The respected Economic Intelligence Unit has predicted that Hakainde Hichilema of the UPND will win the August 2016 general elections.
In its April 2016 Forecast Report just published on its website (www.eiu.com), the EIU states that although the UPND will win, there will be little change in national economic policies as well as the social conditions of the people.
The EIU argues that the defection from the PF by its former Vice President Guy Scott “probably motivated more by his personal animosity towards President Edgar Lungu than by his disappointment with the party and that of Michael Sata’s nephew Miles Sampa, will help UPND win the elections.
The report states that the PF “is likely to be unseated without backing from more than Mr [Nevers] Mumba’s faction within the MMD. It is clear that the allegiances of the various MMD factions are fluid, a situation which in the coming months will see a lot of “horse-trading to secure electoral pacts.”
“The authorities’ official policy agenda, which is unlikely to change drastically in the event of a UPND election win, will be to reduce inflation, bring down the fiscal deficit, boost mining production, develop infrastructure (particularly power and transport) to encourage the diversification of the economy, and support local business and employment.”
The report further says that both the PF and the UPND have inconsistent economic policies where “pro-business rhetoric” is mixed with “promises of more populist policies.”
This will cause the investors to continue to be wary about economic “policy uncertainty” irrespective of the party that wins the August 11 elections. “Uncertainty and confusion created by inconsistent government policy towards mining firms will weigh on investment, “the EIU says.
The Report states that the elections will be tightly fought leading to some stalemate because neither Mr Lungu nor Mr Hichilema enjoys the backing of a clear majority of voters.
“Because of the constitutional requirement that a candidate would secure the presidency only after the 50 per cent plus one vote, the MMD “could emerge as the kingmaker despite its internal rifts” although the MMD support among the voters is unclear.”
The EIU fears that there could be sporadic violence before and after the elections whose outcome would be determined by a weakening economy that is undermining the PF’s support among the voters.
It says the weak economy is manifested by job losses in the mines, deterioration of living standards of the majority of the people, high inflation, power shortages and below average economic activity.
However, after August, political stability will improve even though “no party is likely to secure an outright legislative majority,” a prospect that would substantially “slow down policy-making” up to 2020.
The EIU says, “We expect Mr Hichilema to be victorious in August. Nevertheless, although we expect the UPND to win the most seats, no party is likely to win an outright legislative majority.
LT you are really trying hard to dumpen the impact of the views of the EIU. Why dont you just attach the publication so that we can read it ourselves without the concoctions you are adding the report?
Seriously you are the same people who have made HH delusional. The guy thinks he is the president of Zambia already because of all of you predictors with no tangible data to back you predictions. If HH loses again, please be sure to pay for his psych meds!
Sometimes I wonder if HH learnt any thing in school. His party symbol is way similar to Hitlers. Only an !diot would adopt that symbol in this day and age.I fear this man will be ” gassing” some Bembas when elected because I think in his head HH stands for Hail Hitler. Believe you me!
These are the articles that give HH false hope, then when results are announced, he cries ati our vote was stolen.
Fact is HH failed to beat EL in 2015 when he (EL) was weak and PF was engulfed in internal conflicts. He didnt have the resources or government machinery at his disposal. Guy Scott made sure of that. What has changed now for UPND to be so confident of winning? What message or policies have they sold to the people to make them change their minds. Infact UPND are worse off now than they were in the last campaigns.
Good luck.
Mumba did not even know it that he has the ace card.
Someone who has solid education and has practical background in real world Intelligence works of information gathering, collaboration, analysis and application will out-rightly rubbish this load of kitchen sink stuff. Brothers go restore sanity in Libya where you have only planted chaos and national state doom. Zambia is a country of sober citizens.
Its good effort of psychic after Simutanyi and uncle VJ have scammed you money for giving such stuff ka.
WHAT A LOAD OF NONSENSE..THESE ONLINE PUBLICATIONS FROM INTERNATIONAL MEDIA HOUSES ARE OFTEN WRITTEN BY ALARMIST FREELANCE JOURNALISTS THAT ARE UPND OR ZWD AFFLIATED.
Rest assured PF is getting the August Elections, too much at stake to entrust the future of Zambia in the hands of people who ripped the economy in the 90s for their own personal gain. Farmers have enjoyed a bumper harvest thanks to the FISP programme of PF, such programmed will be canned by the capitalist HH, which normal thinking Zambian would vote for HH in such a case? Civil service will be halfed by HH, sending many off packing as he did with poor miners in the 90s.
2016 ECL nafuti
The Telegraph 1Jan 2016:The forecasting industry was left red-faced when its claims of a hung Parliament, or even a narrow win for Ed Miliband’s Labour party in last May’s election, were found to be way off the mark when the Conservatives won a clear majority.
