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Hard Truth By EF President Wynter Kabimba

I find it touchy and encouraging to see that we have among the opposition, leaders who will not sway from telling fellow opposition players and leaders the truth.

Wynter Kabimba the Economic Front President while on the program dubbed let the people talk hosted by Chimweka did not miss his words when he said it is not possible for anyone in civil or public office to get rich over night just after being given the opportunity to serve the people. Yes, civil and public service is about service to the people.

He went further to question as to why those being asked by Anti Corruption Commission to show proof of how they acquired some of their assets are finding it difficult to do so to the extent of even rounding up about five lawyers or so for assets they acquired themselves.

It is indeed fishy and does not make sense for one to fail to qualify how one financed or acquired his/her own assets. It is also important to note that ACC does not question the suspects over all their assets or properties they own, but only those suspected to be proceeds of crime while in the service.

I have argued several times than once that, why should it be problematic to just give information on how one acquired an asset! Surely does one need a horde of lawyers who were not part of the acquisition process to produce evidence for you? The simple answer is that these properties were acquired dubiously, period.

It is for this reason that we as a nation should call for enactment of a law that should compel everybody in public office to declare their assets at the time of entry into that office, and then yearly, and finally at the time of exit. This will scare people in public office from being careless with people’s resources. We should not only raise a flag over declaration for the President as it is.

That will also make the work of ACC ease as they can be trailing these happenings yearly if they see something suspicious, than waiting most times when the officer has exited. This will also end the language of political witch hunt that is now very much loud on the mouths of those questioned.

Wisdom Muyunda
UPND/MDC ALLIANCE COPPERBELT MEDIA DIRECTOR

Incessant Calls for Barotseland Independence

23

By Henry Kyambalesa

<h3>1. Introduction:</h3>
In this article, I wish to comment on incessant calls by the Barotse Freedom Movement (BFM), the Barotse Royal Establishment (BRE), the Barotseland National Council (BNC), and the Movement for the Restoration of the Barotse Agreement (MOREBA) intended to secure the secession of Western Province from the Republic of Zambia.
Advocacy for secession by any segment of the citizenry is, indeed,a thorny, complex and unpleasant issue for our beloved country.But like all other serious national issues facing us, we need to summon our wisdom in finding a lasting and peaceful solution to the issue.
In the ensuing sections, I wish to make a few observations relating to the issue. Specifically, the following constitute the corpus of the remainder of the article:

(a) the central issue bolstering the advocacy for secession;

(b) the superfluous nature of the secessionist sentiments; and

(c) amicable resolution of the issue.

<h3>2. What Is the Central Issue?:</h3>
I believe the main issue which has continued to invoke secessionist sentiments in Western Province can be found in Clauses 2 and 3 of Article 4 of the Barotseland Agreement of 1964 titled “The Litunga and His Council,” which provides for the
following:

“(2) The Litunga of Barotseland, acting after consultation with
his Council as constituted for the time being under the
customary law of Barotseland shall be the principal local
authority for the government and administration of
Barotseland.”
And
“(3) The Litunga of Barotseland, acting after consultation with
his Council, shall be authorised and empowered to make laws
for Barotseland [with respect to issues cited in the
Agreement].”

<h3>3. Secession Is Not Necessary:</h3>
Zambians, by and large, believe in the devolution of power to the country’s 10 provinces so that local people can be afforded the opportunity to make their own decisions on important issues which affect their lives. They are generally committed to the idea of creating semi-autonomous regions, and a federal or central
government that will wield limited powers and perform a limited number of functions.

This kind of political dispensation may well be a more prudent compromise to the secession being contemplated by my traditional cousins in Western Province.
Besides, we are all essentially one and the same people, although the majority of our fellow citizens identify themselves as belonging to one or two of our country’s seventy-three (73) tribes.

In shorthand, we are all members of the Zambian family. And recognition of our oneness has, no doubt, been the linchpin of the enhanced and unmatched national unity which our country has enjoyed since its independence on October 24, 1964.
Moreover, secession in an era of integration is counterproductive at best. Integration of sovereign states has been one of the leading aspirations of socioeconomic policy worldwide over the last sixty years, so much so that we can appropriately describe the era as the era of integration. One would be amiss not to cite the numerous motivations for such integration.

The primary rationale for economic integration derives not only from economic considerations; rather, it emanates from social, security, technological, and political factors as well. At the political level, for example, the basic motivation for integration, or at least economic cooperation, springs from the assumption that the
process of socio-economic development requires some form of
international cooperation or interdependence.At the technological level, a country may, as insinuated in the SAPEM (1992:29) journal, decide to integrate with others in order to gain unrestrained and protracted access to a larger market for
any forms of advanced technology which may be conceived and/or developed in the country, as well as to benefit from joint scientific and technological development efforts and programmes. In the 21st century, African governments particularly should not expect to make any headway in their quest for enhanced
socioeconomic development if they cannot briskly integrate their countries’ national economies.

The enormity of development hurdles facing much of the continent—including limited domestic markets, inaccessible foreign markets, lack of investment capital, and unfavourable terms of trade with industrialised nations—certainly call for what
may be referred to as “south-south economic cooperation” if they are to rid their countries of what Bill Clinton (2000) characterised as the “astonishing poverty” currently facing the continent before the end of his two-term tenure as U.S. president in 2001.

In shorthand, meaningful socioeconomic development in Africa is,as African heads of state and government have unanimously concluded (OAU, 2000), “contingent upon the integration of [the continent’s national] … economies.”

