By Dr Canisius BANDA, Development Activist

Zambia’s CSO announces single-digit inflation. Fools rejoice. The wise frown. No citizen smiles. All economic experts remain askance.

Then the Bank of Zambia steps in. It comes to say, explaining, that the single-digit recorded, the 9.7 percent, is the rate at which prices continued to rise over a given, measured period. The BOZ does NOT deny that prices are rising. Without a word, it acknowledges that the cost of living in Zambia is now reaching a breaking point. Some of its own workers are grumbling.

Every day, the people in the compounds feel the negative impact of the rising prices, they groan. And with the rising prices, the people’s anger also continues to rise, their BPs now causing splitting headaches. How high the people’s anger will rise no one really knows.

But what is certain, if we continue on this path, is that a socioeconomic storm will soon hit Zambia. Something will happen. The dam of anger will burst. Something gotta give. The clouds are gathering. The birds have all flown away, and an eerie calm now obtains. Salaries have remained stagnant in Zambia. They are not predictable anymore. The cost of production is daily going up. Prices are rising. Consumer purchase power continues to erode. The level of credit in the economy has fallen.

Copper prices are plummeting, from a high of USD 11000 per ton to about USD 7000 now. The government has given Zambia’s money away to mining companies through tax holidays. The Federal Reserve Bank of America will again soon increase its interest rates. Zambia’s debt will also soon increase. The fiscal space will shrink further. Over time, Zambia’s gross national income will gradually continue to fall.

And as all this happens, the expenditure side of Zambia’s budget continues to grow. Come on, Denny, watch that Imports-Cover carefully now! The clouds are gathering. An eerie calm obtains. Global winds of economic and political change are blowing.

Any worthy expert will tell you that Zambia is presently veritably in a state of STAGFLATION, a state of chronic high inflation in the midst of high unemployment rates and stagnant and falling consumer demand. This is a precarious economic situation, a clear prelude to a socioeconomic volcanic eruption. Debt cancellation and government economic stimuli are now recommended. Barring these, companies will be hurt, jobs will be lost, incomes will further fall, further hurting consumer spending which will further hurt companies, which will further hurt… A vicious cycle. See?

And then collapse. You see when one borrows one must pay it back. That is a sacrosanct law of business. When this law is flouted it hurts everyone involved. If an entity repeatedly borrows and repeatedly fails to pay back and, such an entity is repeatedly saved through debt cancellation, that then, my dear friends, is the very definition of idiocy.

See? Corporate/entity cognitive lameness. Zambia has all it needs to survive and prosper as a sovereign nation.
Everything, except something.

What then is required?

The enlightenment of its people. The realisation by Zambians that, through resource security and fair trade, Zambians themselves must collectively exploit their God-given resources for their own communal well-being. An aware people, a people confident in themselves than as a sovereign, that is the only way to live. A people accommodating to strangers but wary of them. But then the impending collapse of the US Dollar as a reserve currency might just be the divine intervention that will change the whole game.

BRICS plus. Zambia keep your gold! For now, the clouds continue to gather. The ground is shaking. The rocks are moving. The smell of sulphur is in the air. The socioeconomic volcano is about to erupt. There is trouble ahead. Serious trouble. Terrible times. Terrible. We pray.

By Sean Tembo – PeP President

1. It has been more than 5 months since Mumbi Phiri was detained on 18th February 2022 and subsequently charged with an alleged offense of murder on 24th February 2022. The alleged murder in question is that of a United Party for National Development (UPND) cadre; Lawrence Banda who was allegedly shot dead on Sunday, 6th October 2019 during the Kaoma Council Chairman by-election. This was when the Patriotic Front administration was still in office and Mumbi Phiri was the then Deputy Secretary General of the Patriotic Front. The shooting of Lawrence Banda happened when a PF campaign convoy crashed with a UPND campaign convoy and violence erupted thereafter. Suffice to mention that such scenes of extreme violence were very common at that time and were instigated by both PF and UPND almost in equal measure. As to who, between the PF and UPND instigated the violent crash that resulted in Lawrence Banda’s death, it is for the police to investigate and tell us during trial. Apart from Mumbi Phiri, Shelby Chilekwa has also been charged with murder in this same case.