Now two major polling companies – YouGov and ICM – have admitted they relied too heavily on a relative over-representation of politically engaged young voters in their polling analysis and did not take enough account of the views of elderly voters.
The findings come ahead of an official report this month led by Professor Patrick Sturgis from Southampton University into why so many respected pollsters did not forecast the result.
They got it wrong in the UK elections and so shall it be in the August 11th elections, Viva ECL.
Exactly my feeling #Twiter its like this article has been done by Sunday Chanda.
UPND ARE SO WEAK TO WIN THE ELECTIONS THIS YEAR. EVEN LAST YEAR WHEN IT WAS SO OBVIOUS THAT HH WAS GOING TO WIN BECAUSE UPND WAS SO STRONG AND PF SO WEAK SIMILAR AND EVEN MORE SO CALLED HIGHLY RESPECTED PREDICTORS PREDICTED HH’s VICTORY. BUT. STILL HH FAILED TO WIN. FACT IS THE PEOPLE OF ZAMBIA KNOW WHERE THE ECONOMIC BLUES OF ZAMBIA ARE ORIGINATING FROM. THEY ALSO KNOW THAT WHOEVER WINS WILL NEVER FILL UP RIVERS WITH WATER FOR POWER.
THE EIU PREDICTED VICTORY FOR SATA AND HE WON, I AM A PF SUPPORTER BUT I WONT RUBBISH THIS PREDICTION, EL HAS MESSED UP THINGS.
If this was about EL, Chibwili would have been on ZNBC to tell the people of Zambia about it. Now that its HH the report will be rubbished, but again all is there to see, EL is NOT a leader even chibwili would have done better.
My foot. This analysis is based on Guy Scott move, umusungu munabo. Sata said Guy Scott chipuba no wonder he never left the country to be run by him.
Ask Movie Tv what happened to their ‘Opinion Polls’ in the last elections.
hahahaha, look at how all the little PF dunderheads have rushed to rubbish a report done by technocrats who have actually been on the ground to assess the situation and collect data to come up with their conclusions. All arguments I see here are nonsense cause they stem from small brains that attack personalities and have carried out zero research of their own. Wake up my friends coz PF is bye bye.
Look at the Hitler signs….of saluting…Zambians will regret if HH goes into plot 1
Useless report written by unpd dreamers. Even when PF was at its weakest point due to wrangles, unpd failed. Now PF is strong and Zambians love Edgar Lungu not the pompous hh who is no different from Winter Kamimba in terms of boasting & arrogance. Zambians are not ready to be ruled by selfish tongas.
THE STRONG WIND OF CHANGE IS REALLY SWEEPING ALL ACROSS ZAMBIA. CHANGE IS ALL WHAT PEOPLE WANT. EIU’S OBSERVATION THAT HH IS WINNING IS TRUE! WE ALL NEED HH TO WIN BECAUSE PF AND LUNGU HAVE REALLY LET US DOWN. THEY HAVE LOOTED OUR RESOURCES AND HAVE PLUNDERED THE ECONOMY.
Its not about HH, its about the future of your children, which is in a mess right now.
Yes he will win. LUNGU AND PF MUST GO. SAVE ZAMBIA FROM DOOM
Look at the Hitler signs….of saluting…Zambians will regret if HH goes into plot 1
hahahaha I remember one prophet saying the same last year muzadabwa you are just making us even work harder to ensure that ECL wins chikubabe season wina azalila
Ok…we wait to see. One thing to note though, there analysis is not backed up by any data. Its full of assumptions and in some cases, there are not sure of what they are saying. And lastly, in 2011, they predicted banda to win!!
Assumptions and projections are usually based after a research and collection of data my friend. Did you not learn this at school?
Dude Love is uncouth just like his veep GBM. Check his earlier comment above. Insulting all of us who have commented as having small brains. This is social media some commentators are well achieved professions not deserving belittling by political stooges of Dude Loves’ calibre!
I for one will be voting for ECL, Kolopa.com!