Let us now turn to savant P. S. Mistry (2000:570&amp;571) for an observation that provides a general rationale for African countries particularly to relentlessly seek stronger and permanent membership in regional economic blocs, and simultaneously work towards consolidating the operations of the “African
Union”—proclaimed in Libya in March 2001, assented to by member-countries in Ethiopia in May 2001, created in Zambia in July 2001, and formally launched in South Africa in July 2002—to replace the Organisation of African Unity (OAU):
“African countries no longer have the luxury of avoiding the imperatives [associated with] … integration, which is inescapable for most of them if they are to … [succeed in their socioeconomic pursuits and endeavors]. On their own, they will not be able to arrest and reverse the slide toward marginalisation in the global economy … and to realise their potential to become more efficient and competitive economies.”

Overall, societal members worldwide have become true believers in the concept of “strength in numbers,” or “in unity, there is greater strength.”

<h3>4. Resolution of the Issue:</h3>
There are a number of feasible ways and means by which the demands for secession can be resolved. State Counsel John Sangwa has called for a spirited national debate on the issue, and for ultimate subjection of the issue to a referendum.

Another approach is for the incumbent Republican President to constitute a “Barotse Commission of Inquiry,” whose terms of reference should be to conduct an intensive study of the issues involved, the general feelings of the Lozi people about the
agitation for secession from Zambia, the general feelings of the Mbunda and Mankoya people (among other tribes in Western Province) about the secession issue, and, among other things, the options for resolving the issues surrounding the 1964 Barotseland Agreement. Moreover, there is a need for serious consideration of ethnic interests by the national government in the distribution of power,
educational facilities, health services, infrastructure, and other essential public services and facilities. Additionally, Parliament needs to seriously consider the prospect of amending the Republican Constitution (Amendment) 2016 to
include Articles suggested in the Addendum to this article.

<h3>5. Conclusion:</h3>
Secessionist sentiments are a highly divisive issue; the longer they are sustained, therefore, the more they are likely to create an atmosphere of mistrust and hostility between the Lozi people and the other 72 Zambian tribes, with whom they have peacefully coexisted over the last 59 years.Our beloved country has been a unitary and indivisible sovereign state since its inception in 1964. Each and every one of us,
therefore, has a civic and moral obligation to guard ourselves against the temptation of dividing it on ethnic lines. We need to continue to exercise our civic and moral duty to be patriotic and loyal to our beloved country, and to foster national unity as well as live in harmony with other members of Zambian society.
Incidentally, our fellow citizens in Western Province need to decide whether or not they prefer to be governed by a monarchical regime without any viable mechanism for peacefully replacing incompetent leaders. Besides, they need to decide whether or not they desire to become “subjects” in a Kingdom without the basic rights and
freedoms currently accorded to them as “citizens” of the Republic of Zambia.
And, to reiterate, the secession which my traditional cousins are seeking is not feasible in the long run without first gauging the general feelings (about the secession issue) of the Mbunda, Mankoya, Mbwela, Kwangwa, and other tribes in Western Province, and the Lozi people who have intermarried across
provincial boundaries.
—————————————
<h3>Addendum:</h3>
Petitions for Secession
In the light of the ongoing saga relating to secessionist sentiments in Western Province, there is a need for Parliament in our beloved country to seriously consider the prospect of including a Constitutional proviso relating to Petitions for Secession.
This could be placed under PART XX of Republican Constitution (Amendment) of 2016, and the current PART XX (that is, General Provisions) could become PART XXI and the Articles under it re-numbered accordingly as Article 264 through Article 281.
Articles under the new PART XX (that is, Petitions for Secession)could be numbered as follows:
PART XX:
PETITIONS FOR SECESSION
Any district or province that will seek to secede from the Republic
of Zambia will abide by the following requirements:
[Article 258]
(1) Petitioners will prepare a hard copy of their petition, which will
include the following:
(a) The petitioners’ office and/or postal mailing address(es);
(b) The basis of the petitioners’ authority to seek secession from
the Republic of Zambia on behalf of the district or province;

