud, so called elitist thugs who claim to have K73 million.
Galu opanda muchila
@Mr Agaba, you again!
How are you and where have you been..!?
Ediga lungu phone call:
Lungu: Hallo ba chikwanda it’s me your presido, I need authorisation from the treasury to book a jet and allowances for at least 100 people to go and dance and enjoy in new York, USA ba kalamba. USA. Where Obama is.
Chikwanda: sorry Mr president but the treasury has no money.
Lungu: if there is no money in the treasury then just organise money from the boma Asap.
Lunges phone call continues…
Chikwanda: that is what I am saying Mr president, GRZ, boma, the treasury is broke.
Lungu: you mean that last kaloba is done ??, and yet these honorables getting the road contracts are not sharing. OK ba kalamba
What we do is , you go back to borrow yes just borrow double this time ba kalamba even triple, fyalyi sova.
A call from Mpezeni to LUNGU:
Mpezeni: Hey presido, I hear that you are very sick. What is the matter?
Lungu: Nkhosi yama Khosi, I am really not sure. It is a combination of many things
Mpezeni: like what?
Lungu: aah, the K23.7 million I declared, it also looks like my old disease is back and off course this fat man called GBM as well.
Mpezeni: Hahahaha, just give me part of that money, I will endorse you. As for that disease, you have got to learn to live with it. We are in the same boat. You Must live life to the fullest
Lungu: Makhosi, I am afraid I might not live long to enjoy my money
Mpezeni: it is the more reason why you must share it, Forget about this GBM.
Lungu: Sorry Makhosi, let me attend to Emmanuel Mwamba, I will come back to you
@ Vizungu…I missed you..
For some reasons, people who don’t have money think those who have do not care how it is spent. Awe bane, one’s hard earned money is a representative of one’s sacrifices. We just don’t throw it around. It’s counterintuitive. In street parlance ati bukopo. We value our efforts.
The tendency to spend frivolously is what makes most of you poor. You make k20 before it settles in your pocket you ha plans for its exit. Learn to put money to good use. Long phone conversations is not one of them.
This is a really good article and should be read objectively. If I had to repeat the best parts of the article, I would end up cutting and pasting it in its entirety. So even as I cut and paste two of the statements, they are by no means the best and most important, but just underscore some realities
“….the quality of debate and policy discourse remains very low and surprisingly mediocre to fire the imagination of the Zambian electorate”. – (this statement can be read also having in mind the “quality” of discourse by bloggers from both opposition and ruling party – I have in mind Mr Kudos).
“I would want to see party leaders and presidential candidates raise issues that will excite our imagination and make us dream of a new future for our country.” – This can not be…
The quality of discourse in the Zambian “Newspapers” (all of them) as well as the National TV, is a beacon of superior mediocrity that Dr Neo Simutanyi statement reminds me of. It is such a painful shame.
Neo, there is nothing new in your analysis than trying to launder a Galu, a thief, a litole, a violent character, a shameless, pompous enemy of Zambia. He is a slave trader of modern times.
MMMH BA SIMUTANYI. YOU ARE NOT NEW ON THE SCENE, MAKING WRONG PREDICTIONS ABOUT WHO WILL WIN AND WHO WILL NOT. GBM WAS THE WORST CHOICE BY HH. EVEN IN THE FAILED PF CONVENTION. GBM GOT THE LOWEST VOTES. SO HE CANNOT BE AN ISSUE. MR SIMUTANYI, YOUR PREDICTIONS SMELL OF POLITICAL BIAS. WE EXPECT YOU AS AN ANALYST TO PRESENT SCIENTIFIC PROOF NOT MAKING PREDICTIONS LIKE ILLITERSTES ON THE STREETS OR SHARING CHIBUKU.
Iam sure if you knew you would replace ILLITERSTES with ILLITERATES. There again the quality of the blogger pops out like haemorrhoid.
I think that is more of a typing error than anything. Am sure you have gotten his point and spell check is utterly irrelevant in there!!!
Infact Im yet to see any of his predictions that has come true, just say your endorsing your tribal fellow, no stories..
Double Tobela you are living in the past. What is important nowadays is putting your ideas across on the table not spell checking. I wonder if you have ever sent an sms where the word spelling itself may be written as splng or spelng. And as for ba Neo all I can say is that he has started his halucinations again. Remember he was at pangolin where he never conducted any meaningful opinion poll. It makes my mind suffer to realise that he cannot up to now see the reality on the ground. When those defections where going on he predicted that HH will win. And now when HH’s face is actually down cast he still thinks HH will win my foot.