This will make Kudos and his buddies salty. They are coming soon to hail insults at HH, your ECL has messed his opportunity and his decisions show a man who is clueless. He makes a decision today, tomorrow he rescinds it. He also has no heart for the people even those in his party and if he is not careful, he is going to be left with only kambwili, bwalya and mumbi. Sata fought hard, even costing us more money luring those people only for Lungu to let them walk.
https://www.lusakatimes.com/2010/03/30/economist-intelligence-unit-report-zambia-predicts-rbs-reelection-2011/
Kikikikikikikiki
Kwakwakwa
Nyenyenyenye
Bwafya mwandi. Chainama mental hospital prepare a nice bed for another patient due to be KOLOPAD again August fooled by his internet Researchers
Seriously this predictions is lucking in tangible and credible data. Scot and Sampa don’t have a constituency. The truth is that they supported HH even in the last election and both will lose their seats this year. The opinion fails to take into consideration the impact of mmd supporters who will be behind PF. Banda is delivery a much larger constituency than Sampa and Scot. Just because an outsider says HH will win doesn’t make it so. Inferiority complex. Why listen to an armchair analysts
Upnd 4 real will be victorious the standard of living now compared to 2014 totally different power outages, high mealie meal price, eratic fuel pump ,weak kwacha , job losses this government has failed us trial and error government bunch cnp leaders
Its a foregone conclusion.Thanks EIU for confirming it.The citizens that will support PF despite all their shortcomings consist of the following;
1. Those that have first class seats on the PF gravy train
2. Contractors and suppliers that are favoured by Parastatals and ministries in the award of contracts and tenders.
3. Embassy staff afraid of their imminent recall
4. Wheelers and dealers that run errands and do dirty work for PF big wigs
5. Cadres with no trade or skill that rely on bullying to make a living in the bus stops and markets
6. Leaders of fly by night clergy whose flock are mainly the poor and desperate
7. Relatives of the above classification of people who feed on the crumbs falling off the table
As for the rest of the Zambian population,they will never be cheated…
HH is likely to win this election.
YES. Even PF said so. That is why they are busy enticing opposition parties to join them with promises of sharing the posts.
Kikiki ati HH will win.Aww mwandi kuti waseka.Can sampa and scott make HH win?Sampa has no influence now.Infact pipo had faith when he was in PF but now after even going to UPND pipo can’t be cheated.Bembas can’t be cheated by ba GBM n Sampa.We kow that UPND is a tribal party period.The tribal groupings even say we want use chi GMB and Sampa to get bemba votes then we’ll chase these chaps.kkiki we can’t be so stupid to vote for a tribal party which will fire other tribes from govt and companies.They need to change and work with other tribes otherwise even now in companies they are too self centered.Viva EL and PF.We’ll win in 6-7 provinces.How can HH win in three provinces?iye mayo mwandi ba EIU kuwayawafye.
But nabo bu fontini pa Zed! Predictions are predictions based on analysing research data collected. Many organizations including UN have been in the field since last last year collecting data on likely voting patterns & hence most likely voting results. What is laughable about that? Just work hard to reverse the probability for your PF – that is all.
Iwe ka jitan..see the link posted by someone above. Even in 2010 these same colonial f.ools predicted RB victory..what happened. If they did a research, let them publish the research findings such as sample size, age group, where they did the research… What if they did the research only in southern province??..not the assumptions above…you will cry together with HH am telling you. Don’t fall for these useless predictions. Problem with Zambians is that if it is written by a white man, then it’s gospel truth…nonsense
There is nothing wrong to make predictions . What matters are the final results. We have to be ready to accept even when the predictions did or did not favour you.
The only people this article is fooling are ZWD and UPND who have been fooling themselves since 2008. The sad fact is they are the ones who either wrote the article or had a hand in getting the writing the article. They are so desperate to the extent it shows they will lose.
REMEMBER LAST ELECTIONS WHEN ZWD RAN A STORY ABOUT SA MEDIA PREDICTING HH TO WIN? SOME OF US COUNTERED THAT FALSE PREDICTION BY SENDING A LINK FROM REUTERS AND ASSOCIATED PRESS WHICH SAID PF WOULD WIN!
2016 ECL nafuti
HH and his party they have not given us the manifesto upto now. They just talk on the media and facebook. how can they win and what basis was used to determine whatever they have written.
Is this not the same organization that predicted MMD and RBs victory in 2011? Reason given was that the economy was strong etc. the are assuming mmd is still intact and will be the king maker? Haven’t they heard that it is finished
Yes they are the ones. But they do not even factor in tribal voting. Where is their data coming from? Online rhetoric?
@James Mwanza, they clearly predicted Sata’s win in 2011. Let us stick to facts.
Ba James bufi ubo. Please let us not twist facts to make ourselves feel better. The EIU predicted a Sata win.
These Predictions based on what happens at chainama hotel when a few politicans claim to have defected to the UPND every Saturday.
Real voters in Zambia have NO tangible access to the internet, or the social capital to mingle with those that often gather at that hotel.
Don’t be fooled people, NO incumbent loses in Africa when ballots papers have been printed in Dubai
with or without EIU, Zambians have resolved to remove Changwa from power because of PF lies, violence and mismanagement of national resources. wait until next month then you will see many more defections from PF.
