By Edward Chisanga

Mapongezi, President Ruto.

I hope this means congratulations, Mr. President.

Perhaps not entirely his fault, but attribution equally to the devasting effect of Covid 19. That’s how I would characterize Kenya’s outgoing President Uhuru Kenyatta’s handling of the economy he leaves behind, as his final term of office finally reaches the appropriate stopping point this year. His flaw is that he leaves a legacy of caring more about choosing his successor than the sick economy he leaves behind.

I congratulate you, President Ruto, in particular because I was deeply grieved at the mental suffering and embarrassment you went through as an ‘ostracized Vice President’ by your own President, a distressing precedent in Africa only he understands. In the midst of all afflictions and adversities, you moved forward, confident of your innocence and Kenyans’ support. I read, “Ruto, the ambitious 55-year-old clawed his way to the center of power by playing on his religious faith and humble beginnings selling chickens by the roadside. Your predecessor easily clawed his way by playing on a silver spoon in his mouth.

If your predecessor had positives, congratulations. But, Odongo Kodongo sites Uhuru’s negatives. He states, “The country’s performance on job creation was weak, with unemployment rates worsening by 2.93% from 2.81% in 2013 to 5.74% in 2021. Weak job creation is explained by the not-so-robust economy. Between 2013 and 2021, Kenya’s economic growth of GDP averaged 4.4% while tax revenues stagnated at approximately 14.8% of GDP. Uhuru and Ruto’s most prominent economic legacy is runaway public debt, whose growth has not been commensurate with economic performance.”

He’s leaving you with eroding GDP per capita

Let me compliment Odongo by providing more detail on three economic indicators to illustrate my verdict on the outgoing President Kenyatta. I use (i) Inflation, (ii) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and Foreign Direct Investment. My methodology is to largely use Unctadstat statistics.

First, during Kenyatta’s rule, the annual inflation rate in Kenya accelerated for the sixth consecutive month to 8.5% in August 2022, slightly below market forecasts of 8.6% but remaining above the ceiling of the central bank’s target range (World Bank). Second, for the available data I show Kenya’s growth of per capita GDP. Experts explain that GDP per capita is the economic output of a country per person. In this case, it is about Kenyans. It explains the prosperity of a country by economic growth per person in this case in Kenya. It measures the amount of money earned per person in Kenya. If it’s important, it means that it must grow.

But Figure 1 below shows that its growth during Kenyatta’s terms was mixed. In particular, trend in growth shows a downturn from 3% in 2018 down to minus 2.5% in 2020. Therefore, President Kenyatta leaves office with shuttered and ailing GDP per capita that debilitates Kenyans’ purchasing power. This should have been his major concern instead of grooving for a successor…. a miscalculation that has left him politically wounded, perhaps permanently.

He’s leaving you with diminishing Foreign direct investment

Third, he leaves an economy with evanescing foreign direct investment (FDI). He inherited robust inward FDI of over $2 billion from his predecessor in 2011-2012 shown in Figure 2 below but only to let it slip his hands, down to less than $500 million in 2021. Complementing local investment with FDI is key for poor countries like Kenya to integrate in global value chains and networks. While Covid19 may be used as an excuse, the longer trend shows slump in FDI many years prior to. A legacy tug of this nature must worry African leaders more than imposing a successor.

Africans should not allow Presidents to chose their successors

In another African country in the West, an outgoing President is busy searching for a successor instead of worrying about the sick economy he’ll soon leave behind. I read that the World Bank said, “In 2022, Nigeria is expected to have one of the highest inflation rates in the world and the seventh highest in Sub-Sahara Africa.” IMF projected 18 and 22% inflation for Nigeria in 2022. Meanwhile, according to Unctadstat data, Nigeria’s GDP growth in 2020 shrank to minus 1.8% and GDP per capita down to minus 4.3%.