(c) A detailed rationale for seeking secession;
(d) Authentication of the petition by the petitioners by means of
their full names and signatures, including the date of the
authentication.
(2) A complete copy of the petition will be submitted by the
petitioners to the Minister of Justice in advance of any further
actions of compliance with the requirements prescribed in this
Constitution.
[Article 259]
(1) The petitioners will, in accordance with existing laws relating to
the holding of public meetings, convene public meetings at
selected locations in the district or province for which secession is
sought, at which the content of the petition will be publicly
explained by the petitioners.
(2) The names of supporters, as well as their signatures in support,
of the petition will be collected by the petitioners at the end of
each public meeting.
(3) The total number of all the names and signatures ultimately
collected will be at least one-fiftieth (1/50) of the estimated
population of the district or province seeking to secede from the
Republic of Zambia.
(4) Each of the signatories to the petition will be assumed to be at
least eighteen (18) years of age, to have understood the content
of the petition, and to have been resident in the district or
province seeking the secession for at least five (5) years.
[Article 260]
(1) The petitioners will submit the names, signatures and
addresses of signatories to the Minister of Justice for sample-
verifications of the existence of signatories and any other relevant details relating to the signatories.
(2) The Minister of Justice will acknowledge receipt of the signed
copies of the petition and information about signatories within six
(6) months from the date of receipt of the petition.
(3) The Minister of Justice will reject the petition if any of the
particulars relating to the signatories will be found to be forged,
fudged, or inaccurate, and will communicate the outcome of the
sample-verifications to the petitioners within six (6) months from
the date of acknowledgment of the receipt of the petition.
(4) In the case of forged or fudged information relating to the
signatories, petitioners will be prosecuted, the nature of the
punishment of which will be prescribed by an Act of Parliament.
[Article 261]
(1) A petition that will pass the verification process will be
submitted by the Minister of Justice to Parliament within six (6)
months from the date of acknowledgement of the petitioners’
submission.
(2) Parliament will render its decision regarding the petition within
one (1) year from the date of receipt of the petition.
(3) Parliament’s decision will be final, and will be binding on both
the Zambian government and the petitioning district or province.
(4) In the case of positive consideration of the petition by
Parliament, Parliament will, within one (1) year from the date of
its decision, set up the process of separation of the district or
province from the Republic of Zambia, including details relating to
assets to be shared between the Republic of Zambia and the new
country, and the date and time of the actual separation.
(5) In the event of a rejection of the petition by Parliament, the
petitioners will have the opportunity to submit a revised petition
to the Minister of Justice after five (5) years from the date of a previous denial, and as many times as they will wish.
[Article 262]
Any other means of seeking to secede from the Republic of Zambia other than what is prescribed in this Constitution will be treated as a treasonable offence.
[Article 263]
(1) The costs associated with the preparation of petitions, the
holding of public meetings, and the submission of petitions to the
Minister of Justice will be borne by the petitioners without any
financial and/or material support from foreign governments,
organisations and/or individuals, or from organisations and/or
individuals outside the district or province seeking to secede for
the Republic of Zambia.
(2) If the Minister of Justice will determine that the petitioners
received financial and/or material support from foreign
governments, organisations and/or individuals—or from
organisations and/or individuals outside the district or province
seeking to secede for the Republic of Zambia—to bolster the
preparation of petitions, the holding of public meetings, and/or
the submission of petitions to the Minister of Justice, he or she
will reject the petition.

Message For Today: Listen to the Whisper

Today’s Scripture

And He said to them, “He who has ears to hear, let him hear!”
Mark 4:9, NKJV

Listen to the Whisper

Friend, we don’t always realize how God speaks to us. We’ve seen movies where God booms out of the heavens to Moses, so powerfully and dramatically. But most of the time God speaks to us in “a gentle whisper” or “a still small voice.” It’s not loud or forceful. We feel an inner impression, a prompting in our heart. It’s like a suggestion, something that we suddenly know we’re supposed to do. That’s not random or you just thinking up things; that’s God speaking to you.

Six times in the Gospels, Jesus says, “He who has ears to hear, let him hear!” and seven times in the book of Revelation, He adds, “what the Spirit is saying.” He’s talking about your inner ears. He’s saying, “Are you sensitive to the whispers? Are you paying attention to what you’re feeling in your spirit?” It’s easy to ignore it, push it down. But if you start obeying the promptings, the suggestions, the gentle whispers, God will lead you down the best path for your life.

A Prayer for Today

“Father, thank You for loving me and for speaking to my heart. Thank You for giving me an inner ear to know right from wrong. Help me to be sensitive to Your still small voice and hear it with clarity, to hear any alarms, promptings, and suggestions, and to be quick to obey. In Jesus’ Name, Amen.”

Match Against Tanzania Is A Must Win

5

Chipolopolo Coach Avram Grant said Sunday’s match against Tanzania is a must win for Zambia.

Grant in a pre-match press conference ahead of the second Group F match said he wants his team to qualify to the next round of the AFCON tournament.

He said the game is a must win especially after having failed to qualify for the last three editions of the continental football soccer piece.

The Zambia Coach said his team is going to create goal scoring opportunities in most matches as he has good attackers in the squad.

Grant said he was impressed with Tanzania’ s type of football displayed in the other Group F game against Morocco despite losing 3-0.

Meanwhile, Chipolopolo striker cum winger Fashion Sakala echoed Grant’s emphasis of the importance of the match against Tanzania saying the players in camp are highly motivated ahead of the game.

Sakala said the young Zambia squad that has the majority of the players making their debut appearance at the biennial tournament, is an ambitious team with young players who are aware of the high expectations from the nation to perform better at the tourna
ent.

Meanwhile, Tanzania stand in coach Ahmed Suleiman said his team acknowledges that Zambia has a very strong squad in comparison with the Taifa Stars.

Suleiman has dispelled rumors that Head Coach Adel Amrouche , who was banned by CAF for alleged attacks on Moroccan football had been fired by the country’s football federation.

He said Amrouche is still part of the team despite the eight match ban and a US$10,000 fine.

The Chipolopolo drew their opening match one all against the DRC while Tanzania were beaten 3-0.

In the second game to be played at the same venue , Morocco will take on the DRC to complete the Group F second round matches.

[ZNBC]

Government Advances Self-Regulation Bill for Journalists

5

The Ministry of Information and Media has revealed that the proposed Self-Regulation Bill for Journalists is currently in the drafting stage at the Ministry of Justice. Permanent Secretary Thabo Kawana emphasized the government’s commitment to establishing a regulatory framework for journalists, aligning their professional standards with other regulated professions such as lawyers, medical doctors, and public relations practitioners.

Speaking in Lusaka, Mr. Kawana addressed the importance of having a regulatory body for journalists, underscoring the need for accountability and responsible journalism. He stated, “It is the Government’s desire for a regulatory body for Journalists to align with other regulated professions like Lawyers, Medical Doctors, and Public Relations Practitioners.”