Just say you will vote for HH not Zambians have decided! Who are you? The mouth piece of every Zambian? I for one and most bloggers above will be voting for ECL because we cannot trust HH, GBM, Canisius and Mweetwa. These are people sending very serious negative messages to the Zambian enterprise!
Further, even this same report informs that little will change even if HH had to win. The only change will be negative if any justb like his advise and values of privatisation.
VIVA ECL, PF kolopa.com!
ba kalusa ba UPND bawina pa Facebook.What surprises me is that the UPND chaps can call all radio stations and campaign for HH but they don’t know that pipo know these chaps since 2011.They use same methods which irritate pipo bcoz we can’t have same callers everyday in the name of same tribe.U can tell by the voice and ascent that the person calling is Ha——lya and ha–ndi.Anyway gud luck ba UPND with yo tribe party.sometimes these chaps start using other pipo’s names on facebook so that pipo can see that even other tribes are supporting UPND.UPND needs to be real n honest.The followers cheat too much no-wonder they lose and will continue losing.Viva Pabwato.Tulemikolopa nafuti nafuti until u change yo tribal thinking.
In fact he has already won because he likes winning before the votes are cast.
Miners on the copperbelt will unleash the killer punch on PF. There is untold misery and hunger in the once glamorous copperbelt. No food, No jobs, high food prices. They will make no mistake to vote for another 5 years of hopelessness. New voters mostly youths will ensure that PF is voted out. Only a few appeased marketeers will vote for Lungu.
VOTE UPND
Ubufi iwee! I live in Ndola, Kansenshi and have aunts in Chifubu and Lubuto. PF will win here without a doubt.
Miles Sampa looks like a Cote d’voire supporter, regardless Ba Miles its your choice.
hahahahaha…ba hh,awe sure
these are a bunch of imperialist agitators with a conflict seeking agenda. Zambians should learn to move away from such sadistic peddlers who take pride in planting seeds of discord. this so called intelligence report is totally off balance and lacking in ingenuity.
WHICH MINERS ON THE COPPERBELT?YO HH SOLD MINES IN KOLOPA.WHO DON’T KNOW THAT HH WAS INVOLVED IN SELLING MINES IN KOPALA?KIKIKI UPND CAN’T WIN IN COPPERBELT WETHER U LIKE IT OR NOT.INVESTORS WILL ONLY EMPLOY WHEN THEY ARE MAKING PROFIT.GOVT HAS NOTHING ITO SAY IN PRIVATE COMPANIES.NOWONDER PIPO BLAME HH BCOZ HE WAS INVOLVED IN SELLING THE MINES
If this was about EL, Chibwili would have been on ZNBC to tell the people of Zambia about it. Now that its HH the report will be rubished, but again all is there to see, EL is NOT a leader even chibwili would have done better.
EVEN IN 2015 THEY PREDICTED THE SAME! AND THE RESULTS WILL BE THE SAME AS 2015.
Given the serious incompetence that PF and Edgar Lungu have shown even on simple things like availability of Maize and mealie meal, why on earth would one vote for PF? Let’s be logical! PF has failed the Zambian people. PF MUST GO.
K Bwalya, if you were sincere you would know that there is a huge shortage of maize in the southern region of Africa and Zambia having enough is being pressured by neighbours in cohorts with smugglers like GBM with his 10,000 tonnes for export. However, since you are not genuine but simply HH’s political sycophant, you are deliberately uninformed.
Ask your vice president for administration to grind the 10,000 tones of maize into 400,000 by 25 kgs of mealie meal and put it on the Zambian market.Rather than his greed intentions of exporting the maize, while blamig the PF government & HEECL. VIVA PF, VIVA HEECL!
THE ANALYSIS IS FULL OF CONTRADICTIONS AS IF IT WAS RESEARCHED AND WRITTEN BY A GRADE 9 PUPIL FROM BWEENGWA. ITS SO SHALLOW AS IF GUN MEN ARE BEHIND THE AUTHOR ATI LEMBA CHABE! KIKIKIKIKIKIKIKIKI! I SEE MY BROTHERS COLLAPSING THIS AUGUST!
There they go AGAIN. Almost all the past elections go with landslide predictions for HH only for reality to dawn that it was all hot air. Who can forget Muvi TV opinion polls in the last episode. Mukaleka HH nomba asuke afwe na BP. Ine ndelolesha fye mukwai!!!!
Edgar Lungu wins close election
Event
Edgar Lungu has narrowly won a presidential election described by his closest contender, Hakainde Hichilema, as not a reflection of the will of the people.