In Zambia itself, calls for the so-called selected successors have been heard before. Despite having an obscure history of leadership, one former President found himself in State House largely due to this reasoning. This country and others in Africa are not monarchical. They’re merit-driven. In particular, its most ignominious for economic-failing African Heads of State who have disappointed their people to seek successors. But even if a successful one chose a successor, how would he be sure that he would succeed like him? The warning to them is, “Dare try to foist one, you’ll be embarrassed by another ‘Ruto.’ ‘Rutos’ are not only in Kenya; they’re found in every African country. Your priority should be to account for good economic governance.

By Fred M’membe President of the Socialist Party

The decision that has come out of the High Court of Zambia today ordering the Electoral Commission of Zambia to postpone parliamentary by-elections in Kwacha and Kabushi and hold fresh nominations allowing Mr Joseph Malanji and Mr Bowman Lusambo to contest was expected. It is not a surprise, the opposite would have been a surprise, a shocker. And the Electoral Commission of Zambia and its political masters knew very, very well that they had no reason, legal or otherwise, to stop Mr Malanji and Mr Lusambo from being candidates in these parliamentary by-elections. But they still went ahead to issue a precedent press statement that no nominations will be accepted from Mr Malanji and Mr Lusambo. And indeed on the nomination day, they refused to accept their nomination papers. There’s no doubt that the Electoral Commission of Zambia was working on instructions from its political masters.

Mr Malanji and Mr Lusambo took the matter to the Constitutional Court and got a favourable decision confirming their right to contest these by-elections. But still the Electoral Commission of Zambia, together with their political masters, decided to proceed with the by-elections minus Mr Malanji and Mr Lusambo in total disregard of the Constitutional Court decision. Ballot papers, which now have to be thrown away, were printed at a very high cost to the taxpayer. And Mr Hakainde Hichilema, at a very high expense to the taxpayer, went on an expensive five-day door-to-door campaign in Kwacha and Kabushi.

In more accountable societies many would lose their jobs at the Electoral Commission of Zambia for the damage they have done to the institution’s public standing, and credibility and the money they have wasted. Oh what a web they have weaved themselves into by trying to be lawless, crooked, dishonest, vindictive!
And can Mr Malanji and Mr Lusambo reasonably expect this Electoral Commission of Zambia to ran free and fair by-elections in which they are candidates? Will they level the play field and ensure that the by-elections are postponed for a reasonable time to allow Mr Malanji and Mr Lusambo to catch up because they deliberately disadvantaged them?
Again, we ask: why all this intransigence, and desperation?

We all know that one of the hardest things to do in life is to do the right thing. What we think are the right things. Not what our friends, family and bosses think are the right things.

What is the right thing? That’s up to us to decide. Often we have a little voice in our heads that tells what the right things are. Or a gut feeling. God expects each one of us to play our part in helping to make this country a better place than we found it. We owe it to ourselves and to future generations to ensure that everything we do is done right and for the benefit of citizens and all who live here.

Doing right is not a sign of weakness, it is however a sign of maturity, integrity and responsibility. It’s only mature, responsible and people with integrity that are always doing what is right.

Doing the right things in every situation has many benefits. Doing the right things gives us peace of mind. When we are on the right side of the law we are at peace with ourselves. We go to sleep knowing that all is well with us. Knowing that we do not expect the unexpected.
There is nothing more uncomfortable than going to bed with an unsettled mind. Everything we do has a way of catching up with us. What goes around comes around. In this life we tend to get what we give. By doing the right things we tend to get the same things back. Do the right thing, put in the extra effort.

When we don’t do the right things we are not only sending out signals out into our world. We are also sending signals to ourselves. When we don’t do the right things we don’t feel good about ourselves. We may experience emptiness or get stuck in negative thought loops. Its like we are letting ourselves down. We are telling ourselves that we can’t handle doing the right things. To not do the right things is a bit like punching ourselves in the stomachs.

A powerful side effect of not doing the right thing is that we give ourselves a lack of deservedness. This can really screw up you and your success. If you don’t do the right thing in your life then you won’t feel like you deserve the success that you may be on your way towards or experiencing right now. So you start to self-sabotage, perhaps deliberately or through unconscious thoughts.

Doing the right thing increases your integrity – and integrity matters. You become more trustworthy and respected. And don’t forget: the truth will come out.