
The kwacha has made a dramatic comeback with a strong appreciation following the inauguration of President, Rupiah Banda.Before the election day the kwacha depreciated to trade at about K4,800 to one US dollar.
But the latest exchange rate report issued by the Zambia National Commercial Bank shows that the kwacha is now trading at K3,850 to one US dollar.This represents an appreciation of about 20 percent.
And Local Economist Chibamba Kanyama said the performance of the kwacha is a sign of the level of confidence investors have in the leadership of President Banda.
And Commerce Permanent Secretary,Davidson Chilipamushi, said the Kwacha will regain its stability now that the uncertainity created by the Presidential election is over.In the first quarter of the year, the Kwacha was trading at K3100 to $1.
Meanwhile foreign analysts are hailing the election of Rupiah Banda as potentially good news for mining companies like First Quantum Minerals Ltd. and Equinox Minerals Ltd. Like Mr. Mwanawasa, Mr.Banda is strongly in favour of foreign investment in the copperbelt.

But one difference from his predecessor investors are happy with is he appears to be opposed to the higher mining taxes that Zambia introduced this year. While he has said publicly that he will follow the policies of Mr. Mwanawasa, there is some hope for investors that he will make the punitive windfall profits tax less costly.
“It appears that the onerous tax rates enacted into legislation in Zambia earlier this year are likely to be significantly watered down. And this should enable the country’s copper producers to regain a stable economic footing,” TD Newcrest analyst Greg Barnes wrote in a note to clients.
Mr. Barnes calculated that the current windfall tax could top 70% at higher copper prices. But if it is reduced to a flat 25% tax above US$2.50 a pound copper, then it would decline to between 45% and 50%. At current copper prices, the windfall tax is irrelevant because prices are too low.
Mr. Banda barely beat out opposition party leader Michael Sata for the presidency. RBC Capital Markets analyst Cailey Barker considers this a “lucky escape,” as Mr. Sata was looking to enforce 25% local ownership in mining projects (though this was unlikely to get pushed through because of opposition in the copperbelt). Mr. Sata is contesting the vote and that may drag out the current proceedings.
First Quantum’s Kansanshi mine was the only one in Zambia that paid the windfall tax in the second quarter. Equinox’s Lumwana mine is going into production by the end of the year, but the company has a development agreement that it says will exclude it from the tax.
ZNBC/Nationpost.com