Analysis
Mr Lungu was the candidate of the ruling Patriotic Front (PF) and succeeds the late party founder, Michael Sata, as president. The election victory of the ruling-party candidate suggests that voters were prepared to give Mr Lungu and the PF a chance to try and see through their populist pro-poor policies and tough stance on investors, particularly in the mining sector. However, the result also implies both apathy in a large section of society and frustration with the economic performance of the country among many other Zambians. Only 32.4% of registered voters cast ballots…
we know its coming to pass..thanks
We have heard this story before even in the last elections it was the same but the outcome was different. HHs chance at being president was in the last elections when he was competing with a less known ECL.HH campaigned foe 3 months while ECL campaigned for just 3 weeks but he lost. This guy has destroyed Mazokas party,he inherited a party with 47 MPs and today they are only 26 of which 5 if am not mistaken are working with PF. Majority of voters are in the compounds and in the rural areas and these are the people this HH guy has failed to identify himself with.
IT WAS A SUBSRIBED COMMENTARY NOT WELL RESEARCHED AND COMMENTED LACKS REASONING AND BASIS FORGETING ABOUT THE FUNDAMENTALS IN THE PF UPND ELECTIONS THERE IS NO CHANGE IN THE CONSTANTS K AS CONTRIBUTED BY THIS SUNSCRIBER TO EIU AND THE DATA IS THEREFORE MISLEADING AND REFLECTS POORERLY ON THIS INSTITUTE ONCE CALLED INTO DISRUPE OVER RELIANCE ON DESK TOP SURVEYS FOR PEOPLE WITH ACCESS TO PCS IS ALSO A COMMON PITFALL OF THIS EIU THAT IS WHY YOU NEED TO OBSERVE THE STANCE TAKEN BY OTHERS THEY HAVE CORRECTLY ANALYSED AS LUNGU WINNING COMFORTABLY BY A MARGIN OF 61%
EIU is not God. The one who will rule Zambia is the one God has ordained. So whoever loses the elections must accept defeat because it is God who is the owner of the world.
ITS A CONTRIBUTED RESEARCH LET THEM POST THE STATISTICS WE VALIDATE AND COMFIRM AS SUBSCRIBED MEMEMBER I CAN COMFIRM THE DATA IS NOT THERE ONLY A JOURNALIST TYPE OF RESEARCH WITHOUT A ROUND TRIP TO COMFIRM AND VALIDATE IF RELYING ON THIRD PARTY DATA LET THEM DICLOSURE AND YOU WILL SEE THE QUALITY OF INDIVIDUALS AND ASSESS ADEQUANCY THIS IS A POORLY RESEARCHED COMMENTARY AND CASTS DOUBT ON THE INTELLIGENCY OF ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCY UNIT WE CHALLENGE THEM TO PROVIDE AN EXCEL FORECASTED DATA OF HH WINNNING AND YOU WILL SEE INFINTU NI LUNGU ITS NOT THERE
The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) is an independent business within The Economist Group providing forecasting and advisory services through research and analysis, such as monthly country reports, five-year country economic forecasts, country risk service reports, and industry reports.[1]
The EIU provides country, industry, and management analysis worldwide and incorporates the former Business International Corporation, a UK company acquired by its parent company in 1986. The EIU has several offices across the globe including two offices in China and one in Hong Kong.[2]
The Economist Intelligence Unit also produces regular reports on “liveability” and cost of living of the world’s major cities that receive wide coverage in international media.[which?] The Economist…
This is what the EIU said in 2010:
A REPORT of the influential Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has predicted that President Rupiah Banda and the MMD are likely to retain power in the 2011 general elections because of the influence of incumbency and the recovery in both the local and global economy.
With all the criticism of the article, lets read it properly and not be influenced by the LT headline.
It says UPND will win “the most” votes and therefore the most seats in parliament. However, the killer punch of 50%+1 can only be achieved by either party thru support from Nevers.
Who will Nevers support in the run-off ?
U will understand why the PF enacted the 50%+1 in the new comstitution.
PF have already understood this and are planning for it. HH will be caught out without a plan since he is too comfident of first round win.
Mark my words….