How can it be a blow to pf when gbm is Pf. What message are they going to tell zambians they are going to do which he didn’t do in pf. How is HH going to address any negatives against of when the veep Pf Scott is in his camp. These people are in upnd to dilute the campaign message. Unless they will be telling people that they should vote for a Tonga and privatisation beneficiary.
That didn’t take long!
GBM is still in court fighting to be recognized as a PF member.
The PF and MMD have taken over UPND without any fight.
The most stupid white man that HH has seen was Acting President of the PF
Nevers Wisekwila Mumba was President of the MMD
The current tour of HH is a perfect example of the Take over. HH has completely lost it.
Leadership comes from God. Let HH find Christ in his life and then things will be easy
you are indeed a skull
ECL awina mutamba kaa!
Definitely not a wife puncher for a national vice president – no.
You are an outsider who weeps louder than the bereaved.
Hamanjanji you are very right. Never a wife/sister in law beater/encyclopedia of insults for VP. Let others bring in power not on my vote.
Really?! Professori!!
Bwana Simutanyi, your analysis are always hollow because you are always one sided. Your predictions as are always wrong. Do you know why you always on the wrong side? It is because you do not research; you only use you opinion to make those inferences and judgments. Stop behaving like a grade 9 school leaver. Sit down and do your research well and then come up with a well informed analysis. Last your opinion polls were always favoring one candidate but in the end that same candidate lost. In 2011 you favored the MMD but they also lost. If you fail to make correct predictions like that, and you continue posting articles online, some of us will fill you are simply looking for employment. You are very educated to behave like that. Please stop it.
GBM has no qualites to lead. He is well known for insults, wife battering, assault, boasting and inability to deal with conflict. Can anyone imagine this man as President if anything happened to HH??
Can anyone imagine Inogwe Wina as President if anything happens to the drunkard?
But then even her unfulfilled promises,
incompetence, senility and usurped PF skill at hiding the unpalatable truth under the carpet would be an improvement on the alcoholic embezzler with 27 million Kwacha in the bank!
The simple fact is that neither her nor Lungu have the faintest clue on how to grow the economy and stave off Zambias inevitable bankruptcy that will make Greece and Argentina look like a picnic in the park. Our beloved country will be racing Venuzela and Zimbabwe to the bottom of the heap.
IMF and Chikwandas favourite song, the STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAM, here we come!
@11.1 DON’T COMPARE INONGE WINA TO GBM. INONGE WINA IS VERY INTELLIGENT, EDUCATED AND HAS DEEP KNOWLEDGE ABOUT POLITICS AND GLOBAL ECONOMIC TRENDS IN RELATION TO ZAMBIA. IT IS NO WONDER ALL PF PRESIDENTS HAVE BEEN CHOSING HER FOR VERY HIGH POSITIONS. INONGE WINA IS VERY CONSIDERATE AND WOULD BE PREPARING FOR A YOUNGER PRESIDENT IN CASE OF ANY NEGATIVE EVENTUALITY- GOD FORBID. AGAIN, PLEASE, DON’T COMPARE BOMA INONGE WITH GBM. THEY ARE TWO POLES APART IN TERMS OF GREY MATTER.
Good and balanced article. Take it or leave it the truth still stands
There is only one thing I like about HH and GBM – There will be no rugs to riches. We have seen so much of these in PF ‘atase’
All the more reason to consider voting for them!
They do not have to STEAL ZAMBIAN TAXPAYERS MONEY and EUROBONDS to supplement their incomes.
Ba Neo
No one outside the kraal has respect for you. Perhaps you should keep your tribal bantustan analysis in the kraal
useless article…well everybody is entitled to their opinion
Neo, your analysis should be about how the BEMBAS have taken over UPND!!!
iSUMBU NALITETA COME WHAT MAY pf IS OUT.
You only have one vote so does everyone else and voting is secret.
Neo simuntanyi is a UPND cadre, period.
Actually he is btter than the 2016 most incompetent and idi0tic president of the millennium Edgar chakolwa Kaloba Wrungu. A proven thief and a swindler records are their at Laz.
“If my good friend and brother, Wynter Kabimba, does not want political power, why is the Rainbow Party contesting the presidency?”