2. There are three key issues that arise with regard to Mumbi Phiri’s arrest and subsequent prolonged incarceration without trial. The first issue is that this is evidently a politically motivated case, given the fact that Mumbi Phiri as Deputy SG of the PF, was a major critic of the current President Hakainde Hichilema, during his time in opposition. The second key issue is that the publicly known circumstances of the murder in question make it difficult for one to comprehend how two people; Shelby Chilekwa and Mumbi Phiri could both be involved in shooting a person who is reported to have only been shot once. The third key issue is the heavy-handed manner that the State has dealt with this case starting from the initial arrest of Shelby Chilekwa who is said to have been taken to an unknown location for more than a week and had no access to his lawyers and when he subsequently appeared, had visible marks of torture and he also testified to his lawyers that he had been brutally tortured by the police.

3. It is also common cause that the lawyers for Mumbi Phiri had applied for a preliminary inquiry at the Magistrates Court, which we understand was granted by the Court but was never undertaken. The state has since kept Mumbi Phiri and Shelby Chilekwa away from court ever since. Such a preliminary inquiry compels the State to present the evidence that they have against the accused persons, and the Court would make a ruling on whether the evidence presented is sufficient to warrant going to trial. Given the reluctance of the State for 5 months now, to take Mumbi Phiri and her co-accused to Court so that the Court can undertake the said preliminary inquiry, it is quite apparent that the State may not have sufficient evidence to sustain a murder charge against the duo. But they want to punish Mumbi Phiri and her co-accused as much as possible before they can be released. In other words, they want to exact extrajudicial punishment.

4. This has been the basis of our advocacy for Mumbi Phiri and her co-accused to either be taken to court or released immediately. Our advocacy has been directed to President Hakainde Hichilema for two particular reasons. Firstly, he is the Head of State and therefore the buck stops with him. He is the one who appointed Mumba Malila as Chief Justice, whose subjects prepare the cause list for court appearance, he is also the one who appointed Lemmy Kajoba whose police officers are responsible for transporting Mumbi Phiri and her co-accused to Court, as well as appointing Frederick Chilukutu, the Zambia Correctional Services Director General whose charges are keeping Mumbi Phiri in Mongu Central Prison.

5. Secondly, Hakainde Hichilema made a very unfortunate statement during his last press conference at State House in which he said if it was up to him, he would change the law so that those accused of corruption can be detained for up to 90 days before being taken to court. Clearly the President appears to have very little understanding on how the rule of law should work. To him, a person is guilty simply because they have been accused of committing an offense, even if they have not been subjected to any trial. He sees a trial as an unnecessary inconvenience. For a person who wields so much power as Republican President, that is a very dangerous mindset to have. Indeed, in Hakainde Hichilema we have a President who is either extremely naive or who has an extreme appetite for dictatorship or both. Either way, if we relent in holding him accountable, this country will take so many backward strides as far as the rule of law is concerned.

6. Our advice to Hakainde Hichilema is that he should use the power which the Zambian people bestowed on him on 12th August 2021, to do good for the people. Let him use his Presidential power to lift people out of poverty, reduce the cost of living, grow the economy, create jobs, enhance the rule of law and constitutionalism and just make Zambia a better place than he found it when he ascended to office. It is common cause that Hakainde Hichilema was mistreated and persecuted by the previous regime during his time in opposition, but he must aspire to be a better person than those who persecuted him. He must set better standards, for it is on the basis of the standards that he sets today, that he will be treated when he leaves office. He must be continuously conscious of the bed that he makes today, for he shall one day be required to lie in it. Take Mumbi Phiri to court or release her from prison.