HOW DOES HH WIN AN ELECTION PURELY BASED ON A WHITE MAN THAT HE HIMSLF CALLED THE MOST STUPID JOINING HIM?THESE GUYS ARE *****S.KOZ THERE FELLOW EUROPEAN JOINS HH THEN HE WILL WIN?ELECTIONS ARE WON AT GRASSROOTS.DID THEY INTERVIEW PEOPLE.IN CHINGOLA AND CHILILABOMBWE MOST PIPO ARE ARE OF OF THE VIEW THAT THE MEALIE MEAL SHORTAGE Z CAUSED BY HH’S SABORTAGE AND SO WILL VOTE FOR PF.IF HH HAS CONNECTIONS IN THE OP AS HE BRAGS ALWAYS,HE WOULD HAVE GOT THIS INFO AND TRIED TO CORRECT THE IMPRESSION.THIS IS DATA WE COLLECTED FROM GRASSROOTS PEOPLE.YET HE IS BEING SWAYED BY THESE *****S FROM EUROPE.EVEN A GRADE 12 SCHOOL LEAVER CAN DO A BETTER INTELLIGENCE GATHERING.MOST PIPO BELEIVE PF Z DEAD ON THE COPPERBELT BUT THEY WILL BE SHOCKED.
It is funny how opinion polls only work well in countries with educated electorates. Zambians must prepare for an eventual PF win in the August Polls.
IF YOU RELY ON QUESTIONAIRES SENT TO BIASED ECONOMISTS AND ACCOUNTANTS WHOSE EMAILS YOU HAVE SOLICITED FROM MEMBERSHIPS THEN YOU ARE NOT SOUND LIKE THE CATO INSTITUTE OR OTHER FULLY PACKAGED RESEARCH HOUSES
IF YOU THEN MISS 3 OR 4 CONSEQUITIVE ELECTIONS FORECAST,THEN YOU LACK FUNDAMENTAL UNDERSTANDING OF THE STRUCTURE AND CHARECTERISTICS OF ELECTIONS IN THAT COUNTRY
YOU HAVE A COMFIRMATION BIAS AND YOU HAVE NO BASIS OF YOUR OWN AND YOU RELY ON THIRD PARTY RESEARCH DATA THAT IS NOT SOUND AND YOU NEED TO HAVE PROCESSES OR INTERNAL CONTROLS TO CHECK AND VALIDATE YOUR COMPILATION ANALYSIS AND REPORTING OF DATA OTHERWISE YOU LOOSE CREDIBILITY…
I SENT AN EMAIL TO CHIEF ECONOMISTS AND RESEARCHER AT EIU A COLLEAGUE I ENGAGE DIRECTELY WITH HE SAYS THE COMMENTARY SHOULD NOT HAVE BEEN PUBLISHED ITS SOMETHING HE HAS TAKEN AND FOR THE FUTURE DUE DILIGENCY WILL BE PAID TO ENSURE ITS BASIS AND FUNDAMENTAL REASONING IS CORRECT
HE COMFIRMS THAT ITS UNLIKELY HH WINS THE ELECTIONS AND THE SITTING PRESIDENT WINS
HE WILL LOOK INTO THE POSTING AND REQUEST FOR MORE DATA AND ENSURE COMPLIANCY NEXT TIME
THATS THE POSITION
The fact is that Pf has disappointed many Zambians and must be voted out in the first round.
1 KINGS 3 vs. 5 the lord appeared to him {Solomon (Lungu)} in the dream and asked him; what would you like me to give you? Vs 9 give me wisdom to rule your pipo (Zambians). The lord was pleased that Solomon ( Lungu)had not asked for riches (like HH and GBM) I will give you what you have asked for. Chapter 5 Solomon (Lungu) prepares to build the Temple while HH built himself a very big house. Come August 11 Solomon (Lungu) as indicated in chapter 6 is coming to build the Temple. Solomon’s enemy starts with HA (1 Kings 11:14-16) and lungu’s enemy starts with HA. Will the Edomites (UPND) and their leader (HA) win in 2011?
You are very funny, even our Father in Heaven is chuckling at this…right now!!
As long as we are the seed of Abraham it shall pass. the Edomites will not win King Solomon
You will be so shocked HH can’t this year’s election. He failed to win when there was no goalkeeper last year in the goal post, so what makes you think he can score when CHAGWA is in the goal post.
balungu batampa ukufwala utusote ba HH nabo batampa. Does this man really have his own style of doing things? When Obam won elections he started calling himself Obama, Nkana started performing well bakopa. Even his campaign issues leaves much to be desired no direction.
Let’s hope Lungu will lose and disappear into obscurity where he belongs
Lungu this time he will lose.I have no doubt HH will win.simple.
The EIU analysis of Scott’s reasoning is pure speculation – Scott is simply trying to continue the journey he started with Michael Sata. The PF has been subverted and parasitized by MMD and other shady characters due to the sudden leadership vacuum, and much as it must hurt to abandon the party you created yourself through your own sweat and blood, Scott has effectively been forced to leave. “Personal animosity” is not something for the EIU to know or comment about
The govt should come up with a law that will punish people who conduct such research to mislead pipo. Its like a doctor telling you that you will die tomorrow when in fact its not true. look at the pain you will go through. Can an African make such prediction and go free in their country? Such conducts should be counted as criminal becoz pipo will take important strategies as a research a funny thing
Can you share the actual article because on the website given above there is no such a story either on Africa or Zambia in particular
Yes akawina but akapitilila pa State House nakabili. Akalufya address and he will end up in Chikankata.