The update on the progress of the Self-Regulation Bill for Journalists was provided during a meeting between the Ministry of Information and Media and the Media Liaison Committee. The committee, led by Chairperson Ernest Chanda, engaged with Mr. Kawana to gain insights into the status of the bill.

During the meeting, Mr. Chanda urged the government to expedite the process of enacting the Self-Regulation Bill into law. He emphasized the importance of concluding a process that commenced in 2019, urging swift action to bring about the necessary regulatory framework for journalists.

In response to Mr. Chanda’s plea, Mr. Kawana reinforced the government’s commitment to the cause and called on the media to be both patriotic and responsible in their reporting.

Wusang’a – The African Waist Beads

4

BOOK REVIEW

by Mwizenge S. Tembo, Ph. D

Emeritus Professor of Sociology

Harrison Muyeba Musonda, Wusang’a – The African Waist Beads: A Novel, 310 pages, Paperback, K168.00 ($7.99)

When the author Mr. Harrison Muyeba Musonda asked me to write a review of his book, Wusang’a – The African Waist Beads, I agreed. I have reviewed and published in academic journals over 40 book reviews going back to 44 years since 1980. In fact I love to read and review books. But when I read the title and casually read the first 3 pages, I was petrified like a frightened baby. Because I had not read a novel since 40 years ago in 1984 when I was doing my Ph. D.  course work at Michigan State University. The novel I read at that time is what is called a trash commercial novel that I do not even remember the title. The last time I read many novels was 52 years ago in 1972 as a freshman in my English 110 class at University of Zambia.

I was so uncomfortable about reading Wusang’a beyond the first 3 pages that I called Mr. Musonda and expressed my fear and anxiety. He gently persuaded me to try to read the book just as a mother would persuade a petulant baby to try a new food by sweet talking the baby to extend just a tip of their tongue to the edge of the small teaspoon of the food. I reluctantly began to read the book late that night. Casually reading the book reminded me that I am retired and did not have to worry about going to work early the next morning.

As I was reading Chapter 5 of the novel, I suddenly realized I was hooked as I began to be curious about the characters and what they would do next. As I was reading Chapter 17 a few nights later, I was so overwhelmed with expectations and curiosity about what would happen next to the protagonist Womba that I made a confession to my wife. I told her I was sleeping in the wee hours of the morning because I kept turning the pages of the novel breathlessly curious to find out what would happen next. My wife has read too many novels in her life. She teased and told me that I should finally now understand why she reads sometimes up to 4 am and will not turn off her reading light because she could not put down the novel she was reading.

 By the time I was reading Chapter 22 of Wusang’a,  I was devouring Wusang’a the novel like a desperate man who has a death sentence and wants to know what happened to all the major fascinating characters or protagonists before he is hanged. During the third night when I was reading the last Chapter 27 at the end, I had both a sigh of relief but also disappointment as I wanted the novel to continue so that I could enjoy what the main characters would do next. What would happen to their lives?

The unique challenge of reviewing a novel I have enjoyed reading is to avoid the temptation to tell the reader almost every detail that happens in the novel. Wusang’a – The African Waist Beads, is a fascinating story of the compelling influence of African traditions and culture. Wusang’a are the colorful beads young girls who have reached puberty and older women traditionally used to wear around their waists. The cultural practice was so common in Zambia and the African continent that hundreds of African cultures and languages call these beads by different names. For example, where the novel is set among the Lunda people in Northwestern Zambia the waist beads are called Wusang’a. Among the Ngoni in the Eastern Province of Zambia they call them ulungu. Among my own tribe the Tumbuka they are called mukanda. There are dozens of names up and down the African continent. The rich cultural significance of this dying cultural practice is at the core of the novel Wusang’a the African Waist Beads.

The novel Wusang’a the African Waist Beads describes the turbulent life of the girl hero Womba  starting from her rural village life in the remote Northwestern Province of Zambia to contemporary urban Zambia in the Copperbelt in the late 1960s. Womba is the daughter of Kumesa the village head woman and Chibofwa her father of Kayisalu village. The social changes, challenges, obstacles, failures and the successes she experiences reveals Womba’s grit, resilience, and strength. Womba’s life experiences also reveal that she would not have experienced success without close family support and especially the crucial role of Wusang’a or the waist beads. The beads are a powerful symbol of the clash between traditions of African society, impact of Christianity, and Westernization in Zambia and on the entire African continent.

Since the 1960s when African countries obtained independence from European colonialism as Zambian obtained independence from Britain, tremendous social changes have occurred. If you are a Zambian or an African who was young or a child during that period and you are now in your 60s, you were probably growing up in the village. In which case you will enjoy the familiarity of some of the social and cultural life of rural Zambia that you will encounter reading Wusang’a the African Waist Beads. I enjoyed reading about the village life and social changes that millions of Zambians and I experienced in the 1960s and 70s as Zambia was experiencing dramatic change. I grew up in the village in the 1950s and moved to Lusaka in the 1970s.

If you are Zambian, African, or non-African who are younger than 40 years,  Wusang’a the African Waist Beads will teach you about the cultural, economic, and social history of Zambian and African societies. The book is an excellent source of anthropological knowledge about the African society reminiscent of the earlier African writers from the 1960s such as Chinua Achebe, Ayi Kwei Armah, Ngugi Wa Thiong’o, and the Zambian Domique Mulaisho’s Tongue of the Dumb. and many other African writers. After teaching General Anthropology and Cultures of Africa in college for 31 years, this book would be an excellent supplementary text teaching the aforementioned subjects, students writing college papers, and even for teaching even Zambian and African literature. I highly recommend this novel for all readers because it is not only entertaining but it is very educational.