“Petty political jealousies will not help win an election. Zambians want a leadership that will articulate alternative policies that will lift the majority of our people from abject poverty.”
quotes
If HH had picked Maureen Mwanawasa or Kaseba-Sata it would have made logical sense, not this 300Kg mass of *****ic flesh. Cant you see how all of HH’s campaigns are being addressed by smart cartel Bembas e.g GBM, Miles, Malumango and company. Cant you see that Bembas shall always have a say in th erunning of this countries affairs ? Bembas will not vote HH coz he is the best BUT that in more sense, they shall be ruling you pathetic f001s for good. Next step UPND Convention coz all those coward Tongas should not have space in OUR UPND
Poor analysis. The guys will split come End of August. Others will follow this split. Watch this space.
Kikikiki look neo has made his tribes men & women happy. Commenting because you are surporting your bunstan party even irritates electrolates even more. So bwana prof. Next time you feel like analysing the political scene i suggest you analyse upnd as a party and how gbm will bring the party down that he has never helped. By the way where is Garry
Mwanya ba panga fraternity!!
Kudos will be sick polomya after August 11, as he won’t have any more access to taxpayers cash, we’ nkoko we!!
Neo you are lost and wrong, there is only one theme that has dominated the 2016 political discourse – Sonta epowabomba. GBM is not and has not been a factor ba Neo, save us your ignorance. You are wrong, you can’t compare a seasoned politician like Michael to a businessman, GBM. HH’s so called beyond traditional areas of support, is actually regional voting, Neo. Quote:”political parties should concentrate on the work at hand to convince the electorate” in PF language it is called SONTA EPOWABOMBA PF 1-0 Neo. Neo is lost. ECL’s role is not to excite your imagination but to serve Zambians wholeheartedly. You’re surely a columnist, too long a piece of writing but full of opinions Doc. I was almost getting bored but ECL encouraged us to read. I had to.
Neo, there is nothing new in your analysis than trying to launder a Galu, a thief, a litole, a violent character, a shameless, pompous enemy of Zambia. He is a slave trader of modern times.
Sonta apowabomba is a baseless notion. GBM and others who are now out and with other parties worked with Sata to see most of the projects flagged off and some completed i.e Kasama street roads, just to name a few. Just say ‘ifintu ni Lungu’for he has completed major projects left in mid phase by Micheal. Atleast that conotation has a meaning.
@ BK fimo fimo! Well BK, ifyo fyobe dear. If that’s your stance, you are entitled to your opinion. Matter of facts, tell GBM to SONTA at the Kasama streets projects he helped flag off. As for us its SONTA EPO WABOMBA mambala period!
Neo, there is nothing new in your analysis than trying to launder a Galu, a thief, a litole, a violent character, a shameless, pompous enemy of Zambia. He is a slave trader of modern times.
Good analysis,pf is now trembling.go gbm and hh together with upnd.
Yabona Musankwa Neo. You too is hereby challenged to POINT at your works as Dr. Neo Simutanyi. My problem with you “learned chaps” is that you think your opinions cannot be challenged. We fortunately are geared to weigh and classify what is factual and what is actually rhetorically an opinion. Sometimes in life a fool can make money that a wise poor can take advantage of. Don’t you understand that Money and Politics walk hand in hand? Whereas SATA had political brains just like Miyanda, he had no fuel in terms of Money to effectively deliver his message to the electorate. Behold GBM came along. In the terraces of political negotiations, you, Neo and I can not understand what is agreed upon. Anyways GBM once acted as Presido.
It is my opinion that SATA and GBM where in some form of pact. You have to understand that MCS had personal reasons for not making GBM, Wynter let alone Inonge permanent or just acting president, I guess we understand why Scot was not anywhere near. Sampa who unfortunately today claims under his watch had MCS, his uncle, not died he (Sampa) would have made cabinet minister.
That said, you are also aware, how GBM was frustrated by Wynter in PF and the duo literary formed two parallel structures within PF with hidden agendas whose results saw a lot of misdeeds in PF including the infamous TKOing of GBM politically. I imagine being shoved aside despite sponsoring PF. GBM is here for nothing but to get back the money he contributed to PF.