In my strong opinion these predictions must be stopped forthwith as they will certainly make it very difficult for the losers to accept the election results. Let’s just patiently wait for that polling day and accept the results thereafter. Remember we have only one Zambia.
Ba LT when you say respected Economic Intelligency Unit are you trying to sway people to vote for HH? These opinion this opinion that we have heard them before remember Pangolin with Simutanyi in 2011 favouring MMD but Sata won, Muvi TV in 2015 making HH win by 87% and Lungu 6% the rest 7%. This article was posted by a UPND sympathiser. Just wait for 11 August, 2016 because that is when the respected Zambian voters will cast their votes so do not feed us with respected shani shani.
In its analysis of the final winner of the 2011 elections, the EIU maintained that the MMD was going to take the day. Well, well we all know what happened. Only an embecile would celebrate with such shiitty predictions as most of them do not even become reality. https://www.lusakatimes.com/2011/06/24/eiu-maintains-rb-win-prediction/
Between HH and millimeter Sampa LOOK AT THEIR RAISE HAND SYMBOLS THERE IS NO UNITY OF PURPOSE JUST EGO ORB PIDE.EDGAR IS WINNING BY MORE THAN 71%.HH WILL COLLAPSEON 13 AUGUT.TATULEFYAYA ABA MACHIKI NABA NSELE TO RULE THIS COUNTRY IT IS ACHRISTIAN NATION.SHAME ON GBM ,HH AND MILLIMETRE SAMPA
But how is UPND going to win the elections when they only have 3 provinces as their strong holds? We all know that Luapula, nortehrn, Muchinga, Eastern, copperbelt urban, Lusaka urban and part of Central province are PF stronholds. I expected the report to say PF will come out with a big number of MPs even though a re run is possible not the opposite, and it is a known fact that MMD can only go into an alliance with PF because Nevers has said so before himself.Ba LT please dont publish such reports next time.
The UPND cannot win the August 11 Elections. They are struggling to find Candidates outside Southern, Western and North Western Province. They want to get the rejects after parliament is dissovled and they think they can win. EIU is dreaming. Where have they gotten the Data? The PF will win by a Landslide. The situation on the Copperbelt is still the same. PF all the way.The Guy Scott factor didn’t work in 2015 when he tried to destroy the PF. This time around people know Edgar Lungu. Who will entrust governance in HH,GBM and Scott?
If you read this article in context, you will be of my view that Edgar Chawa Lungu has already won the elections. Yes the title is inviting especially to the UPND twits but the content doesnt support it. For instance, what would make PF lose these elections because of Scott? Wasnt it Scott who sabotaged President Lungu and the PF in January 2015 and what was the outcome?
This being a Presidential and general election, one would have thought that by now the voters could have been decided on the opposition based on their solid and consistent pronunciations, but alas, there is non. On the other hand, the ruling PF has a head start considering the numerous developmental projects that they have taken to people’s door steps. This is actually the main reason why ECL has won these elections. As…
contd
As the election date draws even nearer, already signs of good things that people expect have started happening. Moreover, to form government, its 50%+1, where will UPND get it? This new requirement on the other hand has even made PF and President Lungu to easily get it, its all about development and NOT Nshima!
This only makes my resolve to vote for ECL STRONGER
The prediction has touched job losses which has been done already, accepted by some concerned employees & some have found something to do to bury the past. Others unfortunately are still having bad memories caused by the perceived PF. Unfortunately, the prediction has totally forgotten about the pending guaranteed job losses to come on August 12, 2016 when UPND comes into office as predicted by EIU. Over 1,000.00 jobs at RTSA have been guaranteed to go by UPND President plus that of Daily Nation pending to be shut down by GBM. The question is, will this 1,000.00 plus staff and their families, children out of wedlock, concubines, sympathisers, volunteer to lose their bread and butter just for UPND to win? On average these may be 10 per family totaling over 10,000.00 (1,000 x 10) votes.
Check this they lied:
Economist Intelligence Unit Report on Zambia predicts RB’s re-election in 2011
March 30, 2010
President Banda greeting MMD cadres
A REPORT of the influential Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) has predicted that President Rupiah Banda and the MMD are likely to retain power in the 2011 general elections because of the influence of incumbency and the recovery in both the local and global economy.