President Hichilema Returns After Witnessing President Tshisekedi’s Inauguration in Kinshasa

21

President Hichilema has returned to Lusaka from Kinshasa after attending the inauguration ceremony of His Excellency Félix Antoine Tshisekedi Tshilombo who was inaugurated for his second term as the President of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC).
The leader of the DRC’s Constitutional Court officially declared President Tshisekedi duly elected, solidifying his victory in the December 20, 2023, poll with an impressive 73.47 percent of the vote. The inauguration, held Saturday afternoon at the 80,000-seater Martyrs stadium in Kinshasa, attracted a capacity crowd, and the atmosphere at the Martyrs stadium was one of celebration and unity.

Other distinguished guests who attended the ceremony were President Cyril Ramaphosa of South Africa, President William Ruto of Kenya,President Lazarus Chakwera of Malawi, President Denis Sasoungweso of Congo, and President João Lourenço of Angola. The presence of these heads of state underscored the regional and international significance of President Tshisekedi’s re-election.

President Hichilema wished the people of the Democratic Republic of Congo continued unity, peace, prosperity, and solidarity under the leadership of President Félix Antoine Tshisekedi Tshilombo.

President Hichilema confers with South African President Cyril Ramaphosa

Zambia Economic Performance Analysis for 2023:What are the Prospects for 2024?

By Mwansa Chalwe Snr

This review of the performance of the Zambian economy takes a rather unorthodox approach. The analysis is carried out from the four perspectives of the main players in our economy-International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Government, Households and the Private Sector. In the past, the analysis was market-based approach, using the main markets in Zambia – the goods market, money markets, capital markets and labor markets – was adopted. The indicators will be both quantitative and qualitive.

IMF PERFORMANCE REVIEW OF ZAMBIAN ECONOMY

In November 2023, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), carried out a review of the performance of the Zambian economy. And according to the IMF, the Zambian economy was performing quite well, using their key performance indicators (KPIs).

“Zambian economy is showing resilience. Real GDP growth is now projected at 4.3 percent in 2023 and 4.7 percent in 2024. Conditions do remain challenging, and they’ve put pressure on the external balance in the exchange rate, and inflation has increased .The staff level agreement on the second review of the program was reached on November 20th, and this agreement shows that Zambia’s performance under the program remains satisfactory with a significant fiscal effort undertaken in 2023, said IMF Communications Director, Julie Kozak, during a media briefing in Washington.

As result of this positive outlook on Zambian economy, the IMF released $187 Million under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF), whereas the World Bank released $125million grant.

GOVERNMENT ECONOMIC ACHIEVEMENTS

When assessing the performance of the Zambian economy, Zambian government can claim to have done quite well too; when one reviews several things they accomplished.

The government was able to come to an agreement with Vedanta over the KCM asset. In addition, Govt, through ZCCM-IH has entered into an agreement with International Resources Holding (IRH), in which IRH has committed to invest a total of US $1.1 billion into Mopani Copper Mines (MCM) as a Strategic Equity Partner.

In terms of promotion of Foreign Direct Investments (FDI), the Zambia Development Agency announced that they had committed investments of $39.95 Billion in 2023 with potential jobs of 160,280. The actualized investment in 2023 were $2.1 Billion which created 25,890 jobs.

The debt Restructuring talks is another achievement by government. They made major progress as the Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with Official Creditors was finally signed in June,2023. The government expects to conclude the talks with Bondholders in the first quarter of 2024.

One of the best achievements of the government for 2023, in my books, is the successful trip to China by President Hakainde Hichilema, which has far reaching economic consequences. It resulted in the resetting and recalibration of the relationship between the two nations, which this Author had been calling for in recent years, so that we have a real win-win relationship unlike previously.

The trip resulted in the upgrading of the ties between the two countries to “Comprehensive Strategic and Cooperative Partnership”, which is the highest classification so far applied to China’s Partners on the African Continent. Presidents Xi and Hichilema agreed to designate 2024 as the Year of Business Cooperation. China committed to support Zambia’s ambition to transform into an industrial hub, capitalizing on its resource endowment. In addition, China made commitments to import more agricultural products from Zambia.

The government’s ability to continue funding social programs like free education, meal allowances for students and increasing the number of beneficiaries and amount received for social cash transfer amidst tight budgetary conditions is an important KPI that was achieved in 2023 which cannot be underplayed.

The New Dawn Government has also been generally been credited with the prudent management of the economy. They have restored budget credibility. There has been improved fiscal discipline and strict control of expenditure, since they took over. The Ministry of Finance and National Planning must be busy preparing the 2023 Budget Performance review and 2024 Budget outlook, which is likely to be presented towards the end of January, as per normal practice, where they will demonstrate this aspect of their economic performance.

HOUSEHOLDS PERCEPTION OF THE ECONOMY IN 2023

The majority of ordinary Zambians’ current perception of the economy is that it is not performing well. Zambian households argue that the cost of living is high, and they lack money in their pockets. They justify this claim by pointing to the high prices of mealie meal, fuel, electricity, interest rates, transport, and high exchange rate.

These claims by citizens seem to be supported by empirical evidence from economic statistical surveys done by various organizations. The government owned Zambia Statistics Agency( Zamstats), for example, has reported inflation to have increased from 9.9% in December 2022 to 13.1% in December,2023. The Jesuit Centre for economic reflection (JCTR) basket of goods for November,2023 was at K9,060.60 compared to K8,982.82 in December, 2022; And the Kwacha depreciated by about 44% % for the twelve months period by closing at K26 to a Dollar on 29 December 2023, compared to K18 in December,2022.