Yabona Musankwa Neo. You too is hereby challenged to POINT at your works as Dr. Neo Simutanyi. My problem with you “learned chaps” is that you think your opinions cannot be challenged. We fortunately are geared to weigh and classify what is factual and what is actually rhetorically an opinion. Sometimes in life a fool can make money that a wise poor can take advantage of. Don’t you understand that Money and Politics walk hand in hand? Whereas SATA had political brains just like Miyanda, he had no fuel in terms of Money to effectively deliver his message to the electorate. Behold GBM came along. In the terraces of political negotiations, you, Neo and I can not understand what is agreed upon. Anyways GBM once acted as Presido
Doctors without school certificates
Political brains move hand in hand with Money. At our hands, we have two rich guys who have refused to give to the poor whats due to them. Zambian’s suffer at the hands of the duo, HH and GBM. We all know the story of the rich man, right? Is that a problem for Zambia? Positive! It is, because they luck political brains, domestic and foreign policy. They are not politicians but rich traditional businessmen. Take HH for instance, he is so backward and lucks political reasoning to an extent where he trashes everything the Government has done. I have a problem with his line of thinking. He is so theoretical to an extent where he thinks traditional business is the same as Political and Government business. He has emanated from no Government structures. We do not want another experiment like…
… FTJ.
@kundoshi ulimwana wandoshi chachine.
Gbm is has numbers in Zambia and knows what people need.
He is principled. He is even better than the past two presidents including the current one.
The critics here are all paid pfools.
HH’s choice of gbm for running mate has become a thorn on the pfools’ ass. They are more restless than before.
It is unreasonable for Kabimba with a pf heart ? to condemn pf and mmd. He is a pf product who embraced mmd defectors while serving as sg.
If pf and mmd members are useless then he is the worst useless of them all coz he was dismissed for being useless. Go tell Kabimba to read this and learn to do sane politics.
Yabona Musankwa Neo. You too is hereby challenged to POINT at your works as Dr. Neo Simutanyi. My problem with you “learned chaps” is that you think your opinions cannot be challenged. We fortunately are geared to weigh and classify what is factual and what is actually rhetorically an opinion. Sometimes in life the unwise can make money that a wise poor can take advantage of. Don’t you understand that Money and Politics walk hand in hand? Whereas SATA had political brains just like Miyanda, he had no fuel in terms of Money to effectively deliver his message to the electorate. Behold GBM came along. In the terraces of political negotiations, you, Neo and I can not understand what is agreed upon. Anyways GBM once acted as Presido
Umulembwe wacipuba upwilafye mulitumfweko
Its a death blow to UPND. How can HH allow a mafikizolo to rise to the highest position and ignore all the faithful UPND members like Gary and Banda? How do you get a kaponya as your running mate? That fat man as our acting Preisdent whenever HH is away? He is so vengeful he would not have the nation’s interests at heart. He can only want to revenge on the PF guys who denied him a contract.
If Simuntanyi was a credible analyst one can give him the benefit of doubt in his analysis BUT he is not. Neo was secretary general of UPND not long ago. He was dropped from the SG position because of ukawolala. He could not account for some funds. He is saying what he is saying to prove he is still relevant. Simuntanyi is a rolling stone. He speaks what he believes some parties want to hear. He did it with MMD. He is always out there to fight for a job. In eastern province they would say, Njala ya munyokola. Whoever listens to Simuntanyi any more? In Politics you have to convince the electorate that the opposition’s team is bad and that yours is better. Does he expect PF to clap for GBM?
Simutanyi is known for always making wrong analysis and predictions-it’a part of his DNA.
HH and any blind UPND member should as himself why old UPND members and his own Vice Dr Canicius Banda are not on the campaign trail with him. HH campaign trail is missing the Mweetwas, Nkombo, Muntangas and other related UPND Bigwigs. Their silence in this matter is too loud ! Like it or not, HH has just sold UPND to the Bemba Cartel and next as we have been reliably informed, the much awaited UPND Convention is on the cards championed by Guy Scott and the other Cartel members. Watch this space
PF wanking after wet dreams.
UPND Insider: GBM has hinted at eyeing the UPND Presidency via a Convention should HH lose this years election. After promising HH to keep his hands off the UPND Presidency, GBM has turned around and put the Cartel’s ultimate mission into motion by starting calls for a Convention as opposed to the ‘Chunda” Authority. This move has surprisingly got the support of die-hard UPND bigwigs who have also decided to support GBMs candidacy at the Convention the latter will demand for and largely sponsor. A
HH has been trying to call for Guy Scott’s intervetion in this ‘treacherous move’ by the Cartel but as expected, Guy Scott has suddenly become elusive. Garry Nkombo and company seem to embrace this Coup de Etat by GBM as their warnings to HH seemed to fall on deaf ears. Believe it or…
PF wet dreams as usual.
