Wednesday, June 19, 2024

The latest Opinion Poll is genuine and was conducted over a period of time by independent experts-Joe Ndambwa

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The Political Science Association of Zambia (PSAZ) has described those disputing the findings of the recently conducted survey on Voter behaviour and candidate choice in selected Provinces as being emotional.

According to the dissemination of findings Conducted by PSAZ in collaboration with Faraline of the United Kingdom , President Edgar Lungu has been tipped to win the August 12 Presidential Election.

Speaking in a Telephone interview, PSAZ President Joe Ndambwa said the Poll is genuine and was conducted over a period of time by independent experts who are not inclined to any political party.

He said the fact that the poll tipped a candidate of a certain political party to win does not render the findings futile.

“We are an independent organisation, we are not a political organisation that is inclined to any partisan interests. We are experts and do not have emotions over these elections. What we say is what we discover,” he said.

Mr Ndambwa has urged those who think the findings are not real to institute their own commission and see the results it will give them.

He has since disclosed that the association is in the field collecting data for other provinces and would present the findings soon

Meanwhile, Political Scientist Dr Alex Ng’oma says opinion poll appears to have been designed scientifically adding that figures do not lie.

He said what the opinion poll has done is to announce results according to its findings.

“Because one political party has been tipped to win, the losing party has dismissed the poll not on the basis of objectivity but because of Political Polarisation,” he said.

And Young African Leaders Initiative (YALI) says the opinion poll favouring His Excellency President Edgar Lungu in some selected provinces is the true picture of what is happening on the ground.

Isaac Mwanza
Isaac Mwanza

YALI Governance Advisor Isaac Mwanza says President Dr Lungu is the preferred candidate to majority Zambians.

Mr Mwanza says the Head of State has won the heart of many Zambians because of his style of leadership.

He says the issue of not leaving no one behind, he says, were we have seen especially the elderly being taken care off is one of the things that has made people believe in President Dr Lungu.

In a telephone interview, he says the opposition is now scared following the outcome of the polls.

“We have been talking about this issue, we have categorically said President Lungu is winning these elections. And this will come to pass,” he says.

He however appealed to the association to ensure that the opinion poll is extended to other provinces which were left out.

Mr Mwanza says Zambians would want to see how the Head of State and other Presidential candidate will perform.

He is however optimistic that His Excellency President Dr Lungu will lead in other Provinces left because they are Patriotic Front (PF) strongholds.

Meanwhile Mr Mwanza urged the the ruling party to up their game in Provinces where the Head of State got 44 percent in the recent released polls. Mr Mwanza says the Head of State need to be above 50 percent.

He says the people given the mandate to spearhead the campaigns must hit the ground.

He says there is need to ensure that people are fed with collect information as well as distribute party regalia.

18 COMMENTS

  1. Upnd are in denial. I told them and warned them. They thought kaizar can lose an election. Hh will cry again like a constipated cow

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  2. The thing with opinion polls is that they are just like onions if you remove the pee. You are left in tears.

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  3. ABOSLUTE TRASH ANYBODY ON THE GROUND CAN SEE THAT
    PF THIS NONSENSE IT WONT WORK
    AND TO THE TR000LL IF ANYTHING YOU HAVE CHASED PEOPLE AWAY FROM PF WITH YOU FIRE AND BRIM STONE

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  4. When was the Survey done? What influenced the choice of Provinces? Why was LP excluded from the Sample Survey? How come the Questionnaire didnt include Bread and Butter issues?

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  5. According to findings , those accredited with the PF poll know nothing of it and do not even hold the listed academic qualifications

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  6. One big omission of many is that the electoral college of the sampling is incomplete. The five-thirty-eight model in the US samples each state for the total sum of 538 college votes. In Zambia the weight of the province is related to the registered number of the voters on the opinion poll point in time methodology or voter turn out point in time of the voters on voting day for each party ratios. There are more mathematical inadequacies that were not considered such as a balanced questionnaire to eliminate subjectivity. The final summary statement on infrastructure development sounds plagiarised from PF cadres…and that gives the poll away. Dr Alex Ngoma will no what I am talking about. He was my Math teacher in grade 9, he went on to be a PhD in political science and I went on to be a…

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  7. In Zambia many people would rather believe a false prophet than findings of a scientific study. There’s credibility in these results although 44% is a bit too high. The fair result will be 42% for ECL, 38,% HE Pamunyoko Chikkala, Fred Mmembe and Harry Kalaba at 4,% each. The voting pattern will still be the same at 3.5 to 6.5 provinces. It’s the rerun that will end somebody’s tribal political career

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  8. I haven’t found even one person who was asked an opinion poll of this nature. Anyway its ok to dream.

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  9. Opinion polls don’t vote and are irrelevant. Lets talk bread and butter issues. An opinion poll does not help a Zambian in any way. Why do people waste energy on such things. Wasnt the opinion poll in favour of Hillary Clinton in the USA when she lost to Donald Trump.

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  10. How can an opinion poll be in favour of 23% inflation, K22 to a dollar exchange rate, depleted reserves, high unemployment, debt York, poor governance – very fake stage managed poll, such gymnastics are too late

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  11. How does a clearly stage managed opinion poll help one. This is what desperation can do. In any case Zambians have already made a decision to change government

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  12. Figures don’t lie.One NGO last week issued a report about the shrinking democracy in our country,ba PF rubbished the report.Today an opinion poll gives ecl victory,upnd has rubbished the result kkkkkk.Figures don’t lie.Uwafitala akaimwena says HH.

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  13. UPND are still waiting for Seer1 to come and give them his opinion. He has has been very good and accurate with them. Instead of looking at the poll and think about how to turned things around they are insulting is their DNA.

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  14. How do you carry out an opinion poll in a country were people are afraid of caders musquarading as state agents and causing a lot of havoc to people who have dissenting views. In short most people are responding with reservations because of the insecurity and
    mistrust created by caders.

  15. Even in 2011, MMD under Rupaih Banda won the opinion polls but after the general elections, it ws the late Michael Sata (mhsrip) who emerged an an outright winner. So what matters at the end of the day is the ballot box. Continue deceiving yourselves and we we see who will have the last laugh. What do you expect from NGOs that are all aligned to PF especially YALI. So misplaced.

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