The Zambian Citizens also feel that jobs are difficult to come by because the economy is simply not creating enough jobs due to the low economic activity. And apparently, their claim is supported by the International Monetary Fund who are our current benefactors.

The participation rate in the labour force is low and only 31 percent of the working age population is employed. There are limited employment opportunities, and even among those employed only 27 percent are in formal employment,” IMF wrote in the Zambia Country Report of July 2023.

The Finance and Planning Minister, Dr. Musokotwane is also on record as having acknowledged the lack of jobs in Zambia as a major concern.

Our government feels that the biggest challenge that we have as a country or the biggest challenge that we have is how to create the jobs. Jobs, jobs, jobs. We are not yet doing enough to absorb the number of young people looking for jobs. We are not doing enough,” he told the Chinese Chamber of Commerce in October, 2022, during the 2023 post budget and national development symposium.

PRIVATE SECTOR PERFORMANCE EVALUATION

The Zambian private sector has not been doing particularly well for most of 2023, for a variety of reasons. And here is the diagnosis. The top most constraint to Private sector growth is the high cost of doing business in Zambia. The term: “high cost of doing business,” is made up many components. These include high interest rates, high fuel prices, high cost of imported inputs, excessive taxation, high electricity tariffs, multiplicity of regulations and licences with their attendant levies. And if indeed the government wants to achieve the 2024 Budget theme of: “Unlocking Economic Potential,” it is vital that they seriously address the above constraints to the growth of the Zambian Private sector.

The evidence of the poor performance of the Private Sector in 2023 was captured in the monthly Stanbic Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) Surveys. They showed that for most of 2023, the index was below the 50 threshold, or just marginally above, with the highest reading being 51.4 in May,2023. Any number below 50 indicates poor performance of the private sector activity. The year ended with the PMI of 49.6 for December,2023.

“The latest reading pointed to a renewed decline in the country’s private sector activity, amid widespread reports of money shortages related to currency depreciation and high fuel prices, and lower customer numbers. Although business sentiments plunged to a four-month low, companies were still positive that business activity would pick up over the coming year,” The PMI Surveys stated in two of their reports which was reflective of 2023.

ZAMBIA’S ECONOMIC OUTLOOK FOR 2024

When one makes an objective analysis of the prospects for the Zambian economy, starting from 2024, several factors point to a favourable picture. It is worth enumerating these factors to justify this assertion.

In December,2023, the US Central Bank, the Federal Reserve announced that it will make three interest rates cuts in 2024, and another four cuts in 2025, after increasing interests from 0 to 5.5% since March 2022. The announcement of expected interest rates cuts will not only result in the US Dollar depreciating, but likely to make investors start investing in the Zambian Treasury bills and Bonds thus increase the supply of dollars and the strengthening of the Kwacha.

The other factor that is likely to help the economic recovery of Zambia is the expected increase in copper prices from 2024. Copper prices are forecast to be as high as $15,000 per tonne, due to higher renewable energy targets as countries transition to green energy.

Copper is headed for a price spurt over the next two years, as mining supply disruptions coincide with higher demand for the metal. Rising demand driven by the green energy transition and a decline in the U.S. dollar strength come the second half of 2024 will fuel support for copper prices.” According to CNBC, quoting BMI, a Fitch Solutions research unit. “Copper prices are set to soar more than 75% over the next two years amid mining supply disruptions and higher demand for the metal, fuelled by the push for renewable energy.

It should also be noted that in the first three months of 2024, Zambia is expected to finalize its debt restructuring talks with both Official Creditors and bondholders. The positive impact on the Kwacha and inflation of the conclusion of the debt restructuring talks is confirmed by International rating Agency, Fitch Ratings.

“The completion of the debt restructuring, which we estimate will catalyse foreign investments in Zambia, would enable the kwacha to appreciate in 2024 and 2025, helping to tame inflation. We estimate that CPl inflation will average 8% in 2025,” Fitch said in its ratings report on Zambia.

The Government of Zambia through the Bank of Zambia Act 2022 Section 50 and 73 requires the tracking of exports as announced in Gazette No.1736: “The Bank of Zambia ( Export Proceeds Tracking Framework) Directives,2023. This requires all export proceeds by all exporters including the Mining houses to be banked in Zambia. This is likely to be game changer in stemming illicit financial flows, tax evasion and the increased retention of foreign currency in Zambia and improved balance of payments reporting.

COMMENTARY AND CONCLUSION

When one analyses the variables and major assumptions about the Zambian economy, the outlook is that the economy will stabilize. The kwacha exchange rate will stabilize,thereby tame the escalating cost of living and cost of doing business. However, millions of jobs to solve youth unemployment will not be created and poverty will not be reduced.This requires a different set of tools to address them.

According credible available statistics, the Zambian economy grew by 4.6% and 4.7% in 2021 and 2022 respectively. The forecast for 2023 is 4.3% and 4.7% in 2024. These rates are insufficient for the country to develop, create jobs and reduce poverty. And the IMF does agree with this assertion.

Despite its abundant resources, growth has been insufficient to lift its young and growing population from poverty. More than 60 percent of Zambia’s population lives below the international poverty line compared to 35% across the Sub Saharan Countries,” IMF said in a statement reviewing the Zambian economy.