BEMBA CARTEL RULES KNOW THAT HH HAS ALREADY FORMED A POLITICAL PARTY WHICH HE WILL TAKE OVER AFTER LOSING THE 11TH AUGUST 2016 ELECTIONS.
EVEN UPND INSIDERS KNOW THAT.
FAREWELL UPND
It was Satas plan to infiltrate UPNDs top leadership so as to inject Bembas in the party. This is because generally Tongas detest Bembas. The fatal mistake by HH was to bring in the Cartel that is mainly composed of Bembas close to Sata and one stupid white man. The Cartels objective is to consume UPND from the inside. HH despite several warnings decided to help the Cartel to dissipate UPND into extinction. I see the Cartel moving back to PF after HH loses. I wish I was born Bemba !!!
More PF wet dreams.
Time to change the blanket.
Always championing wrong and lost causes, this Simutanyi. The recruitment of Mwamba into the higher echelons of UPND bodes no hope of electoral success for your party. Reason: Mwamba has no political clout whatsoever anywhere in Zambia.
Just accept that nacimukalipa ba mambala. Simutanyi’ s analysis is 100% correct and need to be supported. Most of you including Wynter Kabimba did not want HH to choose GBM as his running mate because the man is a threat to PF. Now that he was picked, it has become evident to you that your chances of winning this election are slim if not non hence, the petty reasons you would like to bring across against the man. Non of the points you tend to raise seem valid, the reason some of you have even lost the skin on their heads like Kudos and only a skull is remaining because of fear. You pass on comments quite right but those comments are not genuine but biased as they hold no water.
HH and UPND know very well that they can not win elections without bemba hence the nomination of a new comer GBM
Neo, we are tired of your fallacious analyses. You are the same person who produced fake opinion polls in 2008, 2011 and 2015. The best you can do is to shut up! It appears you have a brain of lizard.
UMULEMBWE WA CHIPUBA UPWILA MULI TUMFWE
UMULEMBWE WA UPND NAUPWA KALE.
HH DID NOT WANT A BEMBA FOR RUNNING MATE. HE SETTLED FOR GBM BECAUSE OF HIS SOUTH AFRICAN ROOTS. WHO DOESN’T KNOW ABOUT HH’S HATRADE FOR BEMBAS.
HH HAS ONLY ONE ASSIGNMENT IN STATE HOUSE, TO SAVE TONGAS FROM BEMBAS.
THOSE WHO LOVE ZAMBIA MUST KNOW THAT ZAMBIA CAN BE SAFE WITH UPND BUT IT IS NOT SAFE WITH HH AS PRESIDENT OF UPND.
THE BITTERNESS IN HH’S EYES IS THERE FOR ALL TO SEE. WHEN YOU SEE HH FORCING A SMILE IN THE NEXT TWO MONTHS, KNOW THAT HE IS SAYING ‘I’LL FIX THEM AFTER 11TH AUGUST 2016
‘UMUNTU NE FINTU NI LUNGU’
This is a good and balanced article and I am surprised that the PF cadres cannot understand it.
Dr. IAM NOT HERE TO ARGUE WHETHER UPND WILL WIN OR PF WILL WIN. BUT STRONGLY ARGUE THAT GBM IS POLITICAL ORGANISER SINCE WHEN???? EVEN IN THE PAST HIMSELF HAS BOASTED OF MAKING PF WIN THROUGH THE FINANCIAL SUPPORT NOT A POLITICAL ORGANISER. I HAVE NO QUESTION ON FINANCES BUT POLITICAL LEADERSHIP FROM GBM, TO MAKE A PARTY WIN ABOVE ALL AS A GOOD PUBLIC LEADER I DON’T KNOW BA DOCTOR WHERE YOU BASED YOUR ARTICLE ON, HAVE DONE GRASSROOT RESEARCH FROM BEMBA SPEAKING PIPO, INFLUENCE FROM GBM THEM?????? BY THE WAY I KNOW BEMBAS ARE MORE OF INDIVIDUALISTIC THAN GROUPING IN POLITICS ( CHECK YOURSELF ON CHIPIMO, CHANDA, NEVERS MUMBA, MUTATI(SUPPORTED UPND LAST BY ELECTIONS).