The report, however, warns that stagnation in economic policy is at risk as political tensions ahead of the 2011 elections could slow reforms.
NEWS HEADLINES.THE PATRIOTIC FRONT CANDIDATE,EDGAR CHAGWA LUNGU HAS WON THE GENERAL ELECTIONS WHICH WERE HELD ON 11\08\2016 WITH 96 PERCENT BEATING HIS CLOSEST RIVAL EDITH NAWAKWI,WHO CAME SECOND WITH 19 PERCENT FOLLOWED BY THE OUT SPOKEN UNDER [5] HH WHO WAS ONLY TRAILING ON THIRD POSITION WITH 0.17 PERCENT. SWEARING IN IS TOMORROW 10 HOURS AT HEROES NATIONAL STADIUM IN LUSAKA.
Concur. If defected Zambians want to display their anger at PF they can better demonstrate their intellect by voting for the next best person, being doleful Nawakwi.
Disaffected to vote for doltish Nawakwi, I think I meant!!!
This article is written by a ZWD reporter and it is as useless as the one who wrote it.How can ECL lose to the Kachema ? That will never happen……who is scott and sampa to influence Zambians ?
Yipushe no kuyasuka swine
This report is mostly hedging its bet! It’s a safe statement of readily accepted commentary points.
Yesterday, Reuter’s reported on Nigeria’s desperate loan from China to shore up its currency. Reuter’s made a similar report on South Africa’s prospects being affected by poor economic policies. And most helpful was Reuters report on poor, poor Puerto Rico’s 70 Billion Debt and the rescue plan that’s putting a strain on the Republican Caucus.
The economic report is a mush mash of ‘obvious’ and ‘expected’ behavioural response and is not really intellectual.
Zambians need to demonstrate their intellect by voting for PF on grounds of policy honesty and the numerous and wonderful infrastructural changes they have brought Zambia. I was loving Zambia in the last 3 weeks. I practically lived in shopping Malls and it was just like being back in UK. Very pleasant and those Roads….whoa Zambia is moving in the right direction. STABILITY is what we need to keep moving in the right direction. UPND is too much like a speculative Project at thus time.
Anyway am neither PF nor UPND but what I can say is that things hav changed becoz pipo were hoping for change since last year, but its bcomng worse now. But we have to wait and see what happens. UPND are too ambitious ech can lead to tirmult if they lose…
But please try to attack the point on the ground unlike attacking individuala… the issue of tribalism cannot end if we continue pointing fingers coz they’ll be defending themselves… We all nid to admit that we have a problm amd we all nid to change. Its not about tribalism but its about developing our country.
Insults should be avoided.
Don’t get your knickers in a knot its only an opinion.!!! Like everyone here has an opinion, what we have here is their professional opinion. Doesn’t mean it will pan out like that.
Comment:sorry P F,
if u r relying on MMD to add their weight on r winning ,then u will get a rude shock of your lives.as it is Nevers has been left alone.R B has thrown in the towel so no support from MMD.
There are many things that I like about Edgar, one very important one is that he is a very good listener and learns fast. You will note that in contrast HH is stubborn, arrogant, and cannot learn because he is so full of himself. In the UPND, only HH has knowledge the rest must follow, and strangely enough the followers agree that they cannot think for themselves and therein lies the problem: HH has no one to listen to because every UPND follower cannot think and therefore listens to HH all the time. This means that if HH won he would have to spend years learning how to govern and learning the reality of running a national economy. Sorry guys, for me it’s Edgar who has already learned his lessons well. Not underfive who is still learning and will spend the next five years still learning.
That’s true Wise head!
Whats wrong for EIU to give you this analysis,cant you see that this information is talking about many things which the pf has failed to do for the people of Zambia.whether like it or not the truth is you are leaving. None is still interested in lies they have cheated us in 2011 then later on you says those were proverbs surely cheating big people like that you are doomed and you are cursed by God. Even national house of prayer you are building is not for real God but un non gods. This time you only cheat the blind ones.
That is good in a democracy to predict, however, the real prediction will come when the ECZ announces the results. Anyone can predict but on that day there will be only one body to predict, the ECZ chapwa. Any other voice will be just rants.
We have heard this trash before but no luck for this perpetual loser, HH. I put it to you that HH has no chance of winning this poll. This is a propaganda tool funded by HH himself and the devil. No chance!! No story here next item please.
Wearing any other attire apart from UPND is very dangerous in Tonga land. I had to ask my niece to take off the kitenge that she was wearing because, from no where, she was surrounded by thugs who started shouting, Hule, hule…….hule,,!
If Hakainde was there he would have raised his Satanist symbol.
We are not ready for change. God is still in control