This admission by the IMF that Zambia’s growth rates, even under their current supervised Extended Credit Facility (ECF) programs, can neither create the millions of jobs that Zambia needs nor reduce poverty, must be taken seriously. It supports the evidence and past experience that our Cooperating partners, IMF and the World Bank on their own, cannot solve our unemployment and poverty problems. And the reason is simple. The IMF and World Bank’s current tool kit does not have the tools that can produce the double digit economic growth. It can only give us 4-6% growth rates, which are insufficient to reduce poverty. And it is not their fault.

It has been established by studies that in order for economic growth to have any impact on poverty in developing country like Zambia, the country’s economic activities ought to be growing about 10 % or more as China and South East Asia countries proved. And to achieve this growth rates, it requires engagement of experienced local thinkers, who understand Zambia and its culture better. They live and interact with ordinary people who tell them about the practical solutions to solving our economic problems.

The practical reality is that the IMF and the World Bank’s diagnosis of Zambia’s economic problems, and the consequential design of solutions, are based on 10-15% of the economy. And how are they expected to solve our problems when over 85% of the economy is left out in their strategies?

The IMF and World Bank need to be complemented by local practical thinkers,who can design innovative 21st Century solutions that utilize mobile technology and Artificial Intelligence tools and other common sense local initiatives, rather than just 20th Century traditional solutions which are not solving our unemployment and poverty problems.

The plea to the Zambian Authorities, therefore, is that they should start utilizing local thinkers and experts outside government, a bit more from 2024 onwards, rather than over rely on foreign individual Advisors and international institutions. There is a Zambian proverb that states than wisdom and knowledge can come from an anthill  to a mountain. Zambian experts and thinkers are anti-hills in this regard.


The writer is a Chartered Accountant and Author. He is a semi-retired Knowledge and Strategy Advisor. Contact : pmch[email protected].

 

 

UPND Youth Leader calls for effective utilization of Constituency Development Funds ENCY DEVELOPMENT FUND IN 2024

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Governing UPND Copperbelt Provincial Youth Chairperson Wallen Hinyama has declared that in 2024 constituencies will have no excuse if they under utilise constituency development Fund (CDF).

He said 2024 was a year for service delivery because the UPND administration has now settled in Government.

Mr. Hinyama challenged constituencies to effectively utilise constituency development Fund (CDF) this year in order to foster development.

“For us 2024 is a year where we need to deliver development to the people of Zambia. There will be no excuse, the Government and as the party in power we have settled. Think the most important thing now is service delivery to our people,” Mr. Hinyama said.

He told Radio Icengelo News in Ndola that CDF committees and Ward Development Committees must execute their duties diligently for people to see meaningful development.

“We want to see that people mandated to preside over the CDF do the right thing for the country because money has come to people’s door steps. Money is no longer in Lusaka. As leadership in the province we want to continue with our programme of going round all the 22 constituencies on the Copperbelt to enlighten our people on CDF,” Mr. Hinyama said.

Mr. Hinyama was speaking after attending the CDF handover ceremony at which over 700 people benefited from Chifubu Constituency Development Fund (CDF) for 2023 as grants, loans and farming inputs valued at over K5.2 Million.

President Hichilema to travel to DRC for Inauguration Ceremony of President Elect Felix Tshisekedi

President Hakainde Hichilema is scheduled to attend the Inauguration Ceremony of Democratic Republic of Congo -DRC- President -Elect Felix Tshisekedi.

Acting Foreign Affairs Minister Mulambo Haimbe said President Hichilema accepted an invitation to travel to Kinshasa following the December 2023 Presidential, Legislative and Provincial Elections where the President-Elect of the DRC emerged victorious.

Mr. Haimbe said President Hichilema will in his capacity as Chairperson of the SADC Organ on Politics, Defence and Security Cooperation; join other regional Heads of State and Government at the Ceremony.

He said President Hichilema and other Heads of State will be showing solidarity and collective commitment to the consolidation of democracy through the holding of peaceful elections, among other tenets.

President Hichilema is scheduled to return to Zambia immediately after the ceremony.

Tanzania Fire Coach After Controversial Claims Against Morocco

The Tanzanian Football Federation have sacked head coach Adel Amrouche after CAF handed him an eight-match ban.
The ban comes after Amrouche made controversial remarks about Morocco and its football federation, the Royal Moroccan Football Federation (RMFF).

Head of their match against Morocco, Amrouche launched a scathing attack on Morocco, claiming they influence African football, including officials like referees, per the Citizen.

The comments were not well received by Moroccan fans. According to Morocco World News, CAF has also handed Amrouche a $10,000 fine. Amrouche made those comments in an interview with an Algerian TV earlier this week.

In a statement, the Tanzania Football Federation said CAF banned the Algerian for eight matches after the Moroccan federation filed a complaint against the coach.

Tanzania lost their opening match 3-0 to Morocco and will be led by Hemed Morocco and Juma Mgunda in their remaining group matches.

Zambia takes on Tanzania in the 2023 AFCON Group ‘F’ match to be played on Sunday.

The match will be played at Laurent Pokou Stadium in San Pedro with kick-off set for 19:00 hours Zambian time.

Official Funeral Service for Lt. Gen. Ronnie Shikapwasha Moved to Sunday

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The Official Funeral Service for the late Lieutenant General Ronnie Shikapwasha has been rescheduled to Sunday, January 21st, 2024, according to an announcement by Secretary to the Cabinet Patrick Kangwa. The service, initially planned for Saturday, will now take place at Mulungushi International Conference Centre, old Wing, deviating from the earlier venue at the Cathedral of the Holy Cross.

Mr. Kangwa, in a statement to ZNBC News, informed the public that the Official Funeral Church Service will commence at 10:00hrs on Sunday, followed by the burial at Leopards Hill Memorial Park in Lusaka at 13:00hrs.

In recognition of Lt. Gen. Shikapwasha’s contributions, President Hakainde Hichilema has granted him an official funeral and declared January 21st, 2024, as a day of national mourning. The observance of the Day of National Mourning will span from 06:00 to 18:00 hours, during which flags across the nation are to be flown at half-mast. Additionally, entertainment programs are expected to be either canceled or postponed as a mark of respect.

Lt. Gen. Ronnie Shikapwasha, 76, passed away on Monday, January 15, 2024, at the Maina Soko Medical Centre. Throughout his career, he served in various Cabinet portfolios and represented Keembe as a Member of Parliament during the MMD administration. The rescheduled events seek to honor and pay tribute to his significant contributions to Zambia.

Mrs Shikapwasha arrested for the murder of Lieutenant General Ronald Shikapwasha Retired

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The Zambia Police Service announced the formal arrest and charging of Mrs. Jane Lusengo Shikapwasha, aged 73, for the offence of murder contrary to Section 200 of the Penal Code Act Chapter 87 of the laws of Zambia involving her husband, the late Lieutenant General Ronald Shikapwasha Retired. The incident occurred at their residence plot number 477 ibex hill on January 14, 2024, between 17:00 and 18:00 hours.

Following an intensive and thorough investigation conducted by Twin Palm Police Station, substantial evidence was gathered, leading to the arrest of Jane Lusengo Shikapwasha. The arrest was carried out today January19, 2024 at Twin Palm Police Station (Formerly Ibex Hill Police Station).

It is alleged that Jane Lusengo on January 14,2024 between 17:00 and 18:00 hours at plot number 477 in Ibex Hill in Lusaka district of the Lusaka Province of the Republic of Zambia whilst acting alone, she caused the death of Lieutenant General Ronald Shikapwasha Retired using a double barrel short gun, serial number 168462 by shooting the deceased in the abdomen causing him to sustain a gunshot wound on the left side of the abdomen resulting to his death on January 15, 2024 at 21:40 hours at Maina Soko Military Hospital.

Mrs. Shikapwasha is currently in police custody pending a court appearance. The Zambia Police Service is committed to ensuring a fair and transparent legal process. We would like to reassure the public that we are dedicated to upholding the rule of law and will continue to work diligently to bring this investigation to a just resolution.

Rae Hamoonga
POLICE PUBLIC RELATIONS OFFICER.

Remembering the attempted deportation of Roy Clarke 20 years later

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In January 2004, the Government of Zambia attempted to deport then Post
newspaper columnist Roy Clarke popularly known as Spectator KALAKI.

Roy Clarke is now 82 years old and still lives in Lusaka. Read his story by
downloading the article on the link above.

ABSTRACT

In January 2004, residents of Zambia’s capital, Lusaka, were treated to a disturbing sight. Over 200 members of the governing Movement for Multiparty Democracy party marched through the streets of the capital carrying a mock coffin bearing the name of Roy Clarke, a prominent newspaper satirist and white British national who had been a permanent resident in the country since the early 1960s. The protesters accused
Clarke of insulting and defaming President Levy Mwanawasa in his previous column and demanded his immediate deportation. The Minister of Home Affairs obliged, but the satirist successfully challenged his deportation in Zambia’s courts. Drawing from newspaper sources, court documents, and interviews with key informants, this article shows that these protests were anything but a spontaneous demonstration of public outrage. Instead, they had been carefully orchestrated by Mwanawasa and his close allies to bolster Mwanawasa’s beleaguered presidency. The article argues that deportation orders and racial nationalism against racial minorities are strategies adopted by political elites during periods of weakness, even when these ideas have little or no popular support. More broadly, we argue that the status of racial minorities and other foreigners in Zambia is often provisional, depending on political considerations.

On the link
below is a free-to-read or download full account of what exactly happened.
https://academic.oup.com/afraf/article/122/486/33/6991106

There will be no Barotseland independence – HH

President Hichilema has urged Simon Akapelwa, the Permanent Secretary of Western Province, to dispel notions of a Barotseland independence.

Emphasizing Zambia as a unitary state, he underscored the importance of unity among regions, particularly Western, Luapula, and North Western Provinces, which possess significant potential for fish production to meet national consumption needs.

In a bold declaration, members of the Linyungandambo movement have emphatically asserted that the Barotseland Kingdom proclaimed its independence from Zambia in 2012. Expressing their discontent with the Zambian government, the visibly irate members challenged the authorities, stating that Zambia has not contested the declaration on the international stage. The group firmly insisted that Zambia must promptly vacate Barotseland without further delay.

The Linyungandambo members convened at the Mongu Police station to show support for their fellow members who were summoned by the police for questioning. Last week, Zambia State police apprehended four Linyungandambo members on charges related to the issue of Barotseland. Although released from police custody, they were instructed to report back to Mongu central police for further questioning under the scrutiny of their superiors.

State Counsel John Sangwa has proposed a constructive way forward for addressing the breaches of the Barotseland Agreement. During the “Let the People Talk” radio program on Phoenix FM, Sangwa suggested a national debate or, alternatively, subjecting the matter to a referendum to determine the fate of Barotseland’s historical privileges.
Drawing parallels with historical examples, Sangwa pointed to instances where debates or referendums played a crucial role in resolving complex territorial issues. Notable among these is the case of South Sudan, where a referendum in 2011 resulted in the region gaining independence from